MIA 1.0 o219.5
CHI -1.0 u219.5
DAL 4.5 o214.0
SAC -4.5 u214.0
Denver 4th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
Golden State 7th WESTERN CONFERENCE48-33

Denver @ Golden State props

Chase Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nikola Jokić Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokić
center C • Denver
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.3
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
29.5 Points Scored
Projection
26.3
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Nikola Jokic has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's averaged in all games this year. In terms of three-point attempts, the least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The clash with Quinten Post ranks in the 7th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs hitting only 0.5 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year. The matchup against Quinten Post is a tough one for drawing fouls; when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.8 foul shots per game (24th percentile). Nikola Jokic will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally reduces player production for all stats.

Nikola Jokić

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.3
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.3

Nikola Jokic has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's averaged in all games this year. In terms of three-point attempts, the least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The clash with Quinten Post ranks in the 7th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs hitting only 0.5 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year. The matchup against Quinten Post is a tough one for drawing fouls; when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.8 foul shots per game (24th percentile). Nikola Jokic will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally reduces player production for all stats.

Peyton Watson Points Scored Props • Denver

P. Watson
small forward SF • Denver
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Under
-130
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Under
-130
Projection Rating

In terms of three-point attempts, the least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. Peyton Watson ought to experience a decrease in production in all stat categories as a result of being on the road in this game.

Peyton Watson

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.2
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.2

In terms of three-point attempts, the least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. Peyton Watson ought to experience a decrease in production in all stat categories as a result of being on the road in this game.

Jonathan Kuminga Points Scored Props • Golden State

J. Kuminga
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

The Golden State Warriors have been the 6th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year. Compared to last year's 73.0% rate, Jonathan Kuminga's free-throw ability has diminished this year to 58.6%.

Jonathan Kuminga

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.2
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.2

The Golden State Warriors have been the 6th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year. Compared to last year's 73.0% rate, Jonathan Kuminga's free-throw ability has diminished this year to 58.6%.

Moses Moody Points Scored Props • Golden State

M. Moody
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Over
-132
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Over
-132
Projection Rating

Moses Moody has successfully made 59.3% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 16.4% more than he's made from three overall this year at home. Moses Moody has played 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 10.2 higher than he's played overall this season. The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 6th-fastest tempo team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets). The Warriors check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Moses Moody has sunk 92.9% of his free throws over the last 10 games, 13.8% more than he's sunk overall this season.

Moses Moody

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.2
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.2

Moses Moody has successfully made 59.3% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 16.4% more than he's made from three overall this year at home. Moses Moody has played 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 10.2 higher than he's played overall this season. The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 6th-fastest tempo team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets). The Warriors check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Moses Moody has sunk 92.9% of his free throws over the last 10 games, 13.8% more than he's sunk overall this season.

Michael Porter Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter
small forward SF • Denver
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
21.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Michael Porter Jr. has converted 6.9 field goals per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile among all players in the league. Michael Porter Jr. has made 3.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this season while playing on the road. The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors is a favorable one for 3-pointers; the other team's starting SFs have put up the highest three rate in the league this year (47.0%). The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 7th-best in in the league away from home with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Michael Porter

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.8
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.8

Michael Porter Jr. has converted 6.9 field goals per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile among all players in the league. Michael Porter Jr. has made 3.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this season while playing on the road. The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors is a favorable one for 3-pointers; the other team's starting SFs have put up the highest three rate in the league this year (47.0%). The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 7th-best in in the league away from home with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Zeke Nnaji Points Scored Props • Denver

Z. Nnaji
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Zeke Nnaji has sunk 76.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games, 50.2% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 7th-best in in the league away from home with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Zeke Nnaji

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.5
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.5

Zeke Nnaji has sunk 76.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games, 50.2% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 7th-best in in the league away from home with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.8
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.8
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Aaron Gordon slots into the 81st percentile for scoring efficiency away from home with a stellar 51.7% rate this year. Aaron Gordon has successfully made 59.4% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games, 14.6% more than he's made from downtown overall this season. This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 15.8 shot attempts per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Warriors, making this a good matchup. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 7th-best in in the league away from home with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.8
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.8

Among all players in the league, Aaron Gordon slots into the 81st percentile for scoring efficiency away from home with a stellar 51.7% rate this year. Aaron Gordon has successfully made 59.4% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games, 14.6% more than he's made from downtown overall this season. This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 15.8 shot attempts per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Warriors, making this a good matchup. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 7th-best in in the league away from home with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Quinten Post Points Scored Props • Golden State

Q. Post
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Quinten Post has successfully made 38.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, putting him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the league. The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 6th-fastest tempo team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets). The Warriors check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Quinten Post stands to get a boost in output in all stat categories in light of having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Quinten Post

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.4
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.4

Quinten Post has successfully made 38.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, putting him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the league. The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 6th-fastest tempo team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets). The Warriors check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Quinten Post stands to get a boost in output in all stat categories in light of having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Compared to last season's 42.7% mark, Christian Braun's shooting efficiency has risen this season to 56.9%. Christian Braun has successfully made 53.3% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 15.3% higher than he's made from three in all games this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Christian Braun ranks in the 91st percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 33.5 minutes per game this year. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 7th-best in in the league away from home with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Christian Braun

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.5
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.5

Compared to last season's 42.7% mark, Christian Braun's shooting efficiency has risen this season to 56.9%. Christian Braun has successfully made 53.3% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 15.3% higher than he's made from three in all games this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Christian Braun ranks in the 91st percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 33.5 minutes per game this year. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 7th-best in in the league away from home with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Hunter Tyson Points Scored Props • Denver

H. Tyson
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Hunter Tyson has committed 0.9 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the lowest-fouling players in the league (18th percentile). The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 7th-best in in the league away from home with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. In comparison to last year's 50.0% rate, Hunter Tyson's free-throw effectiveness has spiked this year to 68.2%. The matchup vs. the Warriors may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a colossal 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (6th-most in the league).

Hunter Tyson

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.7
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.7

Hunter Tyson has committed 0.9 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the lowest-fouling players in the league (18th percentile). The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 7th-best in in the league away from home with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. In comparison to last year's 50.0% rate, Hunter Tyson's free-throw effectiveness has spiked this year to 68.2%. The matchup vs. the Warriors may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a colossal 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (6th-most in the league).

Stephen Curry Points Scored Props • Golden State

S. Curry
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.6
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
25.5 Points Scored
Projection
26.6
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Stephen Curry has notched 28.3 points per game over the last 15 games, 3.9 higher than he's notched over the course of the season. Out of all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry measures in the 84th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 31.6 minutes per game while playing at home this year. The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 6th-fastest tempo team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets). The Warriors check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Stephen Curry has sunk 7.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.5 more than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

Stephen Curry

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.6
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.6

Stephen Curry has notched 28.3 points per game over the last 15 games, 3.9 higher than he's notched over the course of the season. Out of all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry measures in the 84th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 31.6 minutes per game while playing at home this year. The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 6th-fastest tempo team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets). The Warriors check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Stephen Curry has sunk 7.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.5 more than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

Russell Westbrook Points Scored Props • Denver

R. Westbrook
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.9
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.9
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Russell Westbrook has attempted 13.2 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Russell Westbrook has made 2.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's sunk overall this year. Russell Westbrook has tallied 32.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's tallied in all games this season. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 38.4% on 3-pointers (6th-highest in the league) against the Warriors, labeling this as a positive matchup. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

Russell Westbrook

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.9
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.9

Russell Westbrook has attempted 13.2 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Russell Westbrook has made 2.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's sunk overall this year. Russell Westbrook has tallied 32.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's tallied in all games this season. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 38.4% on 3-pointers (6th-highest in the league) against the Warriors, labeling this as a positive matchup. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.5
Best Odds
Over
-113
Prop
20.5 Points Scored
Projection
21.5
Best Odds
Over
-113
Projection Rating

Jamal Murray has averaged 26.3 points per game over the last 15 games while playing away from home, 4.1 more than he's averaged in all games this season on the road. Jamal Murray has averaged 36.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 98th percentile. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 38.4% on 3-pointers (6th-highest in the league) against the Warriors, labeling this as a positive matchup. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 7th-best in in the league away from home with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.5
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.5

Jamal Murray has averaged 26.3 points per game over the last 15 games while playing away from home, 4.1 more than he's averaged in all games this season on the road. Jamal Murray has averaged 36.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 98th percentile. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 38.4% on 3-pointers (6th-highest in the league) against the Warriors, labeling this as a positive matchup. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 7th-best in in the league away from home with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Draymond Green Points Scored Props • Golden State

D. Green
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Over
-128

Draymond Green has successfully made 41.8% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 11.5% more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season. The matchup against Denver is a strong one for 3-pointers; when the Denver Nuggets are the visiting team, the other team's starting PFs have posted the 5th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (44.8%). The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 6th-fastest tempo team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets). The Warriors check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Draymond Green has made 2.9 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 higher than he's made overall this season.

Draymond Green

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10

Draymond Green has successfully made 41.8% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 11.5% more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season. The matchup against Denver is a strong one for 3-pointers; when the Denver Nuggets are the visiting team, the other team's starting PFs have posted the 5th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (44.8%). The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 6th-fastest tempo team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets). The Warriors check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Draymond Green has made 2.9 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 higher than he's made overall this season.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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