BOS -5.0 o200.0
ORL 5.0 u200.0
IND 5.0 o229.5
MIL -5.0 u229.5
LAL 3.5 o208.0
MIN -3.5 u208.0
Denver 4th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
Los Angeles 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32

Denver @ Los Angeles props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Austin Reaves Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

A. Reaves
shooting guard SG • L.A. Lakers
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.4
Best Odds
Under
-118

Over the last 25 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have notched 15.6 points per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, creating a challenging matchup for offensive performance. The Lakers have played at the 7th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 15 games while at home. The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Austin Reaves

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.4
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.4

Over the last 25 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have notched 15.6 points per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, creating a challenging matchup for offensive performance. The Lakers have played at the 7th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 15 games while at home. The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
18
Best Odds
Under
-115

Relative to last year's 32.3 rate, Aaron Gordon's playing time has regressed this year to 26.9 minutes per game. The Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the league this year with respect to three-point attempts. The clash with Jaxson Hayes comes in at the 7th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs scoring a mere 11.4 points per game this year. The Denver Nuggets are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from squaring off against the 7th-most sluggish pace home team in the league over the last 15 games (the Lakers). The matchup against Jaxson Hayes is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; when facing other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.4 free throws per game (7th percentile).

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18

Relative to last year's 32.3 rate, Aaron Gordon's playing time has regressed this year to 26.9 minutes per game. The Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the league this year with respect to three-point attempts. The clash with Jaxson Hayes comes in at the 7th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs scoring a mere 11.4 points per game this year. The Denver Nuggets are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from squaring off against the 7th-most sluggish pace home team in the league over the last 15 games (the Lakers). The matchup against Jaxson Hayes is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; when facing other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.4 free throws per game (7th percentile).

Gabe Vincent Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

G. Vincent
point guard PG • L.A. Lakers
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Gabe Vincent has made a terrific 39.8% of his field goals this season, significantly more than his 23.3 mark last season. Gabe Vincent has tallied 27.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 7.1 higher than he's tallied overall this season at home. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Lakers. Gabe Vincent has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 31.3% higher than he's sunk overall this year. In regard to getting to the free-throw line, the Los Angeles Lakers's stellar 24.5 foul shots per game while on their home court rates best in the league this year.

Gabe Vincent

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.8
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.8

Gabe Vincent has made a terrific 39.8% of his field goals this season, significantly more than his 23.3 mark last season. Gabe Vincent has tallied 27.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 7.1 higher than he's tallied overall this season at home. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Lakers. Gabe Vincent has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 31.3% higher than he's sunk overall this year. In regard to getting to the free-throw line, the Los Angeles Lakers's stellar 24.5 foul shots per game while on their home court rates best in the league this year.

Peyton Watson Points Scored Props • Denver

P. Watson
small forward SF • Denver
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Under
-113
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Under
-113
Projection Rating

The Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the league this year with respect to three-point attempts. The Denver Nuggets are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from squaring off against the 7th-most sluggish pace home team in the league over the last 15 games (the Lakers). Peyton Watson has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 20.5% higher than he's made overall this year when playing on the road. The matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted just 2.2 free throws per game over the last 15 games (least in the NBA). Peyton Watson will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling tends to decrease player performance in all stat categories.

Peyton Watson

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.3
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.3

The Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the league this year with respect to three-point attempts. The Denver Nuggets are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from squaring off against the 7th-most sluggish pace home team in the league over the last 15 games (the Lakers). Peyton Watson has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 20.5% higher than he's made overall this year when playing on the road. The matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted just 2.2 free throws per game over the last 15 games (least in the NBA). Peyton Watson will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling tends to decrease player performance in all stat categories.

Nikola Jokić Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokić
center C • Denver
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
26
Best Odds
Under
-104
Prop
27.5 Points Scored
Projection
26
Best Odds
Under
-104
Projection Rating

Nikola Jokic has accumulated 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's accumulated in all games this year. The Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the league this year with respect to three-point attempts. The number of shots from downtown hit against Jaxson Hayes has been quite low (0.3 per game) when guarding opposing starting Cs this year (4th percentile). The Denver Nuggets are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from squaring off against the 7th-most sluggish pace home team in the league over the last 15 games (the Lakers). The matchup against Jaxson Hayes is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; when facing other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.4 free throws per game (7th percentile).

Nikola Jokić

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26

Nikola Jokic has accumulated 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's accumulated in all games this year. The Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the league this year with respect to three-point attempts. The number of shots from downtown hit against Jaxson Hayes has been quite low (0.3 per game) when guarding opposing starting Cs this year (4th percentile). The Denver Nuggets are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from squaring off against the 7th-most sluggish pace home team in the league over the last 15 games (the Lakers). The matchup against Jaxson Hayes is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; when facing other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.4 free throws per game (7th percentile).

Michael Porter Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter
small forward SF • Denver
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.2
Best Odds
Under
-110

Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's averaged in all games this year. The Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the league this year with respect to three-point attempts. The Denver Nuggets are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from squaring off against the 7th-most sluggish pace home team in the league over the last 15 games (the Lakers). The matchup vs. the Los Angeles Lakers may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a measly 1.9 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (least in the league). Michael Porter Jr. is expected to see a decline in productivity in all facets of the game considering being on the road in this contest.

Michael Porter

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.2
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.2

Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's averaged in all games this year. The Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the league this year with respect to three-point attempts. The Denver Nuggets are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from squaring off against the 7th-most sluggish pace home team in the league over the last 15 games (the Lakers). The matchup vs. the Los Angeles Lakers may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a measly 1.9 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (least in the league). Michael Porter Jr. is expected to see a decline in productivity in all facets of the game considering being on the road in this contest.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.4
Best Odds
Under
-109

The Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the league this year with respect to three-point attempts. Over the last 5 games, opposing starting PGs have totaled 1.6 3-pointers per game (5th-fewest in the league) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, labeling this as a hard matchup. The Denver Nuggets are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from squaring off against the 7th-most sluggish pace home team in the league over the last 15 games (the Lakers). Jamal Murray will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling tends to decrease stat production in all stat categories.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.4
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.4

The Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the league this year with respect to three-point attempts. Over the last 5 games, opposing starting PGs have totaled 1.6 3-pointers per game (5th-fewest in the league) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, labeling this as a hard matchup. The Denver Nuggets are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from squaring off against the 7th-most sluggish pace home team in the league over the last 15 games (the Lakers). Jamal Murray will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling tends to decrease stat production in all stat categories.

Luka Dončić Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

L. Dončić
point guard PG • L.A. Lakers
Prop
32.5
Points Scored
Projection
30.9
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
32.5 Points Scored
Projection
30.9
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

In contrast to last year's 11.2 rate, Luka Doncic's field goals made have decreased this year to 9.1 per game. The matchup against Denver is a hard one for 3-point attempts; when the Nuggets are the visiting team, opposing starting PGs have averaged the least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.5). The Lakers have played at the 7th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 15 games while at home. The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Luka Dončić

Prop: 32.5 Points Scored
Projection: 30.9
Prop:
32.5 Points Scored
Projection:
30.9

In contrast to last year's 11.2 rate, Luka Doncic's field goals made have decreased this year to 9.1 per game. The matchup against Denver is a hard one for 3-point attempts; when the Nuggets are the visiting team, opposing starting PGs have averaged the least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.5). The Lakers have played at the 7th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 15 games while at home. The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Dorian Finney-Smith Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

D. Finney-Smith
power forward PF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

Dorian Finney-Smith has attempted 8.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 2.3 more than he's attempted overall this year at home. Dorian Finney-Smith has averaged 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 5.5 higher than he's averaged overall this season at home. This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 44.8% on 3-pointers (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, marking this as a strong matchup. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Lakers. In regard to getting to the free-throw line, the Los Angeles Lakers's stellar 24.5 foul shots per game while on their home court rates best in the league this year.

Dorian Finney-Smith

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.4
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.4

Dorian Finney-Smith has attempted 8.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 2.3 more than he's attempted overall this year at home. Dorian Finney-Smith has averaged 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 5.5 higher than he's averaged overall this season at home. This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 44.8% on 3-pointers (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, marking this as a strong matchup. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Lakers. In regard to getting to the free-throw line, the Los Angeles Lakers's stellar 24.5 foul shots per game while on their home court rates best in the league this year.

Russell Westbrook Points Scored Props • Denver

R. Westbrook
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.7
Best Odds
Over
-110

Russell Westbrook has converted 7.0 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's converted overall this season. Russell Westbrook has successfully made 2.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year. Russell Westbrook has averaged 34.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.4 more than he's averaged in all games this season. This year when they are away from home, opposing starting PGs have totaled 15.6 field goal attempts per game (7th-most in the NBA) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, labeling this as a positive matchup. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year.

Russell Westbrook

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.7
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.7

Russell Westbrook has converted 7.0 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's converted overall this season. Russell Westbrook has successfully made 2.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year. Russell Westbrook has averaged 34.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.4 more than he's averaged in all games this season. This year when they are away from home, opposing starting PGs have totaled 15.6 field goal attempts per game (7th-most in the NBA) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, labeling this as a positive matchup. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year.

Jaxson Hayes Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

J. Hayes
center C • L.A. Lakers
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
-121

Jaxson Hayes has successfully made 4.8 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's sunk overall this season. Jaxson Hayes has been on the court for 28.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.5 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Lakers. In regard to getting to the free-throw line, the Los Angeles Lakers's stellar 24.5 foul shots per game while on their home court rates best in the league this year. Jaxson Hayes will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court usually raises player performance for all stats.

Jaxson Hayes

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.5
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.5

Jaxson Hayes has successfully made 4.8 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's sunk overall this season. Jaxson Hayes has been on the court for 28.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.5 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Lakers. In regard to getting to the free-throw line, the Los Angeles Lakers's stellar 24.5 foul shots per game while on their home court rates best in the league this year. Jaxson Hayes will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court usually raises player performance for all stats.

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.1
Best Odds
Over
-110

Christian Braun has sunk 7.4 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.5 higher than he's sunk in all games this season when playing away from home. Christian Braun has converted 53.3% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 15.3% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year. Christian Braun has averaged 33.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 91st percentile. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year. The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Christian Braun

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.1
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.1

Christian Braun has sunk 7.4 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.5 higher than he's sunk in all games this season when playing away from home. Christian Braun has converted 53.3% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 15.3% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year. Christian Braun has averaged 33.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 91st percentile. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year. The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jarred Vanderbilt Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

J. Vanderbilt
power forward PF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
3.92
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-102
Under
-125
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
3.92
Best Odds
Over
-102
Under
-125

Jarred Vanderbilt has gone over 4.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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