Final Apr 19
MIL 98 6.0 o227.5
IND 117 -6.0 u227.5
Final OT Apr 19
LAC 110 3.0 o225.0
DEN 112 -3.0 u225.0
Final Apr 19
DET 112 7.0 o221.5
NY 123 -7.0 u221.5
Final Apr 19
MIN 117 4.5 o215.0
LAL 95 -4.5 u215.0
Milwaukee 5th EASTERN CONFERENCE48-34
Golden State 7th WESTERN CONFERENCE48-33

Milwaukee @ Golden State props

Chase Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Quinten Post Points Scored Props • Golden State

Q. Post
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Quinten Post has made 37.3% of his shots from downtown this year, placing him in the 77th percentile out of all players in the NBA. While on the road and defending opposing starting Cs, Brook Lopez slots into the 100th percentile with a massive 2.9 shots from downtown attempted against him per game this year. The Golden State Warriors will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Bucks). The Warriors rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). Among all players in the league, Quinten Post registers in the 23rd percentile for unsuccessful free throws, logging a mere 0.1 per game this year.

Quinten Post

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

Quinten Post has made 37.3% of his shots from downtown this year, placing him in the 77th percentile out of all players in the NBA. While on the road and defending opposing starting Cs, Brook Lopez slots into the 100th percentile with a massive 2.9 shots from downtown attempted against him per game this year. The Golden State Warriors will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Bucks). The Warriors rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). Among all players in the league, Quinten Post registers in the 23rd percentile for unsuccessful free throws, logging a mere 0.1 per game this year.

Kyle Kuzma Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

K. Kuzma
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Kyle Kuzma has successfully made 47.3% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 5.5% higher than he's made over the course of the season on the road. Kyle Kuzma has attempted 6.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games while playing on the road, 1.2 more than he's attempted in all games this season on the road. Kyle Kuzma has played 28.6 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 76th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The Bucks rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors is a strong one for 3-point shots; opposing starting SFs have put up the highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (47.0%).

Kyle Kuzma

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.6
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.6

Kyle Kuzma has successfully made 47.3% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 5.5% higher than he's made over the course of the season on the road. Kyle Kuzma has attempted 6.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games while playing on the road, 1.2 more than he's attempted in all games this season on the road. Kyle Kuzma has played 28.6 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 76th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The Bucks rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors is a strong one for 3-point shots; opposing starting SFs have put up the highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (47.0%).

Jonathan Kuminga Points Scored Props • Golden State

J. Kuminga
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.5
Best Odds
Under
-106
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.5
Best Odds
Under
-106
Projection Rating

With respect to offense, the Golden State Warriors's poor 112.8 points per game while on their home court ranks 10th-lowest in the league this year. Jonathan Kuminga has successfully made just 58.7% of his free throws this year, a sizeable decrease from his 73.0 mark last year.

Jonathan Kuminga

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.5
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.5

With respect to offense, the Golden State Warriors's poor 112.8 points per game while on their home court ranks 10th-lowest in the league this year. Jonathan Kuminga has successfully made just 58.7% of his free throws this year, a sizeable decrease from his 73.0 mark last year.

Moses Moody Points Scored Props • Golden State

M. Moody
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Over
-124
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Over
-124
Projection Rating

Moses Moody has converted 2.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's sunk in all games this season. Moses Moody has been on the court for 30.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.3 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season. The matchup vs. Milwaukee is a favorable one for three-pointers; when the Milwaukee Bucks are on the road, the opposition's starting SGs have posted the 5th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (43.5%). The Golden State Warriors will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Bucks). The Warriors rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Moses Moody

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.2
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.2

Moses Moody has converted 2.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's sunk in all games this season. Moses Moody has been on the court for 30.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.3 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season. The matchup vs. Milwaukee is a favorable one for three-pointers; when the Milwaukee Bucks are on the road, the opposition's starting SGs have posted the 5th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (43.5%). The Golden State Warriors will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Bucks). The Warriors rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Kevin Porter Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

K. Porter
shooting guard SG • Milwaukee
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Under
+100
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Under
+100
Projection Rating

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks grade out 1stworst in in the league with just 8.5 offensive rebounds per game this year. Kevin Porter Jr. will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally worsens player performance for all stats.

Kevin Porter

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.2
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.2

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks grade out 1stworst in in the league with just 8.5 offensive rebounds per game this year. Kevin Porter Jr. will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally worsens player performance for all stats.

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

G. Antetokounmpo
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.8
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
27.5 Points Scored
Projection
28.8
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

Giannis Antetokounmpo has been on the court for 33.2 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The Bucks rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup against Golden State is a positive one for shots from the field; when the Warriors are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have averaged the 2nd-most FG attempts per game in the league this year (15.8). The Bucks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.8
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.8

Giannis Antetokounmpo has been on the court for 33.2 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The Bucks rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup against Golden State is a positive one for shots from the field; when the Warriors are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have averaged the 2nd-most FG attempts per game in the league this year (15.8). The Bucks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

Taurean Prince Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

T. Prince
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Taurean Prince has converted 2.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 more than he's made in all games this season away from his home court. The Bucks rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Bucks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games. Taurean Prince has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 16.7% more than he's converted over the course of the season. The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a colossal 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (6th-most in the league).

Taurean Prince

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9

Taurean Prince has converted 2.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 more than he's made in all games this season away from his home court. The Bucks rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Bucks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games. Taurean Prince has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 16.7% more than he's converted over the course of the season. The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a colossal 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (6th-most in the league).

Brook Lopez Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Lopez
center C • Milwaukee
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Brook Lopez has successfully made 64.3% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 14.6% more than he's made in all games this year. Among all players in the league, Brook Lopez slots into the 83rd percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 31.5 minutes per game while playing on the road this year. The Bucks rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. When at home and matched up against fellow starting Cs, Quinten Post ranks in the 97th percentile with an enormous 11.9 field goal attempts against him per game this year. The Bucks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

Brook Lopez

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

Brook Lopez has successfully made 64.3% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 14.6% more than he's made in all games this year. Among all players in the league, Brook Lopez slots into the 83rd percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 31.5 minutes per game while playing on the road this year. The Bucks rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. When at home and matched up against fellow starting Cs, Quinten Post ranks in the 97th percentile with an enormous 11.9 field goal attempts against him per game this year. The Bucks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

Damian Lillard Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

D. Lillard
point guard PG • Milwaukee
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.9
Best Odds
Over
-107
Prop
22.5 Points Scored
Projection
22.9
Best Odds
Over
-107
Projection Rating

Damian Lillard has attempted 10.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.6 more than he's attempted in all games this season on the road. Damian Lillard has tallied 36.0 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The Bucks rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. This year, opposing starting PGs have shot 38.4% on threes (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, making this a positive matchup. The Bucks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

Damian Lillard

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.9
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.9

Damian Lillard has attempted 10.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.6 more than he's attempted in all games this season on the road. Damian Lillard has tallied 36.0 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The Bucks rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. This year, opposing starting PGs have shot 38.4% on threes (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, making this a positive matchup. The Bucks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

Draymond Green Points Scored Props • Golden State

D. Green
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Draymond Green has sunk 50.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 7.9% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season. The matchup vs. the Bucks is a good one for threes; the other team's starting PFs have averaged the 7th-most shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (1.8). The Golden State Warriors will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Bucks). The Warriors rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). Draymond Green has attempted 3.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.

Draymond Green

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.5
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.5

Draymond Green has sunk 50.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 7.9% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season. The matchup vs. the Bucks is a good one for threes; the other team's starting PFs have averaged the 7th-most shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (1.8). The Golden State Warriors will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Bucks). The Warriors rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). Draymond Green has attempted 3.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.

Brandin Podziemski Points Scored Props • Golden State

B. Podziemski
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Brandin Podziemski has sunk 57.1% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 15.0% higher than he's sunk in all games this season while playing at home. The matchup vs. the Bucks is a strong one; they have given up the most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PGs this year (21.7). The Golden State Warriors will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Bucks). The Warriors rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). Brandin Podziemski has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 8.3% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season with the home court advantage.

Brandin Podziemski

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.5
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.5

Brandin Podziemski has sunk 57.1% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 15.0% higher than he's sunk in all games this season while playing at home. The matchup vs. the Bucks is a strong one; they have given up the most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PGs this year (21.7). The Golden State Warriors will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Bucks). The Warriors rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). Brandin Podziemski has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 8.3% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season with the home court advantage.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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