BOS -4.5 o198.0
ORL 4.5 u198.0
IND 5.5 o230.5
MIL -5.5 u230.5
LAL 3.0 o206.0
MIN -3.0 u206.0
Denver 4th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
Portland 12th WESTERN CONFERENCE36-46

Denver @ Portland picks

Moda Center

DEN vs POR Picks

NBA Picks
Points Scored
D. Reath o9.5 Points Scored
Projection 12.4 (Over)
Best Odds
o9.5 -115 betmgm
Projection updated: 35 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
9.5 -115
9.5 -115
9.5 -118
9.5 -118
12.5 -125
12.5 -105
10.5 -104
10.5 -128

Duop Reath has attempted 5.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 3.4 more than he's attempted overall this year. The 9th-fastest tempo team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Portland Trail Blazers. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the NBA this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Portland Trail Blazers. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers rank 3rd-best in in the league with 12.8 offensive boards per game this year. Duop Reath will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage usually raises player production in all stat categories.

Points Scored
T. Camara u13.5 Points Scored
Projection 11.4 (Under)
Best Odds
u13.5 -110 draftkings
Projection updated: 35 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
13.5 -118
13.5 -110
13.5 -112
13.5 -120
13.5 -114
13.5 -120
13.5 -120
13.5 -110
12.5 -130
12.5 -102

Toumani Camara has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (98th percentile). In terms of offense, the Trail Blazers's poor 111.4 points per game while playing at home ranks 6th-fewest in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Denver is a tough one for 3-point shots; when the Denver Nuggets are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have totaled the least threes per game in the NBA this year (1.1).

Points Scored
S. Sharpe u20.5 Points Scored
Projection 18 (Under)
Best Odds
u20.5 -110 draftkings
Projection updated: 35 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
20.5 -110
20.5 -118
20.5 -121
20.5 -110
20.5 -114
20.5 -120
20.5 -120
20.5 -110
19.5 -130
19.5 -102

Shaedon Sharpe has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 12 games at home, 1.2 higher than he's been called for overall this year at home. In terms of offense, the Trail Blazers's poor 111.4 points per game while playing at home ranks 6th-fewest in the league over the last 5 games. Over the last 25 games, the other team's starting SGs have registered 15.6 points per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, designating this as a challenging matchup for offensive output.

Points Scored
S. Henderson u17.5 Points Scored
Projection 16.1 (Under)
Best Odds
u17.5 +100 caesars
Projection updated: 35 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
17.5 -130
17.5 -105
17.5 -115
17.5 -115
17.5 -137
17.5 +100
17.5 -120
17.5 -110
16.5 -112
16.5 -118

Out of all players in the NBA, Scoot Henderson comes in at the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, totaling a whopping 2.7 fouls per game while at home this year. In terms of offense, the Trail Blazers's poor 111.4 points per game while playing at home ranks 6th-fewest in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Denver is a hard one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Denver Nuggets are away from home, opposing starting PGs have totaled the least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.5).

Total Assists
D. Clingan o1.5 Total Assists
Projection 1.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 +150 bet365
Projection updated: 35 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
1.5 +150
1.5 -185
1.5 +140
1.5 -190

Donovan Clingan has tallied 29.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 11.0 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season. The 9th-fastest tempo team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Portland Trail Blazers. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the NBA this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Portland Trail Blazers. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers rank 3rd-best in in the league with 12.8 offensive boards per game this year. Donovan Clingan is expected to see a spike in effectiveness across the board in light of holding the home court advantage in this game.

Points Scored
D. Avdija u22.5 Points Scored
Projection 20.4 (Under)
Best Odds
u22.5 -120 betmgm
Projection updated: 35 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
22.5 -110
22.5 -120
20.5 -127
20.5 -105
21.5 -125
21.5 -109
21.5 -115
21.5 -115
21.5 -102
21.5 -130

In terms of offense, the Trail Blazers's poor 111.4 points per game while playing at home ranks 6th-fewest in the league over the last 5 games. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

3-Pointers Made
M. Porter o2.5 3-Pointers Made
Projection 2.9 (Over)
Best Odds
o2.5 +128 fanduel
Projection updated: 35 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
2.5 +110
2.5 -140
2.5 +110
2.5 -145
2.5 +112
2.5 -150
2.5 +112
2.5 -154
2.5 +124
2.5 -160
2.5 +128
2.5 -172

Out of all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. rates in the 89th percentile for threes hit without the home court advantage, posting 2.3 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. slots into the 91st percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 33.7 minutes per game this year. The 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Total Assists
A. Simons o3.5 Total Assists
Projection 5.3 (Over)
Best Odds
o3.5 -160 bet365
Projection updated: 35 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
3.5 -160
3.5 +130
3.5 -160
3.5 +120
4.5 +115
4.5 -155
4.5 +120
4.5 -167
4.5 +124
4.5 -160
4.5 +110
4.5 -140

Anfernee Simons has tallied 5.0 assists per game this year at home, placing him among the league's best in this category in recent games: 91st percentile. Out of all players in the league, Anfernee Simons ranks in the 81st percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 30.9 minutes per game at home this year. The 9th-fastest tempo team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Portland Trail Blazers. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the NBA this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Portland Trail Blazers. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers rank 3rd-best in in the league with 12.8 offensive boards per game this year.

Total Rebounds
S. Henderson u4.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 3.2 (Under)
Best Odds
u4.5 -165 betmgm
Projection updated: 35 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
4.5 +125
4.5 -165
3.5 -155
3.5 +116
3.5 -175
3.5 +126
3.5 -145
3.5 +114
3.5 -154
3.5 +116

Out of all players in the NBA, Scoot Henderson comes in at the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, totaling a whopping 2.7 fouls per game while at home this year.

DEN vs POR Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Spread

63% picking Denver

63%
37%

Total Picks DEN 364, POR 217

Spread
DEN
POR
Total

65% picking Denver vs Portland to go Over

65%
35%

Total PicksDEN 252, POR 136

Total
Over
Under

DEN vs POR Top User Picks

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User Picks

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