Golden State @ Atlanta picks

The quickest pace home offense in the NBA this year has been the Atlanta Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Caris LeVert will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium tends to improve stat production for all stats.

Mouhamed Gueye has sunk 43.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games, 17.2% more than he's made in all games this year. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 14.4 shot attempts per game (5th-highest in the league) vs. the Warriors, labeling this as a favorable matchup. The quickest pace home offense in the NBA this year has been the Atlanta Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 4.9 free throws per game (8th-most in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.

Quinten Post has made 53.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 8.6% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Quinten Post has converted 54.3% of his treys over the last 10 games on the road, 10.5% more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season while playing on the road. The number of points posted against Onyeka Okongwu has been very high (15.7 per game) when he is on his home court and matched up against other starting Cs this year (93rd percentile). The Warriors are expected to see an increase in plays in this contest from facing the fastest tempo home team in the league this year (the Hawks). The Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Compared to last year's 1.6 clip, Dyson Daniels's personal fouls per game have jumped this year to 2.5. The Hawks will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from competing against the 8th-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors).