Final Apr 24
NY 118 -1.5 o216.0
DET 116 1.5 u216.0
Final Apr 24
OKC 114 -9.5 o231.0
MEM 108 9.5 u231.0
Final Apr 24
DEN 83 5.5 o213.5
LAC 117 -5.5 u213.5
Golden State 7th WESTERN CONFERENCE48-33
Atlanta 8th EASTERN CONFERENCE40-42

Golden State @ Atlanta props

State Farm Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Mouhamed Gueye Points Scored Props • Atlanta

M. Gueye
power forward PF • Atlanta
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Mouhamed Gueye has sunk 43.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games, 17.2% more than he's made in all games this year. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 14.4 shot attempts per game (5th-highest in the league) vs. the Warriors, labeling this as a favorable matchup. The quickest pace home offense in the NBA this year has been the Atlanta Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 4.9 free throws per game (8th-most in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.

Mouhamed Gueye

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6

Mouhamed Gueye has sunk 43.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games, 17.2% more than he's made in all games this year. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 14.4 shot attempts per game (5th-highest in the league) vs. the Warriors, labeling this as a favorable matchup. The quickest pace home offense in the NBA this year has been the Atlanta Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 4.9 free throws per game (8th-most in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.

Quinten Post Points Scored Props • Golden State

Q. Post
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Quinten Post has made 53.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 8.6% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Quinten Post has converted 54.3% of his treys over the last 10 games on the road, 10.5% more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season while playing on the road. The number of points posted against Onyeka Okongwu has been very high (15.7 per game) when he is on his home court and matched up against other starting Cs this year (93rd percentile). The Warriors are expected to see an increase in plays in this contest from facing the fastest tempo home team in the league this year (the Hawks). The Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Quinten Post

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.6
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.6

Quinten Post has made 53.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 8.6% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Quinten Post has converted 54.3% of his treys over the last 10 games on the road, 10.5% more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season while playing on the road. The number of points posted against Onyeka Okongwu has been very high (15.7 per game) when he is on his home court and matched up against other starting Cs this year (93rd percentile). The Warriors are expected to see an increase in plays in this contest from facing the fastest tempo home team in the league this year (the Hawks). The Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Onyeka Okongwu Points Scored Props • Atlanta

O. Okongwu
center C • Atlanta
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds
Over
-110

Onyeka Okongwu has converted 46.7% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 22.6% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season. Onyeka Okongwu has played 31.6 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.9 higher than he's played over the course of the year. The quickest pace home offense in the NBA this year has been the Atlanta Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Onyeka Okongwu has successfully made 95.2% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 22.9% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Onyeka Okongwu

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.8
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.8

Onyeka Okongwu has converted 46.7% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 22.6% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season. Onyeka Okongwu has played 31.6 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.9 higher than he's played over the course of the year. The quickest pace home offense in the NBA this year has been the Atlanta Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Onyeka Okongwu has successfully made 95.2% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 22.9% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Trae Young Points Scored Props • Atlanta

T. Young
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.3
Best Odds
Under
-109

In regard to threes, the Hawks's unimpressive 34.3% rate of converted threes while on their home court comes in as the 5th-lowest in the league this year. The Hawks will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from competing against the 8th-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors).

Trae Young

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.3
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.3

In regard to threes, the Hawks's unimpressive 34.3% rate of converted threes while on their home court comes in as the 5th-lowest in the league this year. The Hawks will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from competing against the 8th-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors).

Moses Moody Points Scored Props • Golden State

M. Moody
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.4
Best Odds
Over
-105

Moses Moody has tallied 29.4 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 7.9 more than he's tallied in all games this season. The matchup against Atlanta is a favorable one for shots from the field; when the Hawks are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 9th-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (13.6). The Warriors are expected to see an increase in plays in this contest from facing the fastest tempo home team in the league this year (the Hawks). The Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). Moses Moody has made 93.2% of his free throws over the last 15 games, 13.0% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season.

Moses Moody

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.4
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.4

Moses Moody has tallied 29.4 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 7.9 more than he's tallied in all games this season. The matchup against Atlanta is a favorable one for shots from the field; when the Hawks are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 9th-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (13.6). The Warriors are expected to see an increase in plays in this contest from facing the fastest tempo home team in the league this year (the Hawks). The Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). Moses Moody has made 93.2% of his free throws over the last 15 games, 13.0% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season.

Caris LeVert Points Scored Props • Atlanta

C. LeVert
shooting guard SG • Atlanta
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Under
-130

In regard to threes, the Hawks's unimpressive 34.3% rate of converted threes while on their home court comes in as the 5th-lowest in the league this year. The Hawks will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from competing against the 8th-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors).

Caris LeVert

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.4
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.4

In regard to threes, the Hawks's unimpressive 34.3% rate of converted threes while on their home court comes in as the 5th-lowest in the league this year. The Hawks will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from competing against the 8th-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors).

Dyson Daniels Points Scored Props • Atlanta

D. Daniels
shooting guard SG • Atlanta
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Under
-109

Compared to last year's 1.6 clip, Dyson Daniels's personal fouls per game have jumped this year to 2.5. In regard to threes, the Hawks's unimpressive 34.3% rate of converted threes while on their home court comes in as the 5th-lowest in the league this year. The matchup against Golden State is a hard one for three-pointers; when the Warriors are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SGs have posted the lowest three percentage in the league this year (21.6%). The Hawks will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from competing against the 8th-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors). Dyson Daniels has successfully made 55.2% of his free throws at home this year, putting him in the 10th percentile out of all players in the league.

Dyson Daniels

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.9
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.9

Compared to last year's 1.6 clip, Dyson Daniels's personal fouls per game have jumped this year to 2.5. In regard to threes, the Hawks's unimpressive 34.3% rate of converted threes while on their home court comes in as the 5th-lowest in the league this year. The matchup against Golden State is a hard one for three-pointers; when the Warriors are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SGs have posted the lowest three percentage in the league this year (21.6%). The Hawks will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from competing against the 8th-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors). Dyson Daniels has successfully made 55.2% of his free throws at home this year, putting him in the 10th percentile out of all players in the league.

Jonathan Kuminga Points Scored Props • Golden State

J. Kuminga
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17
Best Odds
Under
-110

With respect to scoring, the Warriors's poor 45.0% field goal rate comes in as the 5th-worst in the NBA this year. The Warriors have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. Jonathan Kuminga will likely suffer a drop-off in effectiveness across the board on account of being on the road in this game.

Jonathan Kuminga

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17

With respect to scoring, the Warriors's poor 45.0% field goal rate comes in as the 5th-worst in the NBA this year. The Warriors have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. Jonathan Kuminga will likely suffer a drop-off in effectiveness across the board on account of being on the road in this game.

Draymond Green Points Scored Props • Golden State

D. Green
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

Draymond Green has attempted 6.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 higher than he's attempted overall this season. This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 54.1% on shots from the field (3rd-highest in the league) against the Atlanta Hawks, making this a good matchup. The Warriors are expected to see an increase in plays in this contest from facing the fastest tempo home team in the league this year (the Hawks). The Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). Draymond Green has attempted 4.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 1.0 more than he's attempted in all games this year on the road.

Draymond Green

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.2
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.2

Draymond Green has attempted 6.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 higher than he's attempted overall this season. This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 54.1% on shots from the field (3rd-highest in the league) against the Atlanta Hawks, making this a good matchup. The Warriors are expected to see an increase in plays in this contest from facing the fastest tempo home team in the league this year (the Hawks). The Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). Draymond Green has attempted 4.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 1.0 more than he's attempted in all games this year on the road.

Brandin Podziemski Points Scored Props • Golden State

B. Podziemski
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15
Best Odds
Over
-115

Brandin Podziemski has converted 2.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's converted overall this season. The matchup against Atlanta is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; when the Hawks are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have totaled the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.6). The Warriors are expected to see an increase in plays in this contest from facing the fastest tempo home team in the league this year (the Hawks). The Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). Brandin Podziemski has successfully made 89.3% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 9.6% higher than he's sunk in all games this season.

Brandin Podziemski

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15

Brandin Podziemski has converted 2.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's converted overall this season. The matchup against Atlanta is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; when the Hawks are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have totaled the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.6). The Warriors are expected to see an increase in plays in this contest from facing the fastest tempo home team in the league this year (the Hawks). The Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). Brandin Podziemski has successfully made 89.3% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 9.6% higher than he's sunk in all games this season.

Zaccharie Risacher Points Scored Props • Atlanta

Z. Risacher
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Over
-134

Zaccharie Risacher has successfully made 2.6 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's made from three over the course of the season. The matchup against the Golden State Warriors is a good one for three-point shots; the opposing team's starting SFs have compiled the highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (47.0%). The quickest pace home offense in the NBA this year has been the Atlanta Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Zaccharie Risacher has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 25.5% higher than he's converted in all games this season.

Zaccharie Risacher

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.2
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.2

Zaccharie Risacher has successfully made 2.6 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's made from three over the course of the season. The matchup against the Golden State Warriors is a good one for three-point shots; the opposing team's starting SFs have compiled the highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (47.0%). The quickest pace home offense in the NBA this year has been the Atlanta Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Zaccharie Risacher has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 25.5% higher than he's converted in all games this season.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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