San Antonio @ Toronto picks

Stephon Castle has accumulated 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 1.8 more than he's accumulated in all games this year on the road. As it relates to getting to the charity stripe, the Spurs's subpar 20.0 free throw attempts per game as the road team measures as the 3rd-worst in the NBA this year. Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.2 free throws per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Raptors, making it tough to get to the charity stripe. Stephon Castle is expected to experience a decrease in efficiency for all stats as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.

Among all players in the NBA, Scottie Barnes lands in the 24th percentile for three-point performance with a poor 27.8% rate this year. As it relates to shooting, the Raptors's subpar 109.5 points per game measures as the 5th-weakest in the league over the last 25 games. This year when they are at home, opposing starting SFs have averaged 8.6 points per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Spurs, making this a tough matchup for offensive productivity.

Bismack Biyombo will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to decrease player performance across the board.

Jamal Shead has sunk 45.3% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 11.9% more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season. The matchup against San Antonio is a favorable one for 3-point shots; when the San Antonio Spurs are on the road, the other team's starting PGs have put up the highest three percentage in the league this year (48.4%). The 5th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Toronto Raptors. The Spurs have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games on the road, which should increase possessions for the Toronto Raptors. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Raptors rank best in in the NBA with 16.2 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Chris Paul has sunk 63.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games, 23.0% higher than he's converted from three over the course of the season. The 5th-fastest pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Spurs. The San Antonio Spurs are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Raptors). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Spurs grade out 9th-best in in the NBA with 11.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Chris Paul has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 9.6% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year.

Jamal Shead has sunk 45.3% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 11.9% more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season. The matchup against San Antonio is a favorable one for 3-point shots; when the San Antonio Spurs are on the road, the other team's starting PGs have put up the highest three percentage in the league this year (48.4%). The 5th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Toronto Raptors. The Spurs have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games on the road, which should increase possessions for the Toronto Raptors. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Raptors rank best in in the NBA with 16.2 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.