San Antonio @ Detroit picks

Devin Vassell has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's been called for over the course of the season. As a team, the Spurs have been lousy at getting to the free-throw line while playing on the road: 3rd-worst in the NBA this year, drawing a lowly 20.0 foul shot attempts per game. Devin Vassell ought to see a decline in productivity in all stat categories in light of being on the road in this matchup.

Stephon Castle has accumulated 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 1.8 more than he's accumulated overall this season on the road. The matchup against the Pistons is a tough one for 3-pointers; opposing starting SGs have shot for the 2nd-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (27.6%). As a team, the Spurs have been lousy at getting to the free-throw line while playing on the road: 3rd-worst in the NBA this year, drawing a lowly 20.0 foul shot attempts per game. Stephon Castle will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually decreases stat production in all stat categories.

Jalen Duren has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone. The Pistons check in as the 8th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA while on their home court this year. When defending fellow starting Cs, Bismack Biyombo places in the 3rd percentile with a mere 1.2 three-pointers attempted against him per game this year.

Chris Paul has sunk 55.8% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 15.7% higher than he's converted overall this year. The matchup against the Pistons is a strong one; they have given up the 2nd-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (21.2). The 6th-quickest pace road team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Spurs. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the San Antonio Spurs. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs rank 9th-best in in the NBA with 11.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Among all players in the league, Bismack Biyombo lands in the 97th percentile for field goal performance away from home with a remarkable 67.1% rate this year. The 6th-quickest pace road team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Spurs. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the San Antonio Spurs. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs rank 9th-best in in the NBA with 11.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Bismack Biyombo has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 47.9% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.