MIL 4.0 o228.5
IND -4.0 u228.5
MEM 14.5 o229.0
OKC -14.5 u229.0
MIN 5.5 o210.0
LAL -5.5 u210.0
Dallas 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE39-43
Chicago 9th EASTERN CONFERENCE39-43

Dallas @ Chicago picks

United Center

DAL vs CHI Picks

NBA Picks
Points Scored
N. Vucevic o14.5 Points Scored
Projection 18 (Over)
Best Odds
o14.5 -125 betmgm
Projection updated: 24 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
14.5 -125
14.5 -110
15.5 -109
15.5 -122
15.5 -118
15.5 -118
15.5 -115
15.5 -115
15.5 -113
15.5 -113

Nikola Vucevic has made a whopping 53.8% of his field goal attempts this season, quite a bit higher than his 47.9 mark last season. Nikola Vucevic has sunk 50.3% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games, 10.4% more than he's made in all games this year. Nikola Vucevic has averaged 31.4 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. In terms of shooting, the Chicago Bulls's superb 128.6 points per game settles in as the most in the league over the last 5 games. The number of shots from downtown attempted against Kai Jones has been remarkably high (3.1 per game) when on the visiting team and matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

Points Scored
C. White u25.5 Points Scored
Projection 22.9 (Under)
Best Odds
u25.5 -110 draftkings
Projection updated: 24 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
25.5 -105
25.5 -130
25.5 -117
25.5 -113
25.5 -109
25.5 -125
25.5 -120
25.5 -110
25.5 -106
25.5 -120

The rate of field goals made against Klay Thompson has been quite low (42.3%) when defending other starting SGs this year (23rd percentile). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Chicago Bulls rank 6thworst in in the NBA with only 9.9 offensive boards per game this year. Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, struggling to draw fouls.

Total Rebounds
P. Williams o3.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 4.2 (Over)
Best Odds
o3.5 +120 betmgm
Projection updated: 24 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
3.5 +120
3.5 -160
3.5 +104
3.5 -143
3.5 +105
3.5 -135
3.5 +106
3.5 -136

The speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Bulls. The Chicago Bulls are expected to see a spike in plays today from competing against the 4th-speediest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks). Patrick Williams will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to boost player production in all facets of the game.

Points Scored
J. Giddey u21.5 Points Scored
Projection 19 (Under)
Best Odds
u21.5 -120 betmgm
Projection updated: 24 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
21.5 -110
21.5 -120
20.5 -129
20.5 -104
21.5 +108
21.5 -147
21.5 -105
21.5 -125
20.5 -128
20.5 +100

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Chicago Bulls rank 6thworst in in the NBA with only 9.9 offensive boards per game this year. Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 2.9 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

Total Rebounds
P. Washington o5.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 7.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o5.5 -145 betmgm
Projection updated: 24 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
5.5 -145
5.5 +105
5.5 -161
5.5 +116
6.5 +120
6.5 -154
5.5 -160
5.5 +124

P.J. Washington has posted 7.9 defensive boards per game over the last 10 games away from his home court, 1.3 more than he's posted in all games this year on the road. P.J. Washington has tallied 32.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 87th percentile. The Mavericks have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Dallas Mavericks are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Chicago Bulls).

Points Scored
P. Williams o8.5 Points Scored
Projection 10.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o8.5 -133 caesars
Projection updated: 24 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
8.5 -135
8.5 +100
8.5 -133
8.5 -103
9.5 +100
9.5 -130
9.5 +102
9.5 -130

In terms of shooting, the Chicago Bulls's superb 128.6 points per game settles in as the most in the league over the last 5 games. The speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Bulls. The Chicago Bulls are expected to see a spike in plays today from competing against the 4th-speediest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks). Patrick Williams will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to boost player production in all facets of the game.

Total Assists
K. Huerter o3.5 Total Assists
Projection 3.9 (Over)
Best Odds
o3.5 +135 draftkings
Projection updated: 24 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
3.5 +110
3.5 -140
3.5 +110
3.5 -145
3.5 -104
3.5 -129
3.5 +112
3.5 -154
3.5 +135
3.5 -175
3.5 +106
3.5 -136

Kevin Huerter has totaled 4.8 assists per game over the last 5 games, 2.7 more than he's totaled overall this year. Kevin Huerter has averaged 35.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 12.1 more than he's averaged overall this season. The speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Bulls. The Chicago Bulls are expected to see a spike in plays today from competing against the 4th-speediest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks). Kevin Huerter will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually raises stat production across the board.

Total Assists
S. Dinwiddie u6.5 Total Assists
Projection 5 (Under)
Best Odds
u6.5 -150 bet365
Projection updated: 24 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
6.5 +120
6.5 -150
6.5 +140
6.5 -190
5.5 -115
5.5 -115
5.5 -118
5.5 -118
5.5 -125
5.5 -105
5.5 -113
5.5 -113

The Dallas Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Spencer Dinwiddie is expected to see a decline in effectiveness across the board due to playing away from home in this contest.

Points Scored
P. Washington u17.5 Points Scored
Projection 15.5 (Under)
Best Odds
u17.5 -125 betmgm
Projection updated: 24 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
17.5 -105
17.5 -125
17.5 +104
17.5 -143
16.5 -105
16.5 -125
16.5 -104
16.5 -122

The matchup against the Bulls is a hard one for three-point shots; the other team's starting SFs have shot for the lowest three rate in the league this year (23.9%). The Dallas Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). P.J. Washington will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually decreases player production for all stats.

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71% picking Chicago

29%
71%

Total Picks DAL 177, CHI 442

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