UTA 16.0 o238.5
IND -16.0 u238.5
SAC -11.0 o217.0
CHA 11.0 u217.0
DET -11.0 o227.5
TOR 11.0 u227.5
PHO 14.0 o225.0
BOS -14.0 u225.0
CLE -13.0 o241.5
SA 13.0 u241.5
OKC -6.0 o228.0
HOU 6.0 u228.0
POR 6.0 o235.0
CHI -6.0 u235.0
DEN 1.0 o235.5
GS -1.0 u235.5
NO 14.0 o221.5
LAL -14.0 u221.5
DAL 10.5 o226.0
LAC -10.5 u226.0
Denver 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE47-30
Golden State 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE45-31

Denver @ Golden State props

Chase Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.6
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
29.5 Points Scored
Projection
26.6
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

In terms of 3-point attempts, the least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The clash with Draymond Green places in the 7th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs putting up a mere 11.6 points per game this year. The Denver Nuggets will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from competing against the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Warriors). The matchup against Draymond Green is a hard one for drawing fouls; when facing opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted just 2.6 foul shots per game (25th percentile). Nikola Jokic figures to suffer a reduction in output across the board due to playing on the visting team in this contest.

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.6
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.6

In terms of 3-point attempts, the least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The clash with Draymond Green places in the 7th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs putting up a mere 11.6 points per game this year. The Denver Nuggets will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from competing against the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Warriors). The matchup against Draymond Green is a hard one for drawing fouls; when facing opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted just 2.6 foul shots per game (25th percentile). Nikola Jokic figures to suffer a reduction in output across the board due to playing on the visting team in this contest.

Stephen Curry Points Scored Props • Golden State

S. Curry
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.8
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
26.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.8
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

The Warriors check in as the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA at home this year. The matchup vs. Denver is a difficult one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Denver Nuggets are the visiting team, the other team's starting PGs have averaged the least three attempts per game in the league this year (4.5). The Warriors have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Stephen Curry

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.8
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.8

The Warriors check in as the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA at home this year. The matchup vs. Denver is a difficult one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Denver Nuggets are the visiting team, the other team's starting PGs have averaged the least three attempts per game in the league this year (4.5). The Warriors have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Brandin Podziemski Points Scored Props • Golden State

B. Podziemski
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Under
-118
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Under
-118
Projection Rating

The Warriors check in as the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA at home this year. The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a challenging one; they have given up the least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SGs over the last 25 games (15.6). The Warriors have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Brandin Podziemski

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.3
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.3

The Warriors check in as the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA at home this year. The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a challenging one; they have given up the least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SGs over the last 25 games (15.6). The Warriors have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.4
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.4
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

Jamal Murray has successfully made 2.8 treys per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's made in all games this year when playing on the road. Among all players in the NBA, Jamal Murray rates in the 98th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 36.4 minutes per game this year. The matchup against the Golden State Warriors is a favorable one for 3-point shots; the other team's starting PGs have posted the 6th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (38.4%). The 7th-quickest pace team in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Jamal Murray

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.4
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.4

Jamal Murray has successfully made 2.8 treys per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's made in all games this year when playing on the road. Among all players in the NBA, Jamal Murray rates in the 98th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 36.4 minutes per game this year. The matchup against the Golden State Warriors is a favorable one for 3-point shots; the other team's starting PGs have posted the 6th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (38.4%). The 7th-quickest pace team in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter Jr.
small forward SF • Denver
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.8
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.8
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 56.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 5.8% higher than he's put through the net overall this year. Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 33.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 92nd percentile. The matchup vs. the Warriors is a positive one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting SFs have shot for the highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (47.0%). The 7th-quickest pace team in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Michael Porter Jr.

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.8
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.8

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 56.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 5.8% higher than he's put through the net overall this year. Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 33.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 92nd percentile. The matchup vs. the Warriors is a positive one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting SFs have shot for the highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (47.0%). The 7th-quickest pace team in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Draymond Green Points Scored Props • Golden State

D. Green
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Draymond Green has attempted 10.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 2.6 higher than he's attempted in all games this year at home. Draymond Green has attempted 6.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 2.0 more than he's attempted overall this season at home. Draymond Green has averaged 28.6 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Golden State Warriors. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive boards per game this year.

Draymond Green

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

Draymond Green has attempted 10.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 2.6 higher than he's attempted in all games this year at home. Draymond Green has attempted 6.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 2.0 more than he's attempted overall this season at home. Draymond Green has averaged 28.6 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Golden State Warriors. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive boards per game this year.

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Christian Braun has successfully made 64.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 6.2% more than he's converted overall this year. Christian Braun has made 1.7 threes per game over the last 15 games, 0.6 more than he's made from downtown in all games this season. Christian Braun has been on the court for 38.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 more than he's been on the court for overall this season. The 7th-quickest pace team in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Christian Braun

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.5
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.5

Christian Braun has successfully made 64.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 6.2% more than he's converted overall this year. Christian Braun has made 1.7 threes per game over the last 15 games, 0.6 more than he's made from downtown in all games this season. Christian Braun has been on the court for 38.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 more than he's been on the court for overall this season. The 7th-quickest pace team in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Aaron Gordon has compiled 21.0 points per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 6.2 more than he's compiled overall this year on the road. Aaron Gordon has sunk 55.5% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 10.2% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year. Aaron Gordon has averaged 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year. This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 15.8 field goal attempts per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Warriors, resulting in a favorable matchup. The 7th-quickest pace team in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.7
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.7

Aaron Gordon has compiled 21.0 points per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 6.2 more than he's compiled overall this year on the road. Aaron Gordon has sunk 55.5% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 10.2% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year. Aaron Gordon has averaged 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year. This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 15.8 field goal attempts per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Warriors, resulting in a favorable matchup. The 7th-quickest pace team in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

Moses Moody Points Scored Props • Golden State

M. Moody
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Moses Moody registers in the 76th percentile for three-pointers sunk, logging 1.8 per game this year. Moses Moody has averaged 28.8 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 6.6 higher than he's averaged in all games this season. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Golden State Warriors. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive boards per game this year. Moses Moody has sunk 95.4% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games, 13.8% higher than he's sunk overall this year.

Moses Moody

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.6
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.6

Out of all players in the NBA, Moses Moody registers in the 76th percentile for three-pointers sunk, logging 1.8 per game this year. Moses Moody has averaged 28.8 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 6.6 higher than he's averaged in all games this season. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Golden State Warriors. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive boards per game this year. Moses Moody has sunk 95.4% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games, 13.8% higher than he's sunk overall this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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