Final Apr 5
NY 121 -1.0 o236.0
ATL 105 1.0 u236.0
Final Apr 5
MIN 114 -16.5 o224.5
PHI 109 16.5 u224.5
Final Apr 5
MEM 109 -1.5 o239.0
DET 103 1.5 u239.0
Final OT Apr 5
MIL 121 1.0 o210.0
MIA 115 -1.0 u210.0
Final Apr 5
DAL 104 9.5 o221.0
LAC 135 -9.5 u221.0
Indiana 4th EASTERN CONFERENCE46-31
Denver 4th WESTERN CONFERENCE47-31

Indiana @ Denver props

Ball Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.1
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
30.5 Points Scored
Projection
27.1
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

In regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.1
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.1

In regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

Tyrese Haliburton Points Scored Props • Indiana

T. Haliburton
point guard PG • Indiana
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.9
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
21.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.9
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

The matchup against Denver is a difficult one for three-pointers; when the Nuggets have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PGs have compiled the 2nd-lowest three rate in the league this year (20.5%). The Indiana Pacers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Tyrese Haliburton will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling generally reduces player production for all stats.

Tyrese Haliburton

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.9
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.9

The matchup against Denver is a difficult one for three-pointers; when the Nuggets have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PGs have compiled the 2nd-lowest three rate in the league this year (20.5%). The Indiana Pacers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Tyrese Haliburton will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling generally reduces player production for all stats.

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.1
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.1
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Christian Braun has successfully made 66.8% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 9.1% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Christian Braun has played 39.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 more than he's played in all games this year. The matchup vs. the Indiana Pacers is a favorable one; they have given up the most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SGs this year (19.0). The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the league while at home this year. The Pacers have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to increase plays for the Nuggets.

Christian Braun

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.1
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.1

Christian Braun has successfully made 66.8% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 9.1% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Christian Braun has played 39.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 more than he's played in all games this year. The matchup vs. the Indiana Pacers is a favorable one; they have given up the most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SGs this year (19.0). The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the league while at home this year. The Pacers have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to increase plays for the Nuggets.

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.4
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.4
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Aaron Gordon has put up 18.9 points per game over the last 15 games, 4.6 higher than he's put up in all games this year. Aaron Gordon has converted 3.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.1 more than he's made from three in all games this year when playing at home. Aaron Gordon has been on the court for 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the league while at home this year. The Pacers have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to increase plays for the Nuggets.

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.4
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.4

Aaron Gordon has put up 18.9 points per game over the last 15 games, 4.6 higher than he's put up in all games this year. Aaron Gordon has converted 3.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.1 more than he's made from three in all games this year when playing at home. Aaron Gordon has been on the court for 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the league while at home this year. The Pacers have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to increase plays for the Nuggets.

Myles Turner Points Scored Props • Indiana

M. Turner
center C • Indiana
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.3
Best Odds
Under
-125
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.3
Best Odds
Under
-125
Projection Rating

The number of shots from behind the three-point arc made against Nikola Jokic has been remarkably low (0.5 per game) when facing other starting Cs this year (4th percentile). The Indiana Pacers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Myles Turner will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally decreases player production in all stat categories.

Myles Turner

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.3
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.3

The number of shots from behind the three-point arc made against Nikola Jokic has been remarkably low (0.5 per game) when facing other starting Cs this year (4th percentile). The Indiana Pacers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Myles Turner will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally decreases player production in all stat categories.

Andrew Nembhard Points Scored Props • Indiana

A. Nembhard
shooting guard SG • Indiana
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Andrew Nembhard rates in the 76th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 28.4 minutes per game away from home this year. As it relates to scoring, the Pacers's outstanding 127.2 points per game away from home ranks 2nd-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Denver is a favorable one; when the Denver Nuggets are on their home court, they have allowed the 2nd-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs over the last 5 games (20.4). The Indiana Pacers have played at the 7th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Nuggets have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the league in their home city this year, which should lead to more plays for the Indiana Pacers.

Andrew Nembhard

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.5
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.5

Among all players in the league, Andrew Nembhard rates in the 76th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 28.4 minutes per game away from home this year. As it relates to scoring, the Pacers's outstanding 127.2 points per game away from home ranks 2nd-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Denver is a favorable one; when the Denver Nuggets are on their home court, they have allowed the 2nd-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs over the last 5 games (20.4). The Indiana Pacers have played at the 7th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Nuggets have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the league in their home city this year, which should lead to more plays for the Indiana Pacers.

Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter Jr.
small forward SF • Denver
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.9
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.9
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Michael Porter Jr. has converted 58.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 7.6% more than he's sunk overall this season. Michael Porter Jr. has been on the court for 33.3 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the league while at home this year. The Pacers have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to increase plays for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce further chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 6th-best in in the NBA with 11.8 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Michael Porter Jr.

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.9
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.9

Michael Porter Jr. has converted 58.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 7.6% more than he's sunk overall this season. Michael Porter Jr. has been on the court for 33.3 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the league while at home this year. The Pacers have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to increase plays for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce further chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 6th-best in in the NBA with 11.8 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Jamal Murray has logged 25.8 points per game over the last 10 games while playing at home, 5.1 more than he's logged overall this year at home. Jamal Murray has sunk 3.7 threes per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.1 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year with the home court advantage. Jamal Murray has been on the court for 35.6 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 96th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the league while at home this year. The Pacers have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to increase plays for the Nuggets.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.5
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.5

Jamal Murray has logged 25.8 points per game over the last 10 games while playing at home, 5.1 more than he's logged overall this year at home. Jamal Murray has sunk 3.7 threes per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.1 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year with the home court advantage. Jamal Murray has been on the court for 35.6 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 96th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the league while at home this year. The Pacers have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to increase plays for the Nuggets.

Aaron Nesmith Points Scored Props • Indiana

A. Nesmith
small forward SF • Indiana
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Aaron Nesmith has made 3.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.5 higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season while playing away from home. Compared to last year's 3.5 mark, Aaron Nesmith's personal fouls per game have been reduced this year to 2.6. As it relates to scoring, the Pacers's outstanding 127.2 points per game away from home ranks 2nd-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Indiana Pacers have played at the 7th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Nuggets have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the league in their home city this year, which should lead to more plays for the Indiana Pacers.

Aaron Nesmith

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.1
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.1

Aaron Nesmith has made 3.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.5 higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season while playing away from home. Compared to last year's 3.5 mark, Aaron Nesmith's personal fouls per game have been reduced this year to 2.6. As it relates to scoring, the Pacers's outstanding 127.2 points per game away from home ranks 2nd-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Indiana Pacers have played at the 7th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Nuggets have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the league in their home city this year, which should lead to more plays for the Indiana Pacers.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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