Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

In regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
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In regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
The matchup against Denver is a difficult one for three-pointers; when the Nuggets have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PGs have compiled the 2nd-lowest three rate in the league this year (20.5%). The Indiana Pacers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Tyrese Haliburton will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling generally reduces player production for all stats.
Christian Braun has successfully made 66.8% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 9.1% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Christian Braun has played 39.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 more than he's played in all games this year. The matchup vs. the Indiana Pacers is a favorable one; they have given up the most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SGs this year (19.0). The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the league while at home this year. The Pacers have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to increase plays for the Nuggets.
Aaron Gordon has put up 18.9 points per game over the last 15 games, 4.6 higher than he's put up in all games this year. Aaron Gordon has converted 3.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.1 more than he's made from three in all games this year when playing at home. Aaron Gordon has been on the court for 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the league while at home this year. The Pacers have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to increase plays for the Nuggets.
The number of shots from behind the three-point arc made against Nikola Jokic has been remarkably low (0.5 per game) when facing other starting Cs this year (4th percentile). The Indiana Pacers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Myles Turner will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally decreases player production in all stat categories.
Among all players in the league, Andrew Nembhard rates in the 76th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 28.4 minutes per game away from home this year. As it relates to scoring, the Pacers's outstanding 127.2 points per game away from home ranks 2nd-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Denver is a favorable one; when the Denver Nuggets are on their home court, they have allowed the 2nd-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs over the last 5 games (20.4). The Indiana Pacers have played at the 7th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Nuggets have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the league in their home city this year, which should lead to more plays for the Indiana Pacers.
Michael Porter Jr. has converted 58.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 7.6% more than he's sunk overall this season. Michael Porter Jr. has been on the court for 33.3 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the league while at home this year. The Pacers have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to increase plays for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce further chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 6th-best in in the NBA with 11.8 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
Jamal Murray has logged 25.8 points per game over the last 10 games while playing at home, 5.1 more than he's logged overall this year at home. Jamal Murray has sunk 3.7 threes per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.1 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year with the home court advantage. Jamal Murray has been on the court for 35.6 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 96th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the league while at home this year. The Pacers have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to increase plays for the Nuggets.
Aaron Nesmith has made 3.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.5 higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season while playing away from home. Compared to last year's 3.5 mark, Aaron Nesmith's personal fouls per game have been reduced this year to 2.6. As it relates to scoring, the Pacers's outstanding 127.2 points per game away from home ranks 2nd-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Indiana Pacers have played at the 7th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Nuggets have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the league in their home city this year, which should lead to more plays for the Indiana Pacers.