ATL 5.0 o217.0
ORL -5.0 u217.0
MEM 7.0 o229.0
GS -7.0 u229.0
Boston 2nd EASTERN CONFERENCE61-21
Orlando 7th EASTERN CONFERENCE41-41

Boston @ Orlando picks

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BOS vs ORL Picks

NBA Picks
Points Scored
Paolo Banchero logo Paolo Banchero o27.5 Points Scored (-118)
Best Odds
o27.5 -102 FanDuel
Pick made: 5 days ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
o27.5  -115
o27.5  -102
 -
o26.5  -128
o26.5  -110

The Orlando Magic are going to be in the Play-In Tournament but they’ve been definitely making a push for a top six spot as well. Although Orlando won’t catch the Detroit Pistons in sixth, this squad has been playing very well and Paolo Banchero is a huge reason for it. Banchero has posted 10 games since the beginning of March where he’s showed out for at least 30 points. I know the Celtics are stout defensively and the forward only had 21 points against them earlier in the campaign, but it’s impossible to ignore his brilliance right now. For what it’s worth, he always seems to play better against the Eastern Conference as well, averaging 28.1 points. Banchero will keep up his hot streak tonight and help the Magic potentially extend their three-game winning streak to four.

Points Scored
J. Brown o12.5 Points Scored
Projection 18.2 (Over)
Best Odds
o12.5 -109 caesars
Projection updated: 5 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
12.5 -110
12.5 -120
12.5 -109
12.5 -125
12.5 -115
12.5 -115
12.5 -113
12.5 -113

Out of all players in the league, Jaylen Brown comes in at the 93rd percentile for shots from the field on the road, compiling 17.0 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown comes in at the 91st percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 33.1 minutes per game when playing on the road this year. This year, opposing starting SGs have totaled 14.8 field goal attempts per game (highest in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic, labeling this as a strong matchup. Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 2nd-best in in the NBA with 15.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Jaylen Brown has converted 83.3% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 11.6% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season without the home court advantage.

Total Assists
J. Brown o2.5 Total Assists
Projection 4.1 (Over)
Best Odds
o2.5 -105 betmgm
Projection updated: 5 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
2.5 -105
2.5 -130
2.5 -125
2.5 -109
2.5 -120
2.5 -110

Jaylen Brown has totaled a terrific 4.5 assists per game this year, quite a bit more than his 3.5 assists per game last year. Among all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown comes in at the 91st percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 33.1 minutes per game when playing on the road this year. Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 2nd-best in in the NBA with 15.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Points Scored
P. Pritchard u22.5 Points Scored
Projection 19.3 (Under)
Best Odds
u22.5 -109 caesars
Projection updated: 5 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
21.5 -130
21.5 +100
21.5 -113
21.5 -118
22.5 -125
22.5 -109
22.5 -120
22.5 -110
22.5 -113
22.5 -113

The Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year. The Magic have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Boston Celtics. When it comes to getting to the charity stripe, the Boston Celtics's lackluster 19.4 foul shot attempts per game rates worst in the league this year. The matchup against the Magic is a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.3 free throws per game this year (5th-least in the league). Payton Pritchard should suffer a drop-off in effectiveness for all stats as a result of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Total Rebounds
J. Brown o2.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 4.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o2.5 -145 betmgm
Projection updated: 5 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
2.5 -145
2.5 +110
3.5 +146
3.5 -204
3.5 +130
3.5 -166

Jaylen Brown has tallied 4.9 defensive boards per game on the road this year, putting him in the 89th percentile -- among the league leaders by this standard. Among all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown comes in at the 91st percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 33.1 minutes per game when playing on the road this year. Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 2nd-best in in the NBA with 15.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Total Assists
W. Carter Jr. o1.5 Total Assists
Projection 2.1 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 +125 bet365
Projection updated: 5 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
1.5 +125
1.5 -155
1.5 +125
1.5 -165

The Orlando Magic rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Wendell Carter Jr. ought to see a spike in production for all stats as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Points Scored
K. Caldwell-Pope o8.5 Points Scored
Projection 10.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o8.5 -120 fanduel
Projection updated: 5 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
8.5 -135
8.5 +100
9.5 -105
9.5 -127
8.5 -128
8.5 -106
8.5 -125
8.5 -105
8.5 -120
8.5 -106

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has successfully made 69.6% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 26.7% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has successfully made 62.2% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 29.8% higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has been on the court for 30.5 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The Orlando Magic rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Kentavious Caldwell-Pope will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city tends to raise player performance in all facets of the game.

Points Scored
P. Banchero u27.5 Points Scored
Projection 24.7 (Under)
Best Odds
u27.5 -115 betmgm
Projection updated: 5 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
27.5 -115
27.5 -115
27.5 -108
27.5 -124
26.5 -128
26.5 -106
26.5 -110
26.5 -120
27.5 -102
27.5 -125

The Orlando Magic have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Celtics is a challenging one; they have given up the 2nd-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PFs this year (14.5). The Orlando Magic have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the league this year. The Boston Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Orlando Magic. The matchup against Boston is a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PFs have attempted a mere 3.1 foul shots per game this year when the Celtics are on the road (8th-least in the league).

Total Assists
T. Craig u1.5 Total Assists
Projection 0.9 (Under)
Best Odds
u1.5 -140 betmgm
Projection updated: 5 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
1.5 +105
1.5 -140

Torrey Craig has put up 0.5 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the worst players in the league by this metric: 15th percentile. Torrey Craig has tallied just 11.0 minutes per game this year, significantly lower than his 19.5 minutes per game last year. The Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year. The Magic have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Boston Celtics. Torrey Craig will likely suffer a drop-off in effectiveness in all stat categories on account of playing on the visting team in this contest.

3-Pointers Made
P. Pritchard u4.5 3-Pointers Made
Projection 3.7 (Under)
Best Odds
u4.5 -108 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 5 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
4.5 +105
4.5 -140
4.5 -124
4.5 -108
4.5 -109
4.5 -125
4.5 -115
4.5 -115
4.5 -113
4.5 -113

The Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year. The Magic have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Boston Celtics. Payton Pritchard should suffer a drop-off in effectiveness for all stats as a result of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Points Scored
T. Craig o7.5 Points Scored
Projection 8.8 (Over)
Best Odds
o7.5 +100 fanduel
Projection updated: 5 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
7.5 +100
7.5 -135
7.5 -106
7.5 -128
7.5 -120
7.5 -110
7.5 +100
7.5 -128

Torrey Craig has successfully made 65.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 16.4% more than he's put through the net in all games this season away from home. Out of all players in the league, Torrey Craig measures in the 87th percentile for 3-point ability with a great 39.2% rate this year. Torrey Craig has accumulated a measly 1.3 personal fouls per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 2.0 fouls per game last season. The matchup vs. Orlando is a strong one for shots from the field; when the Orlando Magic are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have posted the 10th-highest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (49.9%). Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 2nd-best in in the NBA with 15.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

BOS vs ORL Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Spread

63% picking Boston

63%
37%

Total Picks BOS 332, ORL 199

Spread
BOS
ORL
Total

62% picking Boston vs Orlando to go Over

62%
38%

Total PicksBOS 247, ORL 149

Total
Over
Under

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