Charlotte @ Toronto picks
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CHA vs TOR Picks
NBA Picks
The Hornets got blown out on Tuesday vs. the Grizzlies and now travel to face Toronto. With both teams playing with little purpose, I have a hard time seeing the Raptors covering this spread. Their game-day roster is a rotating door and given who may or may not play, this line could shrink in a hurry. I'm willing to take the Hornets here at this line before shortens.
DaQuan Jeffries has converted 57.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games on the road, 21.5% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season away from home. DaQuan Jeffries has tallied 27.8 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.4 more than he's tallied overall this season. The Raptors have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Charlotte Hornets. The Hornets rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). DaQuan Jeffries has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 20.0% higher than he's converted over the course of the year while on the road.
The Hornets check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games. The 9th-slowest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Charlotte Hornets. The matchup vs. the Raptors may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.2 free throws per game over the last 10 games (least in the NBA). Nick Smith Jr. will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling usually reduces stat production in all facets of the game.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 11.3 shot attempts per game (fewest in the league) against the Charlotte Hornets, making this a challenging matchup. The Hornets have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Raptors. The matchup vs. the Hornets is a hard one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.9 foul shots per game this year (3rd-least in the NBA).
Miles Bridges has compiled 1.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 0.6 higher than he's compiled in all games this year on the road. The Raptors have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Charlotte Hornets. The Hornets rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Miles Bridges has been on the court for a lowly 31.7 minutes per game this year, quite a bit less than his 37.5 minutes per game last year. The Hornets check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games. The matchup vs. Toronto is a difficult one for three-point attempts; when the Raptors have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the least three attempts per game in the league this year (3.1). The 9th-slowest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Charlotte Hornets. Miles Bridges will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally decreases stat production in all facets of the game.
CHA vs TOR Consensus Picks
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70% picking Toronto
Total Picks CHA 165, TOR 381
61% picking Charlotte vs Toronto to go Over
Total PicksCHA 227, TOR 146