Miami @ Chicago picks

The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Bulls. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, but the Chicago Bulls grade out 6thworst in in the league with a mere 10.0 offensive rebounds per game this year. The matchup vs. Miami may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Heat are the visiting team (4th-least in the NBA).

Kel'el Ware has successfully made 61.7% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 7.6% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season. Kel'el Ware has tallied 28.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.5 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year. The Heat rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games. The number of points scored against Nikola Vucevic has been very high (17.2 per game) when he is playing at home and defending other starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Chicago Bulls have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to raise opportunities for the Heat.

Out of all players in the NBA, Josh Giddey lands in the 80th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 30.1 minutes per game this year. The Chicago Bulls have been the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc. Over the last 5 games, opposing starting PGs have tallied 8.8 three attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Heat, creating a positive matchup. The Chicago Bulls have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games. Josh Giddey is expected to see an increase in effectiveness for all stats on account of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Kevin Huerter has compiled 4.0 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.0 higher than he's compiled in all games this season at home. Kevin Huerter has averaged 34.3 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 10.1 higher than he's averaged overall this season. The Chicago Bulls have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games. Kevin Huerter will likely get a boost in production across the board as a result of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Bulls. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, but the Chicago Bulls grade out 6thworst in in the league with a mere 10.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Kevin Huerter has made 5.8 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 2.2 higher than he's put through the net overall this season. Kevin Huerter has attempted 7.6 threes per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year at home. Kevin Huerter has averaged 34.3 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 10.1 higher than he's averaged overall this season. The Chicago Bulls check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup against Miami is a strong one for three-point attempts; when the Heat are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 3rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8).