Denver @ Sacramento props

Keon Ellis has sunk 56.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games at home, 7.0% more than he's put through the net in all games this season when playing at home. Among all players in the NBA, Keon Ellis slots into the 93rd percentile for three-point performance at home with an exceptional 47.5% rate this year. Keon Ellis has averaged 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 8.4 more than he's averaged over the course of the season at home. The Kings rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while at home. The Sacramento Kings are expected to see a spike in plays today from competing against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets).

Trey Lyles has been on the court for 26.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.2 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year. The Kings rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while at home. The matchup against Denver is a good one for threes; when the Denver Nuggets are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have posted the 5th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (44.8%). The Sacramento Kings are expected to see a spike in plays today from competing against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets). Trey Lyles has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 29.2% higher than he's converted overall this season while playing at home.

Jalen Pickett has successfully made 1.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.7 more than he's converted overall this season without the home court advantage. Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Pickett comes in at the 24th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a mere 1.0 fouls per game on the road this year. The 5th-quickest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 7th-best in in the league when playing away from home with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. Compared to last season's 75.0% clip, Jalen Pickett's foul-shot effectiveness has surged this season to 87.5%.

In terms of shot attempts from downtown, the least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The matchup vs. Domantas Sabonis is a tough one; he has given up a measly 11.8 points per game while at home when matched up against other starting Cs this year (10th percentile). The Kings have played at the 5th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Nuggets. The matchup against Domantas Sabonis is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; when Sabonis is playing at home and squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.5 foul shots per game (23rd percentile). Nikola Jokic will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases player performance across the board.

In comparison to last season's 26.9% mark, Aaron Gordon's three-point proficiency has jumped this season to 43.5%. Aaron Gordon has played 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 5.9 more than he's played in all games this year on the road. The matchup against the Sacramento Kings is a strong one for scoring; opposing starting PFs have compiled the 6th-highest field goal rate in the league this year (52.6%). The 5th-quickest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 7th-best in in the league when playing away from home with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Christian Braun has made 65.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 7.3% higher than he's made in all games this year. Christian Braun has sunk 47.6% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 9.2% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season. Christian Braun has averaged 39.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 more than he's averaged over the course of the year. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have scored 18.1 points per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Sacramento Kings, designating this as a good matchup for offensive productivity. The 5th-quickest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets.

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 8.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Among all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. places in the 92nd percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 33.8 minutes per game this year. This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 6.1 three attempts per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings, creating a good matchup. The 5th-quickest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 7th-best in in the league when playing away from home with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

This year when they are at home, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 1.1 threes per game (lowest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, designating this as a difficult matchup. The 5th-slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Kings. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Sacramento Kings rank 7thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.5 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Russell Westbrook has tallied 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 0.9 higher than he's tallied in all games this season on the road. In terms of shot attempts from downtown, the least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Kings have played at the 5th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Nuggets. Russell Westbrook will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally decreases player production in all stat categories.

Keegan Murray has converted 3.6 treys per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.5 higher than he's converted in all games this year at home. Among all players in the league, Keegan Murray places in the 94th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 34.5 minutes per game this year. The Kings rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while at home. The matchup against Denver is a good one for threes; when the Denver Nuggets are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have posted the 5th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (44.8%). The Sacramento Kings are expected to see a spike in plays today from competing against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets).

Relative to last season's 6.8 clip, Zach LaVine's shots drained have surged this season to 8.3 per game. Zach LaVine has made a terrific 42.8% of his three-pointers this season, quite a bit more than his 32.3 rate last season. Zach LaVine has been on the court for 35.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 96th percentile. The Kings rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while at home. The Sacramento Kings are expected to see a spike in plays today from competing against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets).

Jonas Valanciunas has made 55.9% of his shot attempts from the field when playing at home this year, ranking in the 87th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Kings rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while at home. The Sacramento Kings are expected to see a spike in plays today from competing against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets). Jonas Valanciunas figures to get a boost in output in all facets of the game due to possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Domantas Sabonis has sunk 9.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's sunk in all games this season. Domantas Sabonis has attempted 2.2 treys per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 1.1 mark last season. Out of all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis registers in the 94th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 34.7 minutes per game this year. The Kings rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while at home. The Sacramento Kings are expected to see a spike in plays today from competing against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets).

Devin Carter has gone over 6.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Peyton Watson has gone over 6.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.