Oklahoma City @ Phoenix picks

Chet Holmgren has successfully made 49.2% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games on the road, 12.3% more than he's converted from three overall this year while on the road. With respect to scoring, the Thunder's excellent 125.3 points per game measures as the highest in the league over the last 25 games. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games. Chet Holmgren has made 85.2% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 11.4% more than he's sunk overall this year. The matchup vs. Phoenix may be a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PFs have attempted a massive 4.3 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Phoenix Suns are on their home court (2nd-most in the league).

Ryan Dunn has attempted 4.7 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.4 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Ryan Dunn has averaged 25.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 7.0 more than he's averaged in all games this year. In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the Suns's excellent 37.8% rate of sunk threes comes in as the 4th-best in the league this year. The Suns are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 4th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games (the Thunder). Ryan Dunn has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 56.1% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season.

Chet Holmgren has successfully made 49.2% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games on the road, 12.3% more than he's converted from three overall this year while on the road. The Thunder rank as the 10th-most aggressive offense in the league this year with respect to shot attempts from downtown. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games.

Grayson Allen has played a mere 24.0 minutes per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 33.2 minutes per game last season. The matchup against the Thunder is a hard one for threes; the other team's starting SFs have put up the 2nd-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (25.5%). The 3rd-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Suns. The Phoenix Suns check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games.

Ryan Dunn has attempted 4.7 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.4 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Ryan Dunn has averaged 25.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 7.0 more than he's averaged in all games this year. In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the Suns's excellent 37.8% rate of sunk threes comes in as the 4th-best in the league this year. The Suns are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 4th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games (the Thunder). Ryan Dunn will likely see a spike in performance across the board in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Aaron Wiggins has failed to convert 5.9 field goals per game over the last 15 games, 1.3 more than he's missed over the course of the season. The Thunder will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from facing the 3rd-most sluggish pace team in the league over the last 15 games (the Suns). The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Suns may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a measly 1.6 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (4th-least in the league). Aaron Wiggins will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to decrease player production in all stat categories.

Jalen Williams has averaged 5.5 assists per game this year on the road, ranking him among the NBA's hottest in this category over this stretch: 93rd percentile. Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Williams slots into the 88th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 32.4 minutes per game this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games.