ATL 5.0 o217.0
ORL -5.0 u217.0
MEM 7.0 o229.0
GS -7.0 u229.0
Toronto 11th EASTERN CONFERENCE30-52
Dallas 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE39-43

Toronto @ Dallas picks

American Airlines Center

TOR vs DAL Picks

NBA Picks
Points Scored
S. Barnes o15.5 Points Scored
Projection 20.3 (Over)
Best Odds
o15.5 -118 caesars
Projection updated: 3 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
15.5 -118
15.5 -118

Scottie Barnes has attempted 16.1 shots per game this year, putting him in the 91st percentile among all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Scottie Barnes ranks in the 90th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 33.0 minutes per game when playing on the road this year. This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 16.0 shot attempts per game (highest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, making this a good matchup. The Toronto Raptors have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing on the road. The Raptors will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

Points Scored
K. Thompson o12.5 Points Scored
Projection 14.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o12.5 -109 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 3 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
12.5 -120
12.5 -110
12.5 -109
12.5 -122
12.5 -118
12.5 -118
12.5 -115
12.5 -115
12.5 -122
12.5 -104

Klay Thompson has attempted 9.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 1.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season at home. With respect to scoring, the Mavericks's stellar 50.3% field goal rate rates 3rd-best in the league over the last 15 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games. The Toronto Raptors have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games on the road, which should lead to more opportunities for the Mavericks. Out of all players in the NBA, Klay Thompson registers in the 94th percentile for foul-shot effectiveness with the home court advantage with a remarkable 95.8% rate this year.

Total Rebounds
P. Washington Jr. o5.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 7.6 (Over)
Best Odds
o5.5 -136 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 3 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
6.5 +100
6.5 -130
5.5 -136
5.5 +102
6.5 +100
6.5 -137
6.5 +124
6.5 -160
6.5 +122
6.5 -156

P.J. Washington has posted a whopping 6.3 defensive rebounds per game this season, a significant increase from his 4.6 defensive rebounds per game last season. P.J. Washington has averaged 31.7 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games. The Toronto Raptors have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games on the road, which should lead to more opportunities for the Mavericks. P.J. Washington should see an increase in production in all facets of the game on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Points Scored
S. Dinwiddie o10.5 Points Scored
Projection 12.8 (Over)
Best Odds
o10.5 -125 betmgm
Projection updated: 3 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
10.5 -125
10.5 -110
10.5 -125
10.5 -109

Spencer Dinwiddie has posted 15.6 points per game over the last 15 games, 4.5 more than he's posted in all games this season. Spencer Dinwiddie has successfully made 59.4% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 15.8% more than he's made in all games this year at home. Spencer Dinwiddie has averaged 33.6 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 6.7 more than he's averaged over the course of the season. With respect to scoring, the Mavericks's stellar 50.3% field goal rate rates 3rd-best in the league over the last 15 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games.

3-Pointers Made
P. Washington Jr. o1.5 3-Pointers Made
Projection 2 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 +120 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 3 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
1.5 +100
1.5 -130
1.5 +100
1.5 -135
1.5 +120
1.5 -159
1.5 -103
1.5 -133
1.5 +100
1.5 -130
1.5 +102
1.5 -130

P.J. Washington has sunk 2.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.6 more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season on his home court. P.J. Washington has averaged 31.7 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The matchup against Toronto is a favorable one for 3-point shots; when the Toronto Raptors are away from home, opposing starting SFs have averaged the most three-point shots per game in the league this year (2.8). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games. The Toronto Raptors have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games on the road, which should lead to more opportunities for the Mavericks.

Total Assists
S. Dinwiddie u5.5 Total Assists
Projection 4.9 (Under)
Best Odds
u5.5 +105 betmgm
Projection updated: 3 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
5.5 -130
5.5 +100
5.5 -140
5.5 +105
5.5 -137
5.5 +100

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Total Rebounds
N. Marshall o4.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 5.6 (Over)
Best Odds
o4.5 -105 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 3 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
4.5 -115
4.5 -115
4.5 -105
4.5 -127
4.5 -133
4.5 -103
4.5 -125
4.5 -105
4.5 -122
4.5 -104

Naji Marshall has averaged 5.7 defensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games while at home, 1.6 higher than he's averaged overall this season at home. Naji Marshall has played 34.5 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 6.8 more than he's played in all games this season. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games. The Toronto Raptors have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games on the road, which should lead to more opportunities for the Mavericks. Naji Marshall will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually increases stat production for all stats.

TOR vs DAL Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Spread

66% picking Toronto

66%
34%

Total Picks TOR 378, DAL 196

Spread
TOR
DAL
Total

62% picking Toronto vs Dallas to go Over

62%
38%

Total PicksTOR 221, DAL 135

Total
Over
Under

TOR vs DAL Top User Picks

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User Picks

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