ATL 5.0 o217.0
ORL -5.0 u217.0
MEM 7.0 o229.0
GS -7.0 u229.0
Toronto 11th EASTERN CONFERENCE30-52
Dallas 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE39-43

Toronto @ Dallas props

American Airlines Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Scottie Barnes Points Scored Props • Toronto

S. Barnes
power forward PF • Toronto
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.3
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.3
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Scottie Barnes has attempted 16.1 shots per game this year, putting him in the 91st percentile among all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Scottie Barnes ranks in the 90th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 33.0 minutes per game when playing on the road this year. This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 16.0 shot attempts per game (highest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, making this a good matchup. The Toronto Raptors have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing on the road. The Raptors will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

Scottie Barnes

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.3
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.3

Scottie Barnes has attempted 16.1 shots per game this year, putting him in the 91st percentile among all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Scottie Barnes ranks in the 90th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 33.0 minutes per game when playing on the road this year. This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 16.0 shot attempts per game (highest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, making this a good matchup. The Toronto Raptors have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing on the road. The Raptors will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Thompson
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
-109
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
-109
Projection Rating

Klay Thompson has attempted 9.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 1.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season at home. With respect to scoring, the Mavericks's stellar 50.3% field goal rate rates 3rd-best in the league over the last 15 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games. The Toronto Raptors have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games on the road, which should lead to more opportunities for the Mavericks. Out of all players in the NBA, Klay Thompson registers in the 94th percentile for foul-shot effectiveness with the home court advantage with a remarkable 95.8% rate this year.

Klay Thompson

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.7
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.7

Klay Thompson has attempted 9.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 1.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season at home. With respect to scoring, the Mavericks's stellar 50.3% field goal rate rates 3rd-best in the league over the last 15 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games. The Toronto Raptors have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games on the road, which should lead to more opportunities for the Mavericks. Out of all players in the NBA, Klay Thompson registers in the 94th percentile for foul-shot effectiveness with the home court advantage with a remarkable 95.8% rate this year.

Spencer Dinwiddie Points Scored Props • Dallas

S. Dinwiddie
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Spencer Dinwiddie has posted 15.6 points per game over the last 15 games, 4.5 more than he's posted in all games this season. Spencer Dinwiddie has successfully made 59.4% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 15.8% more than he's made in all games this year at home. Spencer Dinwiddie has averaged 33.6 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 6.7 more than he's averaged over the course of the season. With respect to scoring, the Mavericks's stellar 50.3% field goal rate rates 3rd-best in the league over the last 15 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games.

Spencer Dinwiddie

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.8
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.8

Spencer Dinwiddie has posted 15.6 points per game over the last 15 games, 4.5 more than he's posted in all games this season. Spencer Dinwiddie has successfully made 59.4% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 15.8% more than he's made in all games this year at home. Spencer Dinwiddie has averaged 33.6 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 6.7 more than he's averaged over the course of the season. With respect to scoring, the Mavericks's stellar 50.3% field goal rate rates 3rd-best in the league over the last 15 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games.

P.J. Washington Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington Jr.
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.6
Best Odds
Over
-127
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.6
Best Odds
Over
-127
Projection Rating

P.J. Washington has put up 18.3 points per game over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, 4.5 higher than he's put up over the course of the year at home. P.J. Washington has sunk 2.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.6 more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season on his home court. P.J. Washington has averaged 31.7 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. With respect to scoring, the Mavericks's stellar 50.3% field goal rate rates 3rd-best in the league over the last 15 games. This year when they are at home, the other team's starting SFs have totaled 23.9 points per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Raptors, making this a positive matchup for offensive effectiveness.

P.J. Washington Jr.

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.6
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.6

P.J. Washington has put up 18.3 points per game over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, 4.5 higher than he's put up over the course of the year at home. P.J. Washington has sunk 2.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.6 more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season on his home court. P.J. Washington has averaged 31.7 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. With respect to scoring, the Mavericks's stellar 50.3% field goal rate rates 3rd-best in the league over the last 15 games. This year when they are at home, the other team's starting SFs have totaled 23.9 points per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Raptors, making this a positive matchup for offensive effectiveness.

Naji Marshall Points Scored Props • Dallas

N. Marshall
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.1
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.1
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Naji Marshall has sunk 7.2 buckets per game over the last 15 games, 1.9 higher than he's put through the net in all games this year. Naji Marshall has played 34.5 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 6.8 more than he's played in all games this season. With respect to scoring, the Mavericks's stellar 50.3% field goal rate rates 3rd-best in the league over the last 15 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games. The Toronto Raptors have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games on the road, which should lead to more opportunities for the Mavericks.

Naji Marshall

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.1
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.1

Naji Marshall has sunk 7.2 buckets per game over the last 15 games, 1.9 higher than he's put through the net in all games this year. Naji Marshall has played 34.5 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 6.8 more than he's played in all games this season. With respect to scoring, the Mavericks's stellar 50.3% field goal rate rates 3rd-best in the league over the last 15 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games. The Toronto Raptors have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games on the road, which should lead to more opportunities for the Mavericks.

Anthony Davis Points Scored Props • Dallas

A. Davis
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.7
Best Odds
Under
+100
Prop
22.5 Points Scored
Projection
21.7
Best Odds
Under
+100
Projection Rating

Anthony Davis has made a mere 50.8% of his shot attempts from the field this season, a significant dropoff from his 56.2 rate last season. Anthony Davis has missed 2.6 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's failed to convert from 3-point range overall this season. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Raptors may be a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.7 free throws per game over the last 25 games (2nd-least in the NBA).

Anthony Davis

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.7
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.7

Anthony Davis has made a mere 50.8% of his shot attempts from the field this season, a significant dropoff from his 56.2 rate last season. Anthony Davis has missed 2.6 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's failed to convert from 3-point range overall this season. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Raptors may be a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.7 free throws per game over the last 25 games (2nd-least in the NBA).

Jonathan Mogbo Points Scored Props • Toronto

J. Mogbo
center C • Toronto
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.3
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.3
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Jonathan Mogbo has converted 58.0% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 12.6% more than he's sunk over the course of the season. Jonathan Mogbo has been on the court for 31.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 11.3 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The Toronto Raptors have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing on the road. The Raptors will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games (the Dallas Mavericks). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Raptors grade out 2nd-best in in the league with 14.7 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Jonathan Mogbo

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.3
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.3

Jonathan Mogbo has converted 58.0% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 12.6% more than he's sunk over the course of the season. Jonathan Mogbo has been on the court for 31.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 11.3 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The Toronto Raptors have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing on the road. The Raptors will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games (the Dallas Mavericks). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Raptors grade out 2nd-best in in the league with 14.7 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Jamal Shead Points Scored Props • Toronto

J. Shead
point guard PG • Toronto
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

Jamal Shead has attempted 11.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Jamal Shead has tallied 25.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 higher than he's tallied in all games this year. The Toronto Raptors have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing on the road. The Raptors will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games (the Dallas Mavericks). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Raptors grade out 2nd-best in in the league with 14.7 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Jamal Shead

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.6
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.6

Jamal Shead has attempted 11.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Jamal Shead has tallied 25.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 higher than he's tallied in all games this year. The Toronto Raptors have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing on the road. The Raptors will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games (the Dallas Mavericks). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Raptors grade out 2nd-best in in the league with 14.7 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Ochai Agbaji Points Scored Props • Toronto

O. Agbaji
shooting guard SG • Toronto
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13
Best Odds
Under
-118
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
13
Best Odds
Under
-118
Projection Rating

Ochai Agbaji has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 1.0 higher than he's tallied in all games this year on the road. In regard to shot attempts from downtown, the 2nd-least aggressive team in the league when playing on the road this year has been the Raptors. The matchup against Dallas is a difficult one for three-point shots; when the Mavericks have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have totaled the least threes per game in the league this year (0.8). Ochai Agbaji will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually reduces player production in all stat categories.

Ochai Agbaji

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13

Ochai Agbaji has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 1.0 higher than he's tallied in all games this year on the road. In regard to shot attempts from downtown, the 2nd-least aggressive team in the league when playing on the road this year has been the Raptors. The matchup against Dallas is a difficult one for three-point shots; when the Mavericks have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have totaled the least threes per game in the league this year (0.8). Ochai Agbaji will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually reduces player production in all stat categories.

Jamison Battle Points Scored Props • Toronto

J. Battle
shooting guard SG • Toronto
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.9
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.9
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Jamison Battle has converted 53.4% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 10.7% more than he's made overall this year. Jamison Battle has sunk 2.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's made from three overall this year. Jamison Battle has averaged 27.6 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 10.7 higher than he's averaged overall this season. This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 2.8 threes per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Mavericks, marking this as a positive matchup. The Toronto Raptors have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing on the road.

Jamison Battle

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.9
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.9

Jamison Battle has converted 53.4% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 10.7% more than he's made overall this year. Jamison Battle has sunk 2.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's made from three overall this year. Jamison Battle has averaged 27.6 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 10.7 higher than he's averaged overall this season. This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 2.8 threes per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Mavericks, marking this as a positive matchup. The Toronto Raptors have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing on the road.

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Gafford
center C • Dallas
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Daniel Gafford has sunk 63.8% of his field goal attempts while playing at home this year, putting him in the 95th percentile among all players in the league. Daniel Gafford has tallied 26.0 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.3 more than he's tallied overall this year. With respect to scoring, the Mavericks's stellar 50.3% field goal rate rates 3rd-best in the league over the last 15 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games. The Toronto Raptors have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games on the road, which should lead to more opportunities for the Mavericks.

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9

Daniel Gafford has sunk 63.8% of his field goal attempts while playing at home this year, putting him in the 95th percentile among all players in the league. Daniel Gafford has tallied 26.0 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.3 more than he's tallied overall this year. With respect to scoring, the Mavericks's stellar 50.3% field goal rate rates 3rd-best in the league over the last 15 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games. The Toronto Raptors have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games on the road, which should lead to more opportunities for the Mavericks.

Dereck Lively II Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Lively II
center C • Dallas
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.6
Best Odds
Over
-133
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.6
Best Odds
Over
-133
Projection Rating

Dereck Lively II has successfully made 78.3% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 6.8% higher than he's converted in all games this season. With respect to scoring, the Mavericks's stellar 50.3% field goal rate rates 3rd-best in the league over the last 15 games. The number of shots from downtown attempted against Jonathan Mogbo has been remarkably high (2.9 per game) when playing on the road and guarding other starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games. The Toronto Raptors have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games on the road, which should lead to more opportunities for the Mavericks.

Dereck Lively II

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.6
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.6

Dereck Lively II has successfully made 78.3% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 6.8% higher than he's converted in all games this season. With respect to scoring, the Mavericks's stellar 50.3% field goal rate rates 3rd-best in the league over the last 15 games. The number of shots from downtown attempted against Jonathan Mogbo has been remarkably high (2.9 per game) when playing on the road and guarding other starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games. The Toronto Raptors have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games on the road, which should lead to more opportunities for the Mavericks.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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