Oklahoma City @ Utah picks
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OKC vs UTA Picks
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There's a ton of volatility in betting these types of meaningless games at this point in the season. The Thunder have clinched the No. 1 seed and have ruled out all five starters as well as top backups Alex Caruso and Cason Wallace tonight due to "injuries" (wink, wink). That makes the Jazz a tempting plus money play on the moneyline. Sure the Jazz are tanking and have shut down their top-two scorers along with center Walker Kessler. But even with management seemingly trying to lose their last game (coach Will Hardy benched their best remaining player Collin Sexton in the fourth quarter), they beat a short-handed Blazers team in OT. Utah's lineup is filled with young players that are fighting to earn more playing time and get contracts. While management might not want them to win, they're going to give a good effort.
The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games. The Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Utah Jazz have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to more opportunities for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Kenrich Williams has compiled 1.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 0.5 more than he's compiled over the course of the year on the road. The Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Utah Jazz have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to more opportunities for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA as the visting team with just 8.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. Jaylin Williams will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers player production across the board.
The Jazz check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA on their home court this year.
Brice Sensabaugh has converted 63.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 17.8% higher than he's made overall this season on his home court. Brice Sensabaugh has sunk 55.2% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games, 18.4% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season. Brice Sensabaugh has played 29.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 10.0 more than he's played overall this season. The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Utah Jazz. The Jazz are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from squaring off against the 5th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Thunder).
Jaylin Williams has successfully made 61.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 13.7% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season while on the road. Jaylin Williams has attempted 3.3 three-point shots per game this season, significantly higher than his 2.1 mark last season. The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games. The number of shot attempts from the field against Kyle Filipowski has been very high (11.8 per game) when at home and matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (97th percentile). The Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
Keyonte George has gone under 5.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.
OKC vs UTA Consensus Picks
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68% picking Oklahoma City vs Utah to go Over
Total PicksOKC 272, UTA 128
