ATL 5.0 o217.0
ORL -5.0 u217.0
MEM 7.0 o229.0
GS -7.0 u229.0
Golden State 7th WESTERN CONFERENCE48-33
Portland 12th WESTERN CONFERENCE36-46

Golden State @ Portland picks

Moda Center

GS vs POR Picks

NBA Picks
Total Assists
Draymond Green logo Draymond Green o5.5 Total Assists (-120)
Best Odds
o5.5 -106 FanDuel
Pick made: 3 days ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
o5.5  -110
o5.5  -106
o5.5  -115
o5.5  -118
o5.5  -120

Warriors point forward Draymond Green is typically the main facilitator when it matters for Golden State, and I expect him to take on that role Friday night in the Moda Center. Green did that job well on Wednesday. He dropped eight dimes and handled most of the playmaking chores against the Spurs like he usually does whenever the Warriors need a bucket. I expect Green to accept a similar role tonight. 

Points Scored
M. Thybulle o8.5 Points Scored
Projection 11.8 (Over)
Best Odds
o8.5 -114 caesars
Projection updated: 3 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
8.5 -114
8.5 -120

Matisse Thybulle has sunk an impressive 43.6% of his attempts from beyond the arc this season, quite a bit higher than his 29.7 rate last season. Matisse Thybulle has tallied 28.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.0 more than he's tallied overall this season. Among all players in the NBA, Matisse Thybulle ranks in the 16th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a mere 0.9 fouls per game this year. The speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Trail Blazers. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers rank best in in the NBA with 15.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Points Scored
T. Camara u16.5 Points Scored
Projection 14.7 (Under)
Best Odds
u16.5 -114 caesars
Projection updated: 3 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
16.5 -120
16.5 -114

When it comes to scoring, the Trail Blazers's unimpressive 111.2 points per game places 9th-lowest in the NBA this year. The Trail Blazers are expected to see a decline in plays today from competing against the 7th-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Warriors).

Points Scored
S. Curry o24.5 Points Scored
Projection 26.5 (Over)
Best Odds
o24.5 -105 betmgm
Projection updated: 3 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
24.5 -105
24.5 -125
24.5 -118
24.5 -113
24.5 -128
24.5 -106
25.5 -110
25.5 -120
24.5 -106
24.5 -120

Stephen Curry has registered 32.4 points per game over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, 6.1 more than he's registered in all games this year on the road. Out of all players in the league, Stephen Curry slots into the 87th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 32.1 minutes per game this year. The Golden State Warriors will likely see an increase in possessions today from competing against the most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Portland Trail Blazers). The Golden State Warriors have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Stephen Curry has sunk 6.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.9 more than he's sunk in all games this year when playing on the road.

GS vs POR Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Spread

66% picking Portland

34%
66%

Total Picks GS 192, POR 378

Spread
GS
POR
Total

65% picking Golden State vs Portland to go Over

65%
35%

Total PicksGS 253, POR 137

Total
Over
Under

GS vs POR Top User Picks

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