ORL 10.5 o196.5
BOS -10.5 u196.5
MIA 12.5 o213.0
CLE -12.5 u213.0
GS 3.5 o204.5
HOU -3.5 u204.5
Houston 2nd WESTERN CONFERENCE52-30
Los Angeles 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32

Houston @ Los Angeles Picks & Predictions

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HOU vs LAL Picks

NBA Picks
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Houston Rockets logo
HOU +12.0 (-110)
Best Odds
+13.0 +114 ProphetX
Pick made: 11 days ago
Kenny Ducey image
Kenny Ducey
Betting Analyst
+13.0  +114
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The Houston Rockets will be without Alperen Sengun for a second straight game while Amen Thompson and Dillon Brooks rest and Fred VanVleet continues to nurse an injured ankle. That is going to make scoring the ball very difficult, even for a team which ranks fifth offensively in the last two weeks, though the Los Angeles Lakers haven’t exactly done a bang-up job defensively in ranking 16th over that same span. With Houston still commanding the boards, and looking even stronger down low with Jock Landale stepping in for Sengun, it should hold at least two edges over L.A. here despite receiving a ton of points from oddsmakers. This one should be closer than it appears with the injury report, and I trust the depth of the Rockets to come up with a gritty, hard-fought cover.

Points Scored
R. Sheppard u17.5 Points Scored
Projection 13.9 (Under)
Best Odds
u17.5 -132 fanduel
Projection updated: 12 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
14.5 -128
14.5 -106
17.5 +100
17.5 -132

Reed Sheppard has successfully made 35.2% of his shot attempts from the field this year, putting him in the 10th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, Reed Sheppard ranks in the 24th percentile for playing time, totaling a measly 12.3 minutes per game when playing on the road this year. In terms of shots from downtown, the Houston Rockets's feeble 12.3 made threes per game away from their home court comes in as the 8th-weakest in the NBA this year. The Houston Rockets have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games while on the road. The Rockets are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from being pitted against the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).

Points Scored
R. Hachimura o12.5 Points Scored
Projection 14.3 (Over)
Best Odds
o12.5 -110 draftkings
Projection updated: 12 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
13.5 +115
13.5 -150
12.5 -117
12.5 -114
12.5 -125
12.5 -109
12.5 -110
12.5 -120
12.5 -113
12.5 -113

Rui Hachimura has converted 2.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's made overall this year. Relative to last season's 26.9 clip, Rui Hachimura's playing time has surged this season to 31.5 minutes per game. The Lakers have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. Rui Hachimura has successfully made 91.7% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 16.8% more than he's sunk over the course of the season. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 5.4 free throws per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Rockets, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Total Rebounds
J. Landale o8.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 9.4 (Over)
Best Odds
o8.5 +114 fanduel
Projection updated: 12 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
8.5 +114
8.5 -146

Jock Landale has put up 2.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's put up overall this year. Offensive rebounds save possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the league with 14.7 offensive boards per game this year.

3-Pointers Made
C. Whitmore o2.5 3-Pointers Made
Projection 2.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o2.5 +148 fanduel
Projection updated: 12 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
2.5 +148
2.5 -192

Cam Whitmore has sunk 55.6% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 24.8% more than he's made from downtown over the course of the year. Cam Whitmore has been called for 0.9 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 19th percentile -- among the NBA's least foul-prone. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 5.8 three attempts per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Lakers, creating a favorable matchup. Offensive rebounds save possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the league with 14.7 offensive boards per game this year.

HOU vs LAL Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

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61% picking Houston

61%
39%

Total Picks HOU 340, LAL 217

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HOU
LAL
Total

67% picking Houston vs L.A. Lakers to go Over

67%
33%

Total PicksHOU 257, LAL 129

Total
Over
Under

HOU vs LAL Top User Picks

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User Picks

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