MIA 1.5 o220.5
CHI -1.5 u220.5
DAL 5.0 o214.0
SAC -5.0 u214.0
Denver 4th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
Houston 2nd WESTERN CONFERENCE52-30

Denver @ Houston Props

Toyota Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.2
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.2
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Jamal Murray has made 2.8 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year when playing on the road. Jamal Murray has been on the court for 36.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 98th percentile. The Rockets have played at the 8th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise plays for the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 6th-best in in the league as the visting team with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. Jamal Murray has successfully made 4.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 more than he's made in all games this year when playing away from home.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.2
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.2

Jamal Murray has made 2.8 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year when playing on the road. Jamal Murray has been on the court for 36.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 98th percentile. The Rockets have played at the 8th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise plays for the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 6th-best in in the league as the visting team with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. Jamal Murray has successfully made 4.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 more than he's made in all games this year when playing away from home.

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Christian Braun has sunk 8.2 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he's converted overall this year. Christian Braun has converted 1.8 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's converted from downtown overall this season. Christian Braun has been on the court for 40.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.3 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The Rockets have played at the 8th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise plays for the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 6th-best in in the league as the visting team with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Christian Braun

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.5
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.5

Christian Braun has sunk 8.2 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he's converted overall this year. Christian Braun has converted 1.8 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's converted from downtown overall this season. Christian Braun has been on the court for 40.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.3 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The Rockets have played at the 8th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise plays for the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 6th-best in in the league as the visting team with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.7
Best Odds
Over
+104
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.7
Best Odds
Over
+104
Projection Rating

In comparison to last year's 26.9% mark, Aaron Gordon's three-point prowess has spiked this year to 42.7%. Aaron Gordon has been on the court for 38.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.8 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year. The Rockets have played at the 8th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise plays for the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 6th-best in in the league as the visting team with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. Aaron Gordon has successfully made 4.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.9 more than he's put through the hoop overall this year without the home court advantage.

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.7
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.7

In comparison to last year's 26.9% mark, Aaron Gordon's three-point prowess has spiked this year to 42.7%. Aaron Gordon has been on the court for 38.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.8 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year. The Rockets have played at the 8th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise plays for the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 6th-best in in the league as the visting team with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. Aaron Gordon has successfully made 4.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.9 more than he's put through the hoop overall this year without the home court advantage.

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
27
Best Odds
Under
-118
Prop
28.5 Points Scored
Projection
27
Best Odds
Under
-118
Projection Rating

The Denver Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The showdown with Alperen Sengun registers in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs putting up just 10.9 points per game this year. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home. The matchup with Alperen Sengun in terms of drawing fouls measures in the 10th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs attempting a mere 2.3 free throws per game this year. Nikola Jokic stands to experience a decrease in efficiency in all stat categories considering being on the road in this matchup.

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27

The Denver Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The showdown with Alperen Sengun registers in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs putting up just 10.9 points per game this year. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home. The matchup with Alperen Sengun in terms of drawing fouls measures in the 10th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs attempting a mere 2.3 free throws per game this year. Nikola Jokic stands to experience a decrease in efficiency in all stat categories considering being on the road in this matchup.

Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter Jr.
small forward SF • Denver
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
17
Best Odds
Over
-130

Michael Porter Jr. has converted 3.6 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season. Out of all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. slots into the 92nd percentile for playing time, posting a massive 33.8 minutes per game this year. The Rockets have played at the 8th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise plays for the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 6th-best in in the league as the visting team with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. Michael Porter Jr. has converted 87.5% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 14.8% higher than he's converted in all games this season while on the road.

Michael Porter Jr.

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17

Michael Porter Jr. has converted 3.6 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season. Out of all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. slots into the 92nd percentile for playing time, posting a massive 33.8 minutes per game this year. The Rockets have played at the 8th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise plays for the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 6th-best in in the league as the visting team with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. Michael Porter Jr. has converted 87.5% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 14.8% higher than he's converted in all games this season while on the road.

Russell Westbrook Points Scored Props • Denver

R. Westbrook
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Russell Westbrook has attempted 13.3 shots per game over the last 15 games, 2.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Relative to last year's 22.2 mark, Russell Westbrook's playing time has jumped this year to 28.0 minutes per game. The Rockets have played at the 8th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise plays for the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 6th-best in in the league as the visting team with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. Russell Westbrook has converted 2.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's put through the net overall this year.

Russell Westbrook

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.1
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.1

Russell Westbrook has attempted 13.3 shots per game over the last 15 games, 2.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Relative to last year's 22.2 mark, Russell Westbrook's playing time has jumped this year to 28.0 minutes per game. The Rockets have played at the 8th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise plays for the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 6th-best in in the league as the visting team with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. Russell Westbrook has converted 2.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's put through the net overall this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic