Atlanta @ Orlando picks
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Okongwu had a monster 30-point performance in his last meeting with Orlando. That output is a bit of an anomaly for Orlando’s opponents. The Magic rank among the best defenses in the league and don’t give away many extra possessions or offensive boards. Orlando allows a league-low 9.2 offensive rebounds against as well as a league-low 11.9 second-chance points per game. In his two meetings with the Magic prior to that offensive eruption, Okongwu mustered just nine and 11 points, respectively. He shot a collective 6-for-7 from the charity stripe in those games and had just three total offensive rebounds. Okongwu’s early player projections for Tuesday all come in shorter than the 14.5-point total.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Hawks. This year, opposing starting PGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) against the Magic, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line. Trae Young will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to decrease player production in all facets of the game.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Hawks. Caris LeVert will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally reduces stat production for all stats.
Caris LeVert has totaled 3.5 assists per game away from home this year, ranking in the 81st percentile -- among the NBA's best by this metric. The 3rd-quickest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Atlanta Hawks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks rank 5th-best in in the NBA as the away team with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Mouhamed Gueye has sunk 56.7% of his treys over the last 5 games, 28.7% more than he's converted over the course of the year. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 49.9% on shots from the field (10th-best in the NBA) against the Magic, marking this as a favorable matchup. The 3rd-quickest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Atlanta Hawks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks rank 5th-best in in the NBA as the away team with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Orlando is a good one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 4.4 foul shots per game this year when the Magic have the home court advantage (5th-most in the NBA).
Zaccharie Risacher has successfully made 7.8 buckets per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.4 higher than he's put through the net overall this year when playing on the road. Zaccharie Risacher has successfully made 2.7 treys per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.0 more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season away from his home court. The matchup vs. the Orlando Magic is a positive one for 3-pointers; opposing starting SFs have totaled the 8th-most threes per game in the league this year (1.9). The 3rd-quickest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Atlanta Hawks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks rank 5th-best in in the NBA as the away team with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
The Magic are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-speediest pace offense in the league this year (the Atlanta Hawks). Wendell Carter Jr. will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally improves player performance across the board.
Cory Joseph has converted 1.6 threes per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season while on his home court. Among all players in the NBA, Cory Joseph measures in the 23rd percentile for personal fouls, tallying a lowly 1.1 fouls per game playing at home this year. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 2.8 3-pointers per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, identifying this as a favorable matchup. The Magic are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-speediest pace offense in the league this year (the Atlanta Hawks). Cory Joseph has made 93.3% of his foul shots over the last 15 games at home, 10.8% more than he's sunk over the course of the year at home.
ATL vs ORL Consensus Picks
View all Consensus Picks63% picking Atlanta vs Orlando to go Over
Total PicksATL 223, ORL 131
ATL vs ORL Top User Picks
View all Top User Picks'doomsday07' picks Atlanta vs Orlando to go Under (217.0)
doomsday07 is #1 on picking games that Orlando is in with a record of (49-30-0) and +14950 units on the season.
'88FAN' picks Atlanta vs Orlando to go Under (217.0)
88FAN is #2 on picking games that Orlando is in with a record of (44-32-0) and +13550 units on the season.
'cpg233' picks Atlanta vs Orlando to go Under (217.0)
cpg233 is #4 on picking games that Orlando is in with a record of (21-14-0) and +9850 units on the season.
'griz55' picks Atlanta vs Orlando to go Over (218.0)
griz55 is #5 on picking games that Orlando is in with a record of (45-32-0) and +9300 units on the season.
'Roundrobinking' picks Atlanta vs Orlando to go Over (217.0)
Roundrobinking is #8 on picking games that Orlando is in with a record of (34-22-0) and +8800 units on the season.
'nbahoops' picks Atlanta vs Orlando to go Under (217.0)
nbahoops is #9 on picking games that Orlando is in with a record of (47-32-0) and +8700 units on the season.