ATL 5.0 o217.0
ORL -5.0 u217.0
MEM 7.0 o229.0
GS -7.0 u229.0
Memphis 8th WESTERN CONFERENCE48-34
Golden State 7th WESTERN CONFERENCE48-33

Memphis @ Golden State props

Chase Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ja Morant Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Morant
point guard PG • Memphis
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.9
Best Odds
Under
-125
Prop
27.5 Points Scored
Projection
22.9
Best Odds
Under
-125
Projection Rating

The Grizzlies are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from being pitted against the 6th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors). Ja Morant will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to decrease player production in all facets of the game.

Ja Morant

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.9
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.9

The Grizzlies are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from being pitted against the 6th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors). Ja Morant will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to decrease player production in all facets of the game.

Brandin Podziemski Points Scored Props • Golden State

B. Podziemski
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Under
-122
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Under
-122
Projection Rating

The Golden State Warriors rank as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the league this year. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 4.3 baskets per game (lowest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies, making this a hard matchup. The 6th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Warriors.

Brandin Podziemski

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.5
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.5

The Golden State Warriors rank as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the league this year. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 4.3 baskets per game (lowest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies, making this a hard matchup. The 6th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Warriors.

Zach Edey Points Scored Props • Memphis

Z. Edey
center C • Memphis
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

Zach Edey has successfully made 78.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 17.9% higher than he's made overall this season while playing away from home. Zach Edey has tallied 30.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.7 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season. The matchup vs. Draymond Green is a strong one for 3-point shots; when Green is playing at home fellow starting Cs this year, they have made a whopping 41.3% of their shots from behind the three-point arc (100th percentile). The fastest pace offense in the league this year has been the Grizzlies. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies grade out best in in the league while playing away from home with 14.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Zach Edey

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

Zach Edey has successfully made 78.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 17.9% higher than he's made overall this season while playing away from home. Zach Edey has tallied 30.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.7 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season. The matchup vs. Draymond Green is a strong one for 3-point shots; when Green is playing at home fellow starting Cs this year, they have made a whopping 41.3% of their shots from behind the three-point arc (100th percentile). The fastest pace offense in the league this year has been the Grizzlies. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies grade out best in in the league while playing away from home with 14.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Jimmy Butler III Points Scored Props • Golden State

J. Butler III
small forward SF • Golden State
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
19
Best Odds
Under
-112
Prop
21.5 Points Scored
Projection
19
Best Odds
Under
-112
Projection Rating

The Golden State Warriors rank as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the league this year. The 6th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Warriors.

Jimmy Butler III

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19

The Golden State Warriors rank as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the league this year. The 6th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Warriors.

Draymond Green Points Scored Props • Golden State

D. Green
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Under
-108

Draymond Green has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the league this year. The 6th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Warriors. Among all players in the league, Draymond Green slots into the 25th percentile for free-throw ability with a bad 69.1% rate this year. The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs vs. Zach Edey has been remarkably low this year (2.8 foul shots per game when they are at home: 14th percentile).

Draymond Green

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10

Draymond Green has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the league this year. The 6th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Warriors. Among all players in the league, Draymond Green slots into the 25th percentile for free-throw ability with a bad 69.1% rate this year. The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs vs. Zach Edey has been remarkably low this year (2.8 foul shots per game when they are at home: 14th percentile).

Buddy Hield Points Scored Props • Golden State

B. Hield
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Over
-109
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Over
-109
Projection Rating

Buddy Hield has attempted 8.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. The Warriors are expected to see a spike in possessions today from competing against the speediest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Memphis Grizzlies). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 5th-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game this year. Buddy Hield has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 10 games, 17.8% more than he's made over the course of the season. Buddy Hield should see a rise in output for all stats due to holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Buddy Hield

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.1
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.1

Buddy Hield has attempted 8.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. The Warriors are expected to see a spike in possessions today from competing against the speediest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Memphis Grizzlies). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 5th-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game this year. Buddy Hield has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 10 games, 17.8% more than he's made over the course of the season. Buddy Hield should see a rise in output for all stats due to holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Moses Moody Points Scored Props • Golden State

M. Moody
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

Moses Moody has averaged 26.9 minutes per game over the last 15 games when playing at home, 5.3 higher than he's averaged in all games this year at home. The Warriors are expected to see a spike in possessions today from competing against the speediest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Memphis Grizzlies). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 5th-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game this year. Moses Moody will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home tends to improve player production in all facets of the game.

Moses Moody

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.2
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.2

Moses Moody has averaged 26.9 minutes per game over the last 15 games when playing at home, 5.3 higher than he's averaged in all games this year at home. The Warriors are expected to see a spike in possessions today from competing against the speediest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Memphis Grizzlies). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 5th-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game this year. Moses Moody will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home tends to improve player production in all facets of the game.

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Jackson Jr.
center C • Memphis
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
22
Best Odds
Over
-125

Jaren Jackson Jr. has made 2.6 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year. Jaren Jackson Jr. has averaged 34.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 more than he's averaged overall this season. The matchup against Golden State is a good one for shots from the field; when the Warriors are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have totaled the 2nd-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.8). The fastest pace offense in the league this year has been the Grizzlies. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies grade out best in in the league while playing away from home with 14.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Jaren Jackson Jr.

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22

Jaren Jackson Jr. has made 2.6 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year. Jaren Jackson Jr. has averaged 34.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 more than he's averaged overall this season. The matchup against Golden State is a good one for shots from the field; when the Warriors are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have totaled the 2nd-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.8). The fastest pace offense in the league this year has been the Grizzlies. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies grade out best in in the league while playing away from home with 14.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Vince Williams Jr. Points Scored Props • Memphis

V. Williams Jr.
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

This year, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 47.0% on threes (highest in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, resulting in a strong matchup. The fastest pace offense in the league this year has been the Grizzlies. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies grade out best in in the league while playing away from home with 14.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 3.8 free throws per game (8th-highest in the league) against the Golden State Warriors, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Vince Williams Jr.

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.4
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.4

This year, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 47.0% on threes (highest in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, resulting in a strong matchup. The fastest pace offense in the league this year has been the Grizzlies. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies grade out best in in the league while playing away from home with 14.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 3.8 free throws per game (8th-highest in the league) against the Golden State Warriors, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Santi Aldama Points Scored Props • Memphis

S. Aldama
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Santi Aldama registers in the 79th percentile for three-point attempts, totaling 5.0 per game this year. The fastest pace offense in the league this year has been the Grizzlies. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies grade out best in in the league while playing away from home with 14.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Santi Aldama

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

Out of all players in the NBA, Santi Aldama registers in the 79th percentile for three-point attempts, totaling 5.0 per game this year. The fastest pace offense in the league this year has been the Grizzlies. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies grade out best in in the league while playing away from home with 14.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Stephen Curry Points Scored Props • Golden State

S. Curry
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.5
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
28.5 Points Scored
Projection
27.5
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

The Golden State Warriors rank as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the league this year. The matchup vs. Memphis is a difficult one; when the Memphis Grizzlies are the visiting team, they have allowed the 8th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (17.0). The 6th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Warriors.

Stephen Curry

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.5
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.5

The Golden State Warriors rank as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the league this year. The matchup vs. Memphis is a difficult one; when the Memphis Grizzlies are the visiting team, they have allowed the 8th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (17.0). The 6th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Warriors.

Desmond Bane Points Scored Props • Memphis

D. Bane
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.9
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.9
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Desmond Bane measures in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 2.4 fouls per game without the home court advantage this year. The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors is a difficult one for scoring; the opposition's starting SGs have shot for the 2nd-lowest field goal rate in the NBA this year (38.4%). The Grizzlies are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from being pitted against the 6th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors). Desmond Bane stands to suffer a reduction in performance across the board considering playing on the visting team in this contest.

Desmond Bane

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.9
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.9

Out of all players in the NBA, Desmond Bane measures in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 2.4 fouls per game without the home court advantage this year. The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors is a difficult one for scoring; the opposition's starting SGs have shot for the 2nd-lowest field goal rate in the NBA this year (38.4%). The Grizzlies are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from being pitted against the 6th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors). Desmond Bane stands to suffer a reduction in performance across the board considering playing on the visting team in this contest.

Luke Kennard Points Scored Props • Memphis

L. Kennard
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.86
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-118
Under
-115
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
8.86
Best Odds
Over
-118
Under
-115

Luke Kennard has gone over 4.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Kevon Looney Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Looney
center C • Golden State
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
4.53
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
+110
Under
-145
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
4.53
Best Odds
Over
+110
Under
-145

Kevon Looney has gone over 4.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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