New Orleans @ Carolina props

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. THE BLITZ projects Jamaal Williams to be a much bigger part of his team's pass attack this week (8.3% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (3.2% in games he has played). The Carolina Panthers safeties profile as the worst group of safeties in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. THE BLITZ projects Juwan Johnson to total 4.8 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 80th percentile among tight ends. Juwan Johnson's 30.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the NFL: 85th percentile for tight ends. The Carolina Panthers safeties profile as the worst group of safeties in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.

The Carolina Panthers will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.8% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized). The Panthers are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script. The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. The Carolina Panthers O-line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

The Carolina Panthers will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.8% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized). The Panthers are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script. The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Adam Thielen has run a route on 90.8% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 84th percentile among wide receivers. Adam Thielen has been among the leading wide receivers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 4.0 receptions per game while ranking in the 75th percentile.

The Carolina Panthers will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.8% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized). The Panthers are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script. The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Miles Sanders has played on 57.2% of his offense's snaps since the start of last season, placing him in the 78th percentile among RBs. THE BLITZ projects Miles Sanders to garner 3.5 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 87th percentile among RBs.

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. THE BLITZ projects Chris Olave to accrue 8.7 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 92nd percentile among WRs. Chris Olave's 68.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 97th percentile for wide receivers. Chris Olave has been among the top wide receivers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 4.8 receptions per game while ranking in the 85th percentile. The Carolina Panthers pass defense has conceded the highest Completion% in football (72.1%) versus WRs since the start of last season (72.1%).

THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 10th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 55.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 127.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The Carolina Panthers have run the least plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a mere 54.0 plays per game. Hayden Hurst's sure-handedness have declined this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 79.1% to 69.3%. The New Orleans Saints pass defense has given up the lowest Completion% in the league (50.3%) vs. TEs since the start of last season (50.3%).