LIVE 00:19 2nd Oct 6
NYJ 7 2.5 o42.0
MIN 17 -2.5 u42.0
IND 3.5 o45.5
JAC -3.5 u45.5
MIA -1.0 o36.5
NE 1.0 u36.5
BUF 1.0 o47.5
HOU -1.0 u47.5
CLE 3.0 o43.5
WAS -3.0 u43.5
BAL -2.5 o48.5
CIN 2.5 u48.5
CAR 4.0 o40.5
CHI -4.0 u40.5
ARI 7.5 o49.0
SF -7.5 u49.0
LV 2.5 o36.0
DEN -2.5 u36.0
GB -3.0 o49.5
LA 3.0 u49.5
NYG 7.0 o42.5
SEA -7.0 u42.5
DAL 2.5 o43.5
PIT -2.5 u43.5
NO 5.0 o43.0
KC -5.0 u43.0
Final OT Oct 3
TB 30 2.5 o43.5
ATL 36 -2.5 u43.5
New England 4th AFC East4-13
New York 3rd AFC East7-10
CBS

New England @ New York props

MetLife Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Breece Hall Receptions Made Props • N.Y. Jets

B. Hall
running back RB • N.Y. Jets
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
1.9
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection
1.9
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

The New York Jets will be forced to start backup QB Zach Wilson in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing QBs have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game versus the New England Patriots defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in football. THE BLITZ projects Breece Hall to earn 3.2 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 77th percentile among running backs. Breece Hall has been a key part of his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 12.5% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 98th percentile among running backs.

Breece Hall

Prop: 1.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 1.9
Prop:
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
1.9

The New York Jets will be forced to start backup QB Zach Wilson in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing QBs have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game versus the New England Patriots defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in football. THE BLITZ projects Breece Hall to earn 3.2 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 77th percentile among running backs. Breece Hall has been a key part of his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 12.5% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 98th percentile among running backs.

Garrett Wilson Receptions Made Props • N.Y. Jets

G. Wilson
wide receiver WR • N.Y. Jets
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.5
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection
4.5
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

The New York Jets will be forced to start backup QB Zach Wilson in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing QBs have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game versus the New England Patriots defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in football. THE BLITZ projects Garrett Wilson to earn 8.4 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile among wideouts. Garrett Wilson has been among the leading WRs in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 4.9 receptions per game while grading out in the 85th percentile.

Garrett Wilson

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.5
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.5

The New York Jets will be forced to start backup QB Zach Wilson in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing QBs have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game versus the New England Patriots defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in football. THE BLITZ projects Garrett Wilson to earn 8.4 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile among wideouts. Garrett Wilson has been among the leading WRs in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 4.9 receptions per game while grading out in the 85th percentile.

Rhamondre Stevenson Receptions Made Props • New England

R. Stevenson
running back RB • New England
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.7
Best Odds
Over
+110
Prop
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection
3.7
Best Odds
Over
+110
Projection Rating

The Patriots rank as the 5th-most pass-oriented team in the league (context-neutralized) since the start of last season with a 66.5% pass rate. THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. THE BLITZ projects Rhamondre Stevenson to garner 4.9 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 96th percentile among RBs. Rhamondre Stevenson has been among the leading RB receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 4.0 receptions per game while checking in at the 97th percentile. Rhamondre Stevenson's ball-catching skills have gotten better this season, with his Completion% increasing from 77.6% to 100.0%.

Rhamondre Stevenson

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.7
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.7

The Patriots rank as the 5th-most pass-oriented team in the league (context-neutralized) since the start of last season with a 66.5% pass rate. THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. THE BLITZ projects Rhamondre Stevenson to garner 4.9 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 96th percentile among RBs. Rhamondre Stevenson has been among the leading RB receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 4.0 receptions per game while checking in at the 97th percentile. Rhamondre Stevenson's ball-catching skills have gotten better this season, with his Completion% increasing from 77.6% to 100.0%.

Hunter Henry Receptions Made Props • New England

H. Henry
tight end TE • New England
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.3
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
3.3
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

The Patriots rank as the 5th-most pass-oriented team in the league (context-neutralized) since the start of last season with a 66.5% pass rate. THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Hunter Henry has run a route on 75.0% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking in the 86th percentile among TEs. THE BLITZ projects Hunter Henry to notch 5.1 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 86th percentile among tight ends. Hunter Henry has been among the leading TEs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 2.9 receptions per game while grading out in the 75th percentile.

Hunter Henry

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.3
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.3

The Patriots rank as the 5th-most pass-oriented team in the league (context-neutralized) since the start of last season with a 66.5% pass rate. THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Hunter Henry has run a route on 75.0% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking in the 86th percentile among TEs. THE BLITZ projects Hunter Henry to notch 5.1 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 86th percentile among tight ends. Hunter Henry has been among the leading TEs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 2.9 receptions per game while grading out in the 75th percentile.

Kendrick Bourne Receptions Made Props • New England

K. Bourne
wide receiver WR • New England
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.1
Best Odds
Over
-166
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
3.1
Best Odds
Over
-166
Projection Rating

The Patriots rank as the 5th-most pass-oriented team in the league (context-neutralized) since the start of last season with a 66.5% pass rate. THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Kendrick Bourne

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.1
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.1

The Patriots rank as the 5th-most pass-oriented team in the league (context-neutralized) since the start of last season with a 66.5% pass rate. THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Tyler Conklin Receptions Made Props • N.Y. Jets

T. Conklin
tight end TE • N.Y. Jets
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.6
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2.6
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

The New York Jets will be forced to start backup QB Zach Wilson in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing QBs have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game versus the New England Patriots defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in football. THE BLITZ projects Tyler Conklin to notch 4.7 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 81st percentile among tight ends. Tyler Conklin has been among the best TEs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 3.4 receptions per game while grading out in the 84th percentile.

Tyler Conklin

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.6
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.6

The New York Jets will be forced to start backup QB Zach Wilson in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing QBs have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game versus the New England Patriots defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in football. THE BLITZ projects Tyler Conklin to notch 4.7 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 81st percentile among tight ends. Tyler Conklin has been among the best TEs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 3.4 receptions per game while grading out in the 84th percentile.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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