DAL 10.5 o45.0
WAS -10.5 u45.0
TEN 9.0 o41.0
HOU -9.0 u41.0
NE 7.5 o46.5
MIA -7.5 u46.5
MIN -3.5 o39.0
CHI 3.5 u39.0
KC -11.0 o43.0
CAR 11.0 u43.0
TB -5.5 o41.5
NYG 5.5 u41.5
DET -7.5 o49.5
IND 7.5 u49.5
DEN -6.0 o40.5
LV 6.0 u40.5
SF 2.5 o47.0
GB -2.5 u47.0
ARI 1.0 o48.0
SEA -1.0 u48.0
PHI -3.0 o49.5
LA 3.0 u49.5
BAL -3.0 o51.0
LAC 3.0 u51.0
Final Nov 21
PIT 19 -3.5 o37.0
CLE 24 3.5 u37.0
New York 3rd NFC East6-11
Las Vegas 2nd AFC West8-9
FOX

New York @ Las Vegas props

Allegiant Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Daniel Bellinger Receptions Made Props • N.Y. Giants

D. Bellinger
tight end TE • N.Y. Giants
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.2
Best Odds
Over
+155
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
3.2
Best Odds
Over
+155
Projection Rating

The 6th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Giants this year (a staggering 62.2 per game on average). The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. This week, Daniel Bellinger is forecasted by our trusted projection set to slot into the 76th percentile among tight ends with 4.1 targets. The predictive model expects Daniel Bellinger to be much more involved in his team's pass game in this week's contest (13.2% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (2.3% in games he has played). The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has conceded the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (79.4%) to tight ends this year (79.4%).

Daniel Bellinger

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.2
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.2

The 6th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Giants this year (a staggering 62.2 per game on average). The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. This week, Daniel Bellinger is forecasted by our trusted projection set to slot into the 76th percentile among tight ends with 4.1 targets. The predictive model expects Daniel Bellinger to be much more involved in his team's pass game in this week's contest (13.2% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (2.3% in games he has played). The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has conceded the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (79.4%) to tight ends this year (79.4%).

Saquon Barkley Receptions Made Props • N.Y. Giants

S. Barkley
running back RB • N.Y. Giants
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.9
Best Odds
Over
-143

The 6th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Giants this year (a staggering 62.2 per game on average). The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. In this week's game, Saquon Barkley is projected by the projection model to land in the 98th percentile when it comes to RBs with 6.0 targets. Saquon Barkley has been an integral part of his team's offense, garnering a Target Share of 18.5% this year, which puts him in the 99th percentile among RBs. With an excellent 3.9 adjusted receptions per game (96th percentile) this year, Saquon Barkley ranks as one of the top RB receiving threats in the NFL.

Saquon Barkley

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.9
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.9

The 6th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Giants this year (a staggering 62.2 per game on average). The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. In this week's game, Saquon Barkley is projected by the projection model to land in the 98th percentile when it comes to RBs with 6.0 targets. Saquon Barkley has been an integral part of his team's offense, garnering a Target Share of 18.5% this year, which puts him in the 99th percentile among RBs. With an excellent 3.9 adjusted receptions per game (96th percentile) this year, Saquon Barkley ranks as one of the top RB receiving threats in the NFL.

Wan'Dale Robinson Receptions Made Props • N.Y. Giants

W. Robinson
wide receiver WR • N.Y. Giants
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.7
Best Odds
Over
-156

The 6th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Giants this year (a staggering 62.2 per game on average). The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. Wan'Dale Robinson's 82.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this season marks an impressive boost in his receiving prowess over last season's 77.9% figure. The Raiders pass defense has given up the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (73.2%) versus wideouts this year (73.2%).

Wan'Dale Robinson

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.7
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.7

The 6th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Giants this year (a staggering 62.2 per game on average). The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. Wan'Dale Robinson's 82.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this season marks an impressive boost in his receiving prowess over last season's 77.9% figure. The Raiders pass defense has given up the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (73.2%) versus wideouts this year (73.2%).

Josh Jacobs Receptions Made Props • Las Vegas

J. Jacobs
running back RB • Las Vegas
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.6
Best Odds
Over
+114

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer. The projections expect Josh Jacobs to accrue 4.6 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile among RBs. Josh Jacobs's 26.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive volume) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 17.6. In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Las Vegas Raiders ranks as the best in the NFL this year. Josh Jacobs ranks as one of the leading pass-game RBs this year, averaging an outstanding 3.5 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 92nd percentile.

Josh Jacobs

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.6
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.6

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer. The projections expect Josh Jacobs to accrue 4.6 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile among RBs. Josh Jacobs's 26.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive volume) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 17.6. In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Las Vegas Raiders ranks as the best in the NFL this year. Josh Jacobs ranks as one of the leading pass-game RBs this year, averaging an outstanding 3.5 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 92nd percentile.

Davante Adams Receptions Made Props • Las Vegas

D. Adams
wide receiver WR • Las Vegas
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
6
Best Odds
Over
-157

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer. In this week's contest, Davante Adams is predicted by the predictive model to find himself in the 94th percentile when it comes to WRs with 9.8 targets. With an extraordinary 32.9% Target Rate (98th percentile) this year, Davante Adams ranks as one of the wideouts with the most usage in the NFL. In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Las Vegas Raiders ranks as the best in the NFL this year. Davante Adams checks in as one of the leading WRs in the game this year, averaging an excellent 5.9 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 92nd percentile.

Davante Adams

Prop: 5.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 6
Prop:
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
6

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer. In this week's contest, Davante Adams is predicted by the predictive model to find himself in the 94th percentile when it comes to WRs with 9.8 targets. With an extraordinary 32.9% Target Rate (98th percentile) this year, Davante Adams ranks as one of the wideouts with the most usage in the NFL. In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Las Vegas Raiders ranks as the best in the NFL this year. Davante Adams checks in as one of the leading WRs in the game this year, averaging an excellent 5.9 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 92nd percentile.

Michael Mayer Receptions Made Props • Las Vegas

M. Mayer
tight end TE • Las Vegas
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.5
Best Odds
Over
-118

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer. In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Las Vegas Raiders ranks as the best in the NFL this year. The New York Giants safeties rank as the 9th-worst safety corps in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

Michael Mayer

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.5
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.5

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer. In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Las Vegas Raiders ranks as the best in the NFL this year. The New York Giants safeties rank as the 9th-worst safety corps in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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