New York @ Dallas props

An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Giants being an enormous -17.5-point underdog in this game. The leading projections forecast the Giants to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 60.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. To the extent of a defense's impact on tempo, at 27.58 seconds per snap, our trusted projections expect the New York Giants as the 8th-fastest in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. The projections expect Daniel Bellinger to total 4.4 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 76th percentile among TEs.

An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Giants being an enormous -17.5-point underdog in this game. The leading projections forecast the Giants to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 60.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. To the extent of a defense's impact on tempo, at 27.58 seconds per snap, our trusted projections expect the New York Giants as the 8th-fastest in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. Saquon Barkley checks in as one of the best pass-game running backs this year, averaging a terrific 3.7 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 96th percentile.

The model projects the Dallas Cowboys offensive strategy to lean 5.7% more towards the passing attack than it did last year (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. In this contest, CeeDee Lamb is anticipated by the model to finish in the 94th percentile among wide receivers with 9.4 targets. CeeDee Lamb has been a key part of his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 27.2% this year, which ranks in the 92nd percentile when it comes to WRs. CeeDee Lamb profiles as one of the leading WRs in the league this year, averaging an outstanding 7.1 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 96th percentile.

An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Giants being an enormous -17.5-point underdog in this game. The leading projections forecast the Giants to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 60.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. To the extent of a defense's impact on tempo, at 27.58 seconds per snap, our trusted projections expect the New York Giants as the 8th-fastest in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. Wan'Dale Robinson's 81.2% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a substantial progression in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 77.9% mark.

The model projects the Dallas Cowboys offensive strategy to lean 5.7% more towards the passing attack than it did last year (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. Tony Pollard has been used more as a potential pass-catcher this season (56.3% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (44.3%). In this week's contest, Tony Pollard is predicted by the projections to position himself in the 79th percentile among RBs with 3.9 targets. Tony Pollard's receiving skills have gotten a boost this season, notching 3.6 adjusted catches compared to a measly 2.4 last season.

The model projects the Dallas Cowboys offensive strategy to lean 5.7% more towards the passing attack than it did last year (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. In this week's contest, Jake Ferguson is predicted by the projection model to rank in the 85th percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.3 targets. Jake Ferguson's 32.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 7.9. Jake Ferguson's 4.1 adjusted receptions per game this season indicates a meaningful gain in his pass-catching skills over last season's 1.7 rate.