Los Angeles @ Green Bay props

At the present time, the 5th-most pass-oriented offense in the league (64.8% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Chargers. Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to run the 2nd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.7 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics. With an extraordinary 94.8% Route% (96th percentile) this year, Keenan Allen ranks among the wideouts with the most usage in the NFL. The leading projections forecast Keenan Allen to garner 12.0 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile among wideouts. Keenan Allen's receiving performance has gotten better this season, compiling 8.0 adjusted catches compared to a mere 6.5 last season.

At the present time, the 5th-most pass-oriented offense in the league (64.8% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Chargers. Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to run the 2nd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.7 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics. In this week's contest, Austin Ekeler is expected by the projections to find himself in the 100th percentile among running backs with 6.8 targets. With an impressive 16.1% Target% (97th percentile) this year, Austin Ekeler stands as one of the pass-catching RBs with the biggest workloads in the NFL. As it relates to defensive tackles getting after the quarterback, Green Bay's DT corps has been very bad this year, ranking as the 6th-worst in football.

This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Packers, who are -3-point underdogs. The projections expect this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The Chargers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 3rd-most passes in football (40.3 per game) this year. The model projects Romeo Doubs to accumulate 6.6 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 76th percentile when it comes to WRs. Romeo Doubs's 47.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 36.8.

This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Packers, who are -3-point underdogs. The projections expect this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The Chargers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 3rd-most passes in football (40.3 per game) this year. Luke Musgrave has run a route on 75.6% of his offense's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile among tight ends. This week, Luke Musgrave is projected by the projections to find himself in the 86th percentile among tight ends with 5.2 targets.

This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Packers, who are -3-point underdogs. The projections expect this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The Chargers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 3rd-most passes in football (40.3 per game) this year. In this game, Aaron Jones is anticipated by the projections to position himself in the 94th percentile when it comes to running backs with 5.0 targets. The Green Bay O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong influence on all pass game metrics across the board.

AJ Dillon has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Jayden Reed has gone over 2.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

Dontayvion Wicks has gone over 1.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

Christian Watson has gone over 2.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Jalen Guyton has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 8 games.

Quentin Johnston has gone over 2.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.