Miami @ New York props

The New York Jets will be rolling out backup quarterback Tim Boyle in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. This game's line indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Jets, who are enormous -9.5-point underdogs. The projections expect the New York Jets as the 7th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Garrett Wilson has run fewer routes this season (97.1% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (86.4%). The Dolphins pass defense has been torched for the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (71%) vs. wide receivers this year (71.0%).

At the moment, the 6th-most pass-oriented team in football (64.8% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Miami Dolphins. The predictive model expects Tyreek Hill to total 10.7 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 97th percentile among wide receivers. With an elite 32.1% Target% (99th percentile) this year, Tyreek Hill has been as one of the wideouts with the most usage in the NFL. Tyreek Hill grades out as one of the leading wide receivers in the league this year, averaging a terrific 7.9 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 99th percentile. Tyreek Hill's ball-catching skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 70.8% to 74.9%.

The New York Jets will be rolling out backup quarterback Tim Boyle in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. This game's line indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Jets, who are enormous -9.5-point underdogs. The projections expect the New York Jets as the 7th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect Breece Hall to accumulate 5.8 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile when it comes to running backs. Breece Hall is positioned as one of the best RB receiving threats this year, averaging a fantastic 3.1 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 88th percentile.

The New York Jets will be rolling out backup quarterback Tim Boyle in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. This game's line indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Jets, who are enormous -9.5-point underdogs. The projections expect the New York Jets as the 7th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Tyler Conklin ranks as one of the leading pass-game tight ends this year, averaging a terrific 3.6 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 79th percentile. This year, the deficient Miami Dolphins pass defense has yielded a colossal 80.3% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 4th-highest rate in the league.

At the moment, the 6th-most pass-oriented team in football (64.8% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Miami Dolphins. With a high 51.7% Route% (86th percentile) this year, Raheem Mostert has been as one of the RB receiving threats with the highest volume in the NFL. In this contest, Raheem Mostert is projected by the projection model to land in the 76th percentile among running backs with 3.2 targets. Raheem Mostert's sure-handedness have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 80.0% to 86.7%.