Carolina @ New Orleans props

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 134.1 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. The 2nd-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Saints this year (a massive 63.4 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. In this week's game, Alvin Kamara is projected by the predictive model to slot into the 100th percentile when it comes to RBs with 8.7 targets. Alvin Kamara's 6.6 adjusted receptions per game this season signifies a noteworthy gain in his receiving skills over last season's 3.8 mark.

Our trusted projections expect the Panthers offensive gameplan to lean 6.2% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Thomas Brown now calling the plays. At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs this week, implying more of a focus on throwing than their typical approach. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Panthers are projected by the projection model to run 66.8 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-most on the slate this week. The 3rd-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Carolina Panthers this year (a colossal 62.5 per game on average). Adam Thielen's receiving skills have gotten better this season, totaling 6.7 adjusted receptions compared to a mere 4.1 last season.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 134.1 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. The 2nd-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Saints this year (a massive 63.4 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Our trusted projections expect Chris Olave to notch 10.1 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 95th percentile when it comes to WRs. Chris Olave places in the 92nd percentile when it comes to WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive usage) with a massive 69.2 figure this year.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Saints, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in football (just 33.8 per game) this year. As it relates to protecting the passer (and the impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Carolina Panthers ranks as the 3rd-worst in football this year. This year, the fierce New Orleans Saints defense has conceded a meager 70.6% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 3rd-lowest rate in football. The New Orleans Saints safeties project as the 8th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 134.1 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. The 2nd-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Saints this year (a massive 63.4 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. The projections expect Juwan Johnson to total 4.3 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 79th percentile when it comes to TEs. This year, the feeble Carolina Panthers pass defense has yielded a staggering 76.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 10th-worst rate in the NFL.