Detroit @ Minnesota props

Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to call the 7th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The 8th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Lions this year (a monstrous 60.4 per game on average). The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer. The Vikings defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (38.2 per game) this year. With a stellar 5.0 adjusted receptions per game (95th percentile) this year, Sam LaPorta rates among the leading tight ends in the pass game in football.

Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to call the 7th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The 8th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Lions this year (a monstrous 60.4 per game on average). The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer. The Vikings defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (38.2 per game) this year. Jahmyr Gibbs is positioned as one of the top pass-catching RBs this year, averaging a fantastic 3.8 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 98th percentile.

The Minnesota Vikings will be starting backup QB Nick Mullens in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. The model projects the Minnesota Vikings as the most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 64.4% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the model to see 130.9 plays on offense called: the 5th-most among all games this week. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop. In this game, Justin Jefferson is forecasted by the predictive model to finish in the 98th percentile among wideouts with 10.5 targets.

Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to call the 7th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The 8th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Lions this year (a monstrous 60.4 per game on average). The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer. The Vikings defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (38.2 per game) this year. With an exceptional 7.2 adjusted receptions per game (98th percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown ranks among the leading wide receivers in the NFL in the NFL.

The Minnesota Vikings will be starting backup QB Nick Mullens in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. The model projects the Minnesota Vikings as the most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 64.4% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the model to see 130.9 plays on offense called: the 5th-most among all games this week. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop. T.J. Hockenson's 6.4 adjusted catches per game this year indicates a significant gain in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 3.5 rate.

The Minnesota Vikings will be starting backup QB Nick Mullens in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. The model projects the Minnesota Vikings as the most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 64.4% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the model to see 130.9 plays on offense called: the 5th-most among all games this week. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop. The Vikings O-line grades out as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong influence on all pass attack stats across the board.