TB -6.0 o41.0
NYG 6.0 u41.0
KC -11.0 o43.0
CAR 11.0 u43.0
DAL 11.0 o45.5
WAS -11.0 u45.5
DET -7.5 o50.0
IND 7.5 u50.0
TEN 7.5 o41.0
HOU -7.5 u41.0
NE 7.5 o46.5
MIA -7.5 u46.5
MIN -3.5 o39.0
CHI 3.5 u39.0
DEN -5.0 o40.5
LV 5.0 u40.5
ARI 1.0 o48.0
SEA -1.0 u48.0
SF 5.5 o44.5
GB -5.5 u44.5
PHI -3.0 o49.5
LA 3.0 u49.5
BAL -2.0 o51.0
LAC 2.0 u51.0
Final Nov 21
PIT 19 -3.5 o37.0
CLE 24 3.5 u37.0
Los Angeles 2nd NFC West10-7
New York 3rd NFC East6-11
FOX

Los Angeles @ New York props

MetLife Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Saquon Barkley Receptions Made Props • N.Y. Giants

S. Barkley
running back RB • N.Y. Giants
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.9
Best Odds
Over
-140

The Giants may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) because they be forced to use backup QB Tyrod Taylor. At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Giants are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on passing than their typical approach. The leading projections forecast this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 132.4 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics. The Rams defense has been something of pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (38.5 per game) this year. In this game, Saquon Barkley is expected by the model to position himself in the 90th percentile among running backs with 5.3 targets.

Saquon Barkley

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.9
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.9

The Giants may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) because they be forced to use backup QB Tyrod Taylor. At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Giants are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on passing than their typical approach. The leading projections forecast this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 132.4 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics. The Rams defense has been something of pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (38.5 per game) this year. In this game, Saquon Barkley is expected by the model to position himself in the 90th percentile among running backs with 5.3 targets.

Tyler Higbee Receptions Made Props • L.A. Rams

T. Higbee
tight end TE • L.A. Rams
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.3
Best Odds
Under
+100

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Rams are favored in this game, suggesting more of a focus on running than their usual approach. Tyler Higbee's pass-catching performance declined this year, accumulating a mere 2.8 adjusted receptions vs 4.4 last year. With a subpar 67.4% Adjusted Catch% (18th percentile) this year, Tyler Higbee rates as one of the worst possession receivers in the league among tight ends. The Giants pass defense has given up the lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (67.2%) vs. tight ends this year (67.2%). As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, New York's safety corps has been exceptional this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in the league.

Tyler Higbee

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.3
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.3

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Rams are favored in this game, suggesting more of a focus on running than their usual approach. Tyler Higbee's pass-catching performance declined this year, accumulating a mere 2.8 adjusted receptions vs 4.4 last year. With a subpar 67.4% Adjusted Catch% (18th percentile) this year, Tyler Higbee rates as one of the worst possession receivers in the league among tight ends. The Giants pass defense has given up the lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (67.2%) vs. tight ends this year (67.2%). As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, New York's safety corps has been exceptional this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in the league.

Darren Waller Receptions Made Props • N.Y. Giants

D. Waller
tight end TE • N.Y. Giants
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.2
Best Odds
Over
-120

The Giants may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) because they be forced to use backup QB Tyrod Taylor. At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Giants are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on passing than their typical approach. The leading projections forecast this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 132.4 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics. The Rams defense has been something of pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (38.5 per game) this year. With a remarkable 4.2 adjusted receptions per game (87th percentile) this year, Darren Waller places among the top pass-game tight ends in the NFL.

Darren Waller

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.2
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.2

The Giants may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) because they be forced to use backup QB Tyrod Taylor. At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Giants are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on passing than their typical approach. The leading projections forecast this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 132.4 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics. The Rams defense has been something of pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (38.5 per game) this year. With a remarkable 4.2 adjusted receptions per game (87th percentile) this year, Darren Waller places among the top pass-game tight ends in the NFL.

Wan'Dale Robinson Receptions Made Props • N.Y. Giants

W. Robinson
wide receiver WR • N.Y. Giants
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4
Best Odds
Over
-135

The Giants may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) because they be forced to use backup QB Tyrod Taylor. At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Giants are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on passing than their typical approach. The leading projections forecast this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 132.4 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics. The Rams defense has been something of pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (38.5 per game) this year. Wan'Dale Robinson rates as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL, catching an exceptional 78.4% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 99th percentile among wide receivers.

Wan'Dale Robinson

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4

The Giants may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) because they be forced to use backup QB Tyrod Taylor. At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Giants are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on passing than their typical approach. The leading projections forecast this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 132.4 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics. The Rams defense has been something of pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (38.5 per game) this year. Wan'Dale Robinson rates as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL, catching an exceptional 78.4% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 99th percentile among wide receivers.

Puka Nacua Receptions Made Props • L.A. Rams

P. Nacua
wide receiver WR • L.A. Rams
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.7
Best Odds
Over
-106

The model projects the Rams to call the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The Rams have called the 5th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 60.8 plays per game. In this week's game, Puka Nacua is anticipated by the projection model to land in the 93rd percentile among WRs with 8.9 targets. With a high 29.6% Target Rate (95th percentile) this year, Puka Nacua rates as one of the wideouts with the most usage in football. With an outstanding 6.3 adjusted catches per game (94th percentile) this year, Puka Nacua has been as one of the leading pass-catching WRs in football.

Puka Nacua

Prop: 5.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5.7
Prop:
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5.7

The model projects the Rams to call the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The Rams have called the 5th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 60.8 plays per game. In this week's game, Puka Nacua is anticipated by the projection model to land in the 93rd percentile among WRs with 8.9 targets. With a high 29.6% Target Rate (95th percentile) this year, Puka Nacua rates as one of the wideouts with the most usage in football. With an outstanding 6.3 adjusted catches per game (94th percentile) this year, Puka Nacua has been as one of the leading pass-catching WRs in football.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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