Baltimore @ Kansas City props

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Ravens are underdogs this week, implying more of a reliance on passing than their normal approach. Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are anticipated by our trusted projection set to call 65.6 plays on offense in this game: the 10th-most on the slate this week. In regards to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Ravens profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL last year. With an impressive 90.7% Adjusted Completion Rate (98th percentile) last year, Derrick Henry stands among the best possession receivers in football when it comes to running backs. Last year, the weak Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has given up a monstrous 89.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs: the 3rd-biggest rate in the league.

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Ravens are underdogs this week, implying more of a reliance on passing than their normal approach. Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are anticipated by our trusted projection set to call 65.6 plays on offense in this game: the 10th-most on the slate this week. The projections expect Mark Andrews to earn 6.5 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 95th percentile among tight ends. Mark Andrews has been a big part of his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 20.3% last year, which puts him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to tight ends. With an impressive 4.7 adjusted catches per game (90th percentile) last year, Mark Andrews stands as one of the best tight ends in the pass game in football.

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Ravens are underdogs this week, implying more of a reliance on passing than their normal approach. Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are anticipated by our trusted projection set to call 65.6 plays on offense in this game: the 10th-most on the slate this week. Zay Flowers has run a route on 91.4% of his team's passing plays last year, ranking him in the 89th percentile among WRs. In this game, Zay Flowers is expected by the projection model to land in the 84th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.3 targets. With a fantastic 5.5 adjusted receptions per game (90th percentile) last year, Zay Flowers has been among the best wide receivers in the league in the NFL.

The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 65.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. The Ravens defense has been a prominent pass funnel last year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in the league (38.3 per game) last year. With a sizeable 46.2% Route Participation% (80th percentile) last year, Isiah Pacheco has been as one of the pass-catching RBs with the biggest workloads in the league. The projections expect Isiah Pacheco to accrue 3.6 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 89th percentile when it comes to running backs. With a remarkable 3.6 adjusted receptions per game (93rd percentile) last year, Isiah Pacheco has been among the top pass-game RBs in football.

The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 65.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. The Ravens defense has been a prominent pass funnel last year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in the league (38.3 per game) last year. In this week's contest, Rashee Rice is expected by our trusted projection set to rank in the 92nd percentile among wideouts with 8.5 targets. Rashee Rice has been an integral part of his team's offense, garnering a Target Share of 19.1% last year, which puts him in the 76th percentile when it comes to wide receivers. With a terrific 6.2 adjusted catches per game (95th percentile) last year, Rashee Rice stands as one of the best WRs in the NFL in the NFL.

The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 65.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. The Ravens defense has been a prominent pass funnel last year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in the league (38.3 per game) last year. In this week's contest, Travis Kelce is projected by the model to land in the 100th percentile among tight ends with 8.4 targets. Travis Kelce's 52.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive usage) grades out among the best in football: 100th percentile for TEs. With an exceptional 7.8 adjusted catches per game (100th percentile) last year, Travis Kelce rates as one of the best TEs in the pass game in the NFL.