New York @ Carolina props

The model projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 56.2% pass rate. Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Panthers are expected by the predictive model to run just 62.3 plays on offense in this game: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week. The Carolina Panthers have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 52.9 plays per game. Opposing QBs have averaged 29.1 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the NFL. When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, New York's collection of LBs has been great this year, profiling as the 10th-best in football.

Our trusted projections expect the New York Giants to be the 7th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 27.68 seconds per snap. The Panthers pass defense has yielded the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (88.4%) vs. running backs this year (88.4%). As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Carolina's unit has been atrocious this year, profiling as the 5th-worst in the league.

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of an emphasis on passing than their standard approach. This year, the deficient Giants pass defense has yielded a colossal 72.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the 2nd-worst rate in the league.

Our trusted projections expect the New York Giants to be the 7th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 27.68 seconds per snap. This year, the anemic Panthers pass defense has been torched for a colossal 81.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 5th-highest rate in the league. As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Carolina's unit has been atrocious this year, profiling as the 5th-worst in the league.

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of an emphasis on passing than their standard approach. Chuba Hubbard's 53.6% Route Participation Rate this year indicates a remarkable growth in his air attack usage over last year's 42.6% mark. In this game, Chuba Hubbard is expected by the predictive model to land in the 82nd percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.6 targets. Chuba Hubbard grades out as one of the top pass-catching running backs this year, averaging an excellent 2.9 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 88th percentile. Chuba Hubbard's 93.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this year signifies a material improvement in his receiving prowess over last year's 89.0% mark.

Our trusted projections expect the New York Giants to be the 7th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 27.68 seconds per snap. This year, the poor Panthers pass defense has allowed a staggering 68.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 9th-largest rate in the NFL. As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Carolina's unit has been atrocious this year, profiling as the 5th-worst in the league.