Jacksonville @ Miami props

A throwing game script is indicated by the Jaguars being a -3.5-point underdog in this game. Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jaguars to pass on 61.5% of their plays: the 6th-greatest frequency among all teams this week. The Jaguars have called the 9th-most plays in the league last year, averaging a colossal 60.0 plays per game. With an excellent 6.7 adjusted catches per game (99th percentile) last year, Evan Engram stands as one of the top pass-game TEs in the NFL. The Miami Dolphins pass defense has allowed the 10th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (76.5%) vs. tight ends last year (76.5%).

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Miami Dolphins to pass on 61.0% of their plays: the 8th-highest frequency among all teams this week. The Dolphins have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football last year, which ought to lead to increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved pass game results when facing more favorable weather in this week's contest. Opposing offenses have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense last year: 10th-most in the league. In this game, Devon Achane is projected by the predictive model to finish in the 94th percentile when it comes to running backs with 4.5 targets. Devon Achane has been an integral part of his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 11.7% last year, which ranks in the 87th percentile among running backs.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Miami Dolphins to pass on 61.0% of their plays: the 8th-highest frequency among all teams this week. The Dolphins have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football last year, which ought to lead to increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved pass game results when facing more favorable weather in this week's contest. Opposing offenses have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense last year: 10th-most in the league. In this contest, Jonnu Smith is projected by the projections to position himself in the 79th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 4.1 targets. Jonnu Smith has been a big part of his team's passing attack, earning a Target Share of 14.1% last year, which places him in the 82nd percentile among TEs.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Miami Dolphins to pass on 61.0% of their plays: the 8th-highest frequency among all teams this week. The Dolphins have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football last year, which ought to lead to increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved pass game results when facing more favorable weather in this week's contest. Opposing offenses have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense last year: 10th-most in the league. In this week's game, Tyreek Hill is projected by the predictive model to position himself in the 100th percentile when it comes to WRs with 11.1 targets. Tyreek Hill has been one of the top pass-catching wide receivers last year, averaging a remarkable 7.7 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 98th percentile.

A throwing game script is indicated by the Jaguars being a -3.5-point underdog in this game. Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jaguars to pass on 61.5% of their plays: the 6th-greatest frequency among all teams this week. The Jaguars have called the 9th-most plays in the league last year, averaging a colossal 60.0 plays per game. With a remarkable 57.8% Route% (95th percentile) last year, Travis Etienne ranks as one of the pass-game running backs with the highest volume in football. With an excellent 3.4 adjusted receptions per game (91st percentile) last year, Travis Etienne has been among the top pass-catching running backs in the league.

A throwing game script is indicated by the Jaguars being a -3.5-point underdog in this game. Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jaguars to pass on 61.5% of their plays: the 6th-greatest frequency among all teams this week. The Jaguars have called the 9th-most plays in the league last year, averaging a colossal 60.0 plays per game. Christian Kirk is positioned as one of the best wide receivers in the NFL last year, averaging an excellent 4.7 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 85th percentile. The Miami Dolphins pass defense has surrendered the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (70%) to WRs last year (70.0%).