Minnesota @ New York props

The projections expect the New York Giants to call the 7th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.2 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics. Opposing teams have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense last year: 7th-most in football. With an exceptional 89.4% Adjusted Completion% (100th percentile) last year, Daniel Bellinger rates as one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL among TEs. The Minnesota Vikings pass defense has been torched for the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (78.6%) vs. TEs last year (78.6%).

The Vikings have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football last year, which should result in lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced offense efficiency when facing windier conditions this week. The Giants pass defense has conceded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (69.2%) versus TEs last year (69.2%). The Giants safeties grade out as the 2nd-best safety corps in the NFL last year in pass coverage.

The Vikings have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football last year, which should result in lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced offense efficiency when facing windier conditions this week. The Giants safeties grade out as the 2nd-best safety corps in the NFL last year in pass coverage.

The Vikings have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football last year, which should result in lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced offense efficiency when facing windier conditions this week. With a lackluster 72.1% Adjusted Completion% (16th percentile) last year, Aaron Jones has been among the worst possession receivers in the NFL when it comes to running backs. The Giants safeties grade out as the 2nd-best safety corps in the NFL last year in pass coverage.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Giants to pass on 54.8% of their plays: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week. The New York offensive line profiles as the worst in the league last year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Giants to pass on 54.8% of their plays: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week. The New York offensive line profiles as the worst in the league last year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack statistics across the board. The Minnesota Vikings safeties profile as the 9th-best unit in the NFL last year in defending receivers.