ATL 5.0 o45.5
PHI -5.0 u45.5
Final Sep 12
BUF 31 2.5 o49.5
MIA 10 -2.5 u49.5
Final Sep 15
CLE 18 3.0 o41.5
JAC 13 -3.0 u41.5
Final Sep 15
NYG 18 1.0 o43.0
WAS 21 -1.0 u43.0
Final Sep 15
IND 10 -2.5 o41.0
GB 16 2.5 u41.0
Final Sep 15
SF 17 -4.0 o46.5
MIN 23 4.0 u46.5
Final OT Sep 15
SEA 23 -3.0 o39.0
NE 20 3.0 u39.0
Final Sep 15
NYJ 24 -4.0 o41.0
TEN 17 4.0 u41.0
Final Sep 15
TB 20 7.5 o51.5
DET 16 -7.5 u51.5
Final Sep 15
NO 44 6.0 o47.0
DAL 19 -6.0 u47.0
Final Sep 15
LV 26 8.5 o42.0
BAL 23 -8.5 u42.0
Final Sep 15
LAC 26 -4.0 o39.0
CAR 3 4.0 u39.0
Final Sep 15
LA 10 1.0 o46.5
ARI 41 -1.0 u46.5
Final Sep 15
PIT 13 -2.5 o36.5
DEN 6 2.5 u36.5
Final Sep 15
CIN 25 6.5 o47.5
KC 26 -6.5 u47.5
Final Sep 15
CHI 13 6.0 o45.5
HOU 19 -6.0 u45.5
Atlanta 3rd NFC South0-1
Philadelphia 1st NFC East1-0

Atlanta @ Philadelphia props

Lincoln Financial Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

DeVonta Smith Receptions Made Props • Philadelphia

D. Smith
wide receiver WR • Philadelphia
Prop
6.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.4
Best Odds
Under
-137

The Eagles are a 3.5-point favorite this week, indicating a running game script. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 54.2% of their downs: the lowest frequency among all teams this week. Opposing teams have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game versus the Falcons defense since the start of last season: fewest in the league. Since the start of last season, the strong Atlanta Falcons defense has yielded a meager 61.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 7th-lowest rate in the NFL.

DeVonta Smith

Prop: 6.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5.4
Prop:
6.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5.4

The Eagles are a 3.5-point favorite this week, indicating a running game script. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 54.2% of their downs: the lowest frequency among all teams this week. Opposing teams have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game versus the Falcons defense since the start of last season: fewest in the league. Since the start of last season, the strong Atlanta Falcons defense has yielded a meager 61.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 7th-lowest rate in the NFL.

Dallas Goedert Receptions Made Props • Philadelphia

D. Goedert
tight end TE • Philadelphia
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.9
Best Odds
Over
+118

The leading projections forecast this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 137.2 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a massive 60.4 plays per game. With an impressive 86.9% Route% (98th percentile) since the start of last season, Dallas Goedert has been as one of the TEs with the highest volume in the league. This week, Dallas Goedert is projected by the predictive model to land in the 97th percentile among tight ends with 7.3 targets. With an impressive 4.3 adjusted receptions per game (90th percentile) last year, Dallas Goedert stands as one of the leading tight ends in the pass game in the NFL.

Dallas Goedert

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.9
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.9

The leading projections forecast this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 137.2 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a massive 60.4 plays per game. With an impressive 86.9% Route% (98th percentile) since the start of last season, Dallas Goedert has been as one of the TEs with the highest volume in the league. This week, Dallas Goedert is projected by the predictive model to land in the 97th percentile among tight ends with 7.3 targets. With an impressive 4.3 adjusted receptions per game (90th percentile) last year, Dallas Goedert stands as one of the leading tight ends in the pass game in the NFL.

Saquon Barkley Receptions Made Props • Philadelphia

S. Barkley
running back RB • Philadelphia
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.1
Best Odds
Over
-135

The leading projections forecast this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 137.2 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a massive 60.4 plays per game. The projections expect Saquon Barkley to accumulate 4.5 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among running backs. Saquon Barkley ranks in the 98th percentile when it comes to RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) with a staggering 26.8 mark since the start of last season. As it relates to protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Eagles grades out as the best in the league since the start of last season.

Saquon Barkley

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.1
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.1

The leading projections forecast this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 137.2 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a massive 60.4 plays per game. The projections expect Saquon Barkley to accumulate 4.5 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among running backs. Saquon Barkley ranks in the 98th percentile when it comes to RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) with a staggering 26.8 mark since the start of last season. As it relates to protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Eagles grades out as the best in the league since the start of last season.

Drake London Receptions Made Props • Atlanta

D. London
wide receiver WR • Atlanta
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.2
Best Odds
Over
-140

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Falcons, who are -3.5-point underdogs. The leading projections forecast this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 137.2 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. The Eagles defense has been a well-known pass funnel last year, inciting opposing teams to attempt the most passes in the NFL (37.8 per game) last year. With an elite 89.8% Route% (86th percentile) since the start of last season, Drake London stands among the wide receivers with the highest volume in the NFL. Drake London has been one of the top wide receivers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 4.1 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 80th percentile.

Drake London

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5.2
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5.2

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Falcons, who are -3.5-point underdogs. The leading projections forecast this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 137.2 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. The Eagles defense has been a well-known pass funnel last year, inciting opposing teams to attempt the most passes in the NFL (37.8 per game) last year. With an elite 89.8% Route% (86th percentile) since the start of last season, Drake London stands among the wide receivers with the highest volume in the NFL. Drake London has been one of the top wide receivers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 4.1 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 80th percentile.

Kyle Pitts Receptions Made Props • Atlanta

K. Pitts
tight end TE • Atlanta
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4
Best Odds
Over
-128

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Falcons, who are -3.5-point underdogs. The leading projections forecast this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 137.2 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. The Eagles defense has been a well-known pass funnel last year, inciting opposing teams to attempt the most passes in the NFL (37.8 per game) last year. In this week's game, Kyle Pitts is forecasted by the projections to finish in the 97th percentile among TEs with 7.3 targets. Kyle Pitts's 44.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive volume) ranks him among the best in the NFL: 94th percentile for TEs.

Kyle Pitts

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Falcons, who are -3.5-point underdogs. The leading projections forecast this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 137.2 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. The Eagles defense has been a well-known pass funnel last year, inciting opposing teams to attempt the most passes in the NFL (37.8 per game) last year. In this week's game, Kyle Pitts is forecasted by the projections to finish in the 97th percentile among TEs with 7.3 targets. Kyle Pitts's 44.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive volume) ranks him among the best in the NFL: 94th percentile for TEs.

A.J. Brown Receptions Made Props • Philadelphia

A. Brown
wide receiver WR • Philadelphia
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.8
Best Odds
Over
-110

The leading projections forecast this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 137.3 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a massive 60.4 plays per game. Our trusted projections expect A.J. Brown to garner 10.3 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 98th percentile among wideouts. A.J. Brown has been in the 99th percentile among WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) with a remarkable 77.9 mark since the start of last season. With a fantastic 6.2 adjusted catches per game (96th percentile) last year, A.J. Brown stands among the best WRs in the game in the NFL.

A.J. Brown

Prop: 5.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5.8
Prop:
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5.8

The leading projections forecast this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 137.3 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a massive 60.4 plays per game. Our trusted projections expect A.J. Brown to garner 10.3 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 98th percentile among wideouts. A.J. Brown has been in the 99th percentile among WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) with a remarkable 77.9 mark since the start of last season. With a fantastic 6.2 adjusted catches per game (96th percentile) last year, A.J. Brown stands among the best WRs in the game in the NFL.

Bijan Robinson Receptions Made Props • Atlanta

B. Robinson
running back RB • Atlanta
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.5
Best Odds
Over
-102

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Falcons, who are -3.5-point underdogs. The leading projections forecast this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 137.2 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. The Eagles defense has been a well-known pass funnel last year, inciting opposing teams to attempt the most passes in the NFL (37.8 per game) last year. With an elite 69.5% Route Participation% (98th percentile) since the start of last season, Bijan Robinson has been as one of the pass-game running backs with the most usage in football. With a remarkable 3.5 adjusted catches per game (95th percentile) since the start of last season, Bijan Robinson stands as one of the leading pass-catching running backs in football.

Bijan Robinson

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.5
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.5

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Falcons, who are -3.5-point underdogs. The leading projections forecast this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 137.2 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. The Eagles defense has been a well-known pass funnel last year, inciting opposing teams to attempt the most passes in the NFL (37.8 per game) last year. With an elite 69.5% Route Participation% (98th percentile) since the start of last season, Bijan Robinson has been as one of the pass-game running backs with the most usage in football. With a remarkable 3.5 adjusted catches per game (95th percentile) since the start of last season, Bijan Robinson stands as one of the leading pass-catching running backs in football.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

Weather Forecast