Los Angeles @ Kansas City props

The projections expect the Chargers to run the 6th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.3 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics. The 4th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (only 54.3 per game on average). With a feeble 1.5% Target Rate (20th percentile) this year, Gus Edwards rates among the pass-catching RBs with the lowest volume in the NFL. With a mere 0.2 adjusted receptions per game (2nd percentile) this year, Gus Edwards has been as one of the bottom pass-catching running backs in football. The Chiefs linebackers profile as the 8th-best unit in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

The Chargers are a 4-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script. In this week's game, Will Dissly is expected by our trusted projection set to place in the 89th percentile among tight ends with 6.5 targets. Will Dissly's 16.1% Target Rate this year represents a meaningful gain in his passing game utilization over last year's 3.5% rate. Will Dissly's 3.4 adjusted catches per game this season marks a remarkable gain in his receiving skills over last season's 1.4 figure. This year, the poor Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has allowed a whopping 79.1% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 7th-largest rate in the NFL.

The projections expect the Chargers to run the 6th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.3 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics. The 4th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (only 54.3 per game on average). Josh Palmer's receiving performance has worsened this year, averaging a measly 2.2 adjusted catches vs 3.8 last year. The Chiefs linebackers profile as the 8th-best unit in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 66.6% pass rate. The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 60.6 plays per game. In this game, Travis Kelce is predicted by the projections to finish in the 97th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 8.9 targets. Travis Kelce's 57.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 50.2. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Kansas City Chiefs profiles as the best in the NFL this year.

The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 66.6% pass rate. The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 60.6 plays per game. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Kansas City Chiefs profiles as the best in the NFL this year. DeAndre Hopkins's sure-handedness have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 56.6% to 71.7%.

The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 66.6% pass rate. The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 60.6 plays per game. With an extraordinary 10.2% Target% (86th percentile) since the start of last season, Isiah Pacheco rates among the RB receiving threats with the highest volume in the league. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Kansas City Chiefs profiles as the best in the NFL this year. Isiah Pacheco profiles as one of the top pass-catching RBs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 3.1 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 93rd percentile.