KC -2.5 o44.0
PIT 2.5 u44.0
BAL -5.5 o46.5
HOU 5.5 u46.5
SEA -3.5 o43.0
CHI 3.5 u43.0
LAC -4.0 o42.0
NE 4.0 u42.0
DEN 3.5 o49.0
CIN -3.5 u49.0
ARI 6.5 o48.0
LA -6.5 u48.0
CAR 8.5 o49.5
TB -8.5 u49.5
IND -8.5 o40.0
NYG 8.5 u40.0
NYJ 10.5 o46.5
BUF -10.5 u46.5
TEN 1.0 o40.0
JAC -1.0 u40.0
DAL 9.0 o41.0
PHI -9.0 u41.0
LV -1.0 o37.5
NO 1.0 u37.5
MIA -6.5 o40.5
CLE 6.5 u40.5
GB 1.0 o49.0
MIN -1.0 u49.0
ATL 4.0 o47.5
WAS -4.0 u47.5
DET -4.0 o50.5
SF 4.0 u50.5
Washington 2nd NFC East10-5
New Orleans 3rd NFC South5-10

Washington @ New Orleans props

Caesars Superdome

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receptions Made Props • New Orleans

M. Valdes-Scantling
wide receiver WR • New Orleans
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.1
Best Odds
Over
+100

The Saints will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Jake Haener in this week's contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. This game's spread implies an extreme throwing game script for the Saints, who are big -7.5-point underdogs. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to have 136.5 total plays called: the 2nd-most among all games this week. The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may go down. While Marquez Valdes-Scantling has garnered 9.3% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much more involved in New Orleans's passing offense in this contest at 18.8%.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.1
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.1

The Saints will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Jake Haener in this week's contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. This game's spread implies an extreme throwing game script for the Saints, who are big -7.5-point underdogs. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to have 136.5 total plays called: the 2nd-most among all games this week. The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may go down. While Marquez Valdes-Scantling has garnered 9.3% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much more involved in New Orleans's passing offense in this contest at 18.8%.

Zach Ertz Receptions Made Props • Washington

Z. Ertz
tight end TE • Washington
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.6
Best Odds
Over
-157

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 136.5 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The 9th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Washington Commanders this year (a colossal 59.3 per game on average). The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer. The New Orleans Saints defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, enticing opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (37.2 per game) this year. Zach Ertz grades out as one of the leading tight ends in the pass game this year, averaging an impressive 4.1 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 84th percentile.

Zach Ertz

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.6
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.6

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 136.5 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The 9th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Washington Commanders this year (a colossal 59.3 per game on average). The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer. The New Orleans Saints defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, enticing opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (37.2 per game) this year. Zach Ertz grades out as one of the leading tight ends in the pass game this year, averaging an impressive 4.1 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 84th percentile.

Brian Robinson Receptions Made Props • Washington

B. Robinson
running back RB • Washington
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2
Best Odds
Over
-120

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 136.5 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The 9th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Washington Commanders this year (a colossal 59.3 per game on average). The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer. The New Orleans Saints defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, enticing opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (37.2 per game) this year.

Brian Robinson

Prop: 1.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2
Prop:
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 136.5 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The 9th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Washington Commanders this year (a colossal 59.3 per game on average). The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer. The New Orleans Saints defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, enticing opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (37.2 per game) this year.

Alvin Kamara Receptions Made Props • New Orleans

A. Kamara
running back RB • New Orleans
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.6
Best Odds
Over
+120

The Saints will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Jake Haener in this week's contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. This game's spread implies an extreme throwing game script for the Saints, who are big -7.5-point underdogs. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to have 136.5 total plays called: the 2nd-most among all games this week. The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may go down. Alvin Kamara's 64.3% Route Participation% this year illustrates a noteworthy growth in his pass game utilization over last year's 53.6% figure.

Alvin Kamara

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.6
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.6

The Saints will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Jake Haener in this week's contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. This game's spread implies an extreme throwing game script for the Saints, who are big -7.5-point underdogs. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to have 136.5 total plays called: the 2nd-most among all games this week. The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may go down. Alvin Kamara's 64.3% Route Participation% this year illustrates a noteworthy growth in his pass game utilization over last year's 53.6% figure.

Juwan Johnson Receptions Made Props • New Orleans

J. Johnson
tight end TE • New Orleans
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.7
Best Odds
Over
-110

The Saints will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Jake Haener in this week's contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. This game's spread implies an extreme throwing game script for the Saints, who are big -7.5-point underdogs. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to have 136.5 total plays called: the 2nd-most among all games this week. The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may go down. Juwan Johnson's possession skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 64.1% to 80.5%.

Juwan Johnson

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.7
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.7

The Saints will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Jake Haener in this week's contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. This game's spread implies an extreme throwing game script for the Saints, who are big -7.5-point underdogs. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to have 136.5 total plays called: the 2nd-most among all games this week. The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may go down. Juwan Johnson's possession skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 64.1% to 80.5%.

Terry McLaurin Receptions Made Props • Washington

T. McLaurin
wide receiver WR • Washington
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.6
Best Odds
Over
-145

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 136.5 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The 9th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Washington Commanders this year (a colossal 59.3 per game on average). The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer. The New Orleans Saints defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, enticing opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (37.2 per game) this year. Terry McLaurin checks in as one of the best wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging an exceptional 4.7 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 82nd percentile.

Terry McLaurin

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.6
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.6

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 136.5 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The 9th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Washington Commanders this year (a colossal 59.3 per game on average). The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer. The New Orleans Saints defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, enticing opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (37.2 per game) this year. Terry McLaurin checks in as one of the best wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging an exceptional 4.7 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 82nd percentile.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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