KC -2.5 o44.0
PIT 2.5 u44.0
BAL -5.5 o46.5
HOU 5.5 u46.5
SEA -3.5 o43.0
CHI 3.5 u43.0
LAC -4.0 o42.0
NE 4.0 u42.0
DEN 3.5 o49.0
CIN -3.5 u49.0
ARI 6.5 o48.0
LA -6.5 u48.0
CAR 8.5 o49.5
TB -8.5 u49.5
IND -8.5 o40.0
NYG 8.5 u40.0
NYJ 10.5 o46.5
BUF -10.5 u46.5
TEN 1.0 o40.0
JAC -1.0 u40.0
DAL 9.0 o41.0
PHI -9.0 u41.0
LV -1.0 o37.5
NO 1.0 u37.5
MIA -6.5 o40.5
CLE 6.5 u40.5
GB 1.0 o49.0
MIN -1.0 u49.0
ATL 4.0 o47.5
WAS -4.0 u47.5
DET -4.0 o50.5
SF 4.0 u50.5
Atlanta 1st NFC South8-7
Las Vegas 4th AFC West3-12
ESPN

Atlanta @ Las Vegas props

Allegiant Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jakobi Meyers Receptions Made Props • Las Vegas

J. Meyers
wide receiver WR • Las Vegas
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
6.6
Best Odds
Over
-106

The Las Vegas Raiders may take to the air less in this contest (and call more rushes) because they be rolling with backup QB Desmond Ridder. At a -6-point disadvantage, the Raiders are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their normal approach. The leading projections forecast the Raiders to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 62.6% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. Jakobi Meyers's play as a receiver has been refined this year, totaling 6.0 adjusted catches compared to a mere 4.5 last year. This year, the weak Atlanta Falcons pass defense has conceded a colossal 74.5% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the biggest rate in football.

Jakobi Meyers

Prop: 5.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 6.6
Prop:
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
6.6

The Las Vegas Raiders may take to the air less in this contest (and call more rushes) because they be rolling with backup QB Desmond Ridder. At a -6-point disadvantage, the Raiders are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their normal approach. The leading projections forecast the Raiders to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 62.6% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. Jakobi Meyers's play as a receiver has been refined this year, totaling 6.0 adjusted catches compared to a mere 4.5 last year. This year, the weak Atlanta Falcons pass defense has conceded a colossal 74.5% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the biggest rate in football.

Brock Bowers Receptions Made Props • Las Vegas

B. Bowers
tight end TE • Las Vegas
Prop
6.5
Receptions Made
Projection
6.8
Best Odds
Over
+114

The Las Vegas Raiders may take to the air less in this contest (and call more rushes) because they be rolling with backup QB Desmond Ridder. At a -6-point disadvantage, the Raiders are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their normal approach. The leading projections forecast the Raiders to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 62.6% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. At the moment, the 7th-quickest paced offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Raiders. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.

Brock Bowers

Prop: 6.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 6.8
Prop:
6.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
6.8

The Las Vegas Raiders may take to the air less in this contest (and call more rushes) because they be rolling with backup QB Desmond Ridder. At a -6-point disadvantage, the Raiders are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their normal approach. The leading projections forecast the Raiders to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 62.6% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. At the moment, the 7th-quickest paced offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Raiders. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.

Drake London Receptions Made Props • Atlanta

D. London
wide receiver WR • Atlanta
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
6
Best Odds
Over
-114

The 10th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Falcons this year (a colossal 58.8 per game on average). The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide. This week, Drake London is projected by the projection model to find himself in the 94th percentile when it comes to WRs with 9.4 targets. Drake London has been a much bigger part of his offense's air attack this year (28.9% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (23.3%). Drake London's pass-catching performance gotten a boost this year, averaging 5.8 adjusted receptions vs just 4.3 last year.

Drake London

Prop: 5.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 6
Prop:
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
6

The 10th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Falcons this year (a colossal 58.8 per game on average). The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide. This week, Drake London is projected by the projection model to find himself in the 94th percentile when it comes to WRs with 9.4 targets. Drake London has been a much bigger part of his offense's air attack this year (28.9% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (23.3%). Drake London's pass-catching performance gotten a boost this year, averaging 5.8 adjusted receptions vs just 4.3 last year.

Kyle Pitts Receptions Made Props • Atlanta

K. Pitts
tight end TE • Atlanta
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3
Best Odds
Over
-130

The 10th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Falcons this year (a colossal 58.8 per game on average). The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide. The predictive model expects Kyle Pitts to accrue 4.7 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 81st percentile among TEs. As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Las Vegas's group of LBs has been easily exploitable this year, grading out as the worst in the NFL.

Kyle Pitts

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3

The 10th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Falcons this year (a colossal 58.8 per game on average). The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide. The predictive model expects Kyle Pitts to accrue 4.7 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 81st percentile among TEs. As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Las Vegas's group of LBs has been easily exploitable this year, grading out as the worst in the NFL.

Bijan Robinson Receptions Made Props • Atlanta

B. Robinson
running back RB • Atlanta
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.8
Best Odds
Over
-144

The 10th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Falcons this year (a colossal 58.8 per game on average). The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide. With an elite 64.5% Route% (100th percentile) this year, Bijan Robinson rates as one of the RB receiving threats with the most usage in the league. Bijan Robinson ranks as one of the top running backs in the pass game this year, averaging an exceptional 4.1 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 98th percentile. This year, the anemic Raiders pass defense has been torched for a colossal 93.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the highest rate in football.

Bijan Robinson

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.8
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.8

The 10th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Falcons this year (a colossal 58.8 per game on average). The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide. With an elite 64.5% Route% (100th percentile) this year, Bijan Robinson rates as one of the RB receiving threats with the most usage in the league. Bijan Robinson ranks as one of the top running backs in the pass game this year, averaging an exceptional 4.1 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 98th percentile. This year, the anemic Raiders pass defense has been torched for a colossal 93.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the highest rate in football.

Sincere McCormick Receptions Made Props • Las Vegas

S. McCormick
running back RB • Las Vegas
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
1.5
Best Odds
Over
-103
Prop
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection
1.5
Best Odds
Over
-103
Projection Rating

The Las Vegas Raiders may take to the air less in this contest (and call more rushes) because they be rolling with backup QB Desmond Ridder. At a -6-point disadvantage, the Raiders are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their normal approach. The leading projections forecast the Raiders to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 62.6% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. At the moment, the 7th-quickest paced offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Raiders. This year, the anemic Atlanta Falcons pass defense has conceded a colossal 86.8% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 8th-biggest rate in the league.

Sincere McCormick

Prop: 1.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 1.5
Prop:
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
1.5

The Las Vegas Raiders may take to the air less in this contest (and call more rushes) because they be rolling with backup QB Desmond Ridder. At a -6-point disadvantage, the Raiders are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their normal approach. The leading projections forecast the Raiders to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 62.6% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. At the moment, the 7th-quickest paced offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Raiders. This year, the anemic Atlanta Falcons pass defense has conceded a colossal 86.8% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 8th-biggest rate in the league.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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