Dallas @ New York props

A passing game script is suggested by the Giants being a -4-point underdog in this game. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.9 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics. In this week's game, Wan'Dale Robinson is expected by our trusted projection set to land in the 96th percentile among wideouts with 9.1 targets. With an impressive 19.7% Target Share (76th percentile) since the start of last season, Wan'Dale Robinson stands among the wide receivers with the most usage in the league. With an exceptional 3.7 adjusted catches per game (77th percentile) since the start of last season, Wan'Dale Robinson rates as one of the top wide receivers in the NFL in the league.

The projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to be the 5th-most pass-focused offense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 63.1% pass rate. The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 131.8 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The Cowboys have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 60.6 plays per game. With a remarkable 2.7 adjusted catches per game (87th percentile) since the start of last season, Ezekiel Elliott stands among the top pass-catching running backs in the NFL. The Giants pass defense has allowed the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (89.2%) vs. RBs since the start of last season (89.2%).

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.6 pass attempts per game versus the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season: 2nd-fewest in the league. The New York offensive line grades out as the worst in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing game statistics across the board. The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has allowed the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (74.8%) vs. RBs since the start of last season (74.8%).

A rushing game script is implied by the Cowboys being a 4-point favorite in this week's contest. The Dallas Cowboys have played in the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which should lead to reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced offense effectiveness when facing windier weather in this week's game. The Giants linebackers profile as the 6th-best LB corps in football since the start of last season in defending receivers.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.6 pass attempts per game versus the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season: 2nd-fewest in the league. The New York offensive line grades out as the worst in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing game statistics across the board. The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has yielded the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (59.4%) versus wide receivers since the start of last season (59.4%).

A rushing game script is implied by the Cowboys being a 4-point favorite in this week's contest. The Dallas Cowboys have played in the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which should lead to reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced offense effectiveness when facing windier weather in this week's game. Jake Ferguson's 50.1% Adjusted Catch% this year conveys a substantial drop-off in his receiving skills over last year's 74.0% figure. The Giants linebackers profile as the 6th-best LB corps in football since the start of last season in defending receivers.

A passing game script is suggested by the Giants being a -4-point underdog in this game. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. The Cowboys safeties profile as the 5th-worst unit in football since the start of last season in defending receivers.