Pittsburgh @ Philadelphia props

Our trusted projections expect the Steelers to be the 8th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 54.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. This year, the fierce Eagles defense has yielded a puny 73.1% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the 8th-smallest rate in the league. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Philadelphia's collection of safeties has been terrific this year, grading out as the 4th-best in the NFL.

Our trusted projections expect the Steelers to be the 8th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 54.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. This year, the fierce Eagles defense has yielded a meager 79.7% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the 7th-smallest rate in football. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Philadelphia's collection of safeties has been terrific this year, grading out as the 4th-best in the NFL.

Our trusted projections expect the Steelers to be the 8th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 54.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. With a lackluster 56.6% Adjusted Completion Rate (15th percentile) this year, Calvin Austin stands as one of the least sure-handed receivers in football among wideouts. This year, the stout Eagles defense has surrendered a measly 60.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 3rd-smallest rate in football. When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Philadelphia's group of CBs has been great this year, projecting as the best in football.

Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically mean better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and lower run volume. While Grant Calcaterra has accounted for 7.6% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more important option in Philadelphia's passing offense in this week's contest at 14.5%. When talking about pass protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Eagles profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL this year. Grant Calcaterra is positioned as one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL among tight ends, hauling in a fantastic 90.8% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 96th percentile.

Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically mean better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and lower run volume. The leading projections forecast Saquon Barkley to accumulate 3.1 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 77th percentile among running backs. When talking about pass protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Eagles profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL this year. Saquon Barkley's 85.8% Adjusted Completion Rate this season signifies a noteworthy improvement in his receiving prowess over last season's 72.6% mark.

Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically mean better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and lower run volume. The model projects A.J. Brown to accumulate 9.3 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among wide receivers. A.J. Brown's 89.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 77.6. When talking about pass protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Eagles profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL this year. A.J. Brown's 74.1% Adjusted Catch% this season marks a meaningful progression in his receiving prowess over last season's 69.7% figure.