Arizona @ Los Angeles props

The projections expect the Cardinals to be the 10th-least pass-focused team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 59.3% pass rate. The model projects the Cardinals to call the 2nd-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics. The 8th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Cardinals this year (just 55.9 per game on average).

A rushing game script is implied by the Rams being a 6.5-point favorite in this game. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the projections to see just 127.7 total plays called: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week. Opposing QBs have averaged 33.0 pass attempts per game versus the Cardinals defense this year: 10th-fewest in football. Puka Nacua's 70.2% Route% this year signifies a substantial diminishment in his pass attack utilization over last year's 91.7% mark. The Los Angeles O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) generally lead to better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume. Tyler Higbee has run a route on 78.3% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, placing him in the 93rd percentile among tight ends. Tyler Higbee comes in as one of the top pass-catching TEs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 2.9 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 77th percentile. This year, the deficient Cardinals pass defense has been gouged for a staggering 78.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 7th-worst rate in the league. The Cardinals linebackers grade out as the 3rd-worst unit in the league this year in covering receivers.

Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) generally lead to better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume. Kyren Williams's 89.1% Adjusted Completion% this year shows a noteworthy gain in his receiving talent over last year's 68.1% figure. This year, the shaky Cardinals pass defense has surrendered a colossal 91.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 3rd-highest rate in football. The Cardinals linebackers grade out as the 3rd-worst unit in the league this year in covering receivers.

A throwing game script is implied by the Cardinals being a -6.5-point underdog this week. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may drop. Trey McBride's 91.2% Route Participation Rate this season illustrates an impressive improvement in his passing attack usage over last season's 62.7% mark. In this contest, Trey McBride is projected by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 99th percentile when it comes to TEs with 9.2 targets. Trey McBride's 6.5 adjusted catches per game this year reflects a significant gain in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 4.7 figure.

A throwing game script is implied by the Cardinals being a -6.5-point underdog this week. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may drop. When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Arizona Cardinals ranks as the 10th-best in football this year. As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Los Angeles's group of CBs has been awful this year, projecting as the 8th-worst in the league.