Kansas City Chiefs

NFL Player Props

The model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 64.2% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in the league in the red zone (63.4% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Kansas City Chiefs. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop. The Cowboys defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (37.4 per game) this year. The Kansas City offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

A throwing game script is suggested by the Cowboys being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest. The projections expect the Cowboys as the 3rd-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 63.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. Right now, the 10th-most pass-centric offense in the league near the end zone (59.0% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Cowboys. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. The projections expect CeeDee Lamb to be a more important option in his offense's passing attack near the goal line this week (29.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (23.5% in games he has played).

A throwing game script is suggested by the Cowboys being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest. The projections expect the Cowboys as the 3rd-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 63.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. Right now, the 10th-most pass-centric offense in the league near the end zone (59.0% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Cowboys. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. Jake Ferguson has posted a massive 31.0 air yards per game this year: 81st percentile when it comes to tight ends.

The model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 64.2% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in the league in the red zone (63.4% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Kansas City Chiefs. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop. The Cowboys defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (37.4 per game) this year. The Kansas City offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

A throwing game script is suggested by the Cowboys being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest. The projections expect the Cowboys as the 3rd-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 63.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. Right now, the 10th-most pass-centric offense in the league near the end zone (59.0% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Cowboys. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. Javonte Williams's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 78.1% to 81.4%.

The model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 64.2% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in the league in the red zone (63.4% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Kansas City Chiefs. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop. The Cowboys defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (37.4 per game) this year. While Travis Kelce has been responsible for 14.3% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more important option in Kansas City's passing attack near the goal line in this week's contest at 19.8%.

A throwing game script is suggested by the Cowboys being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest. The projections expect the Cowboys as the 3rd-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 63.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. Right now, the 10th-most pass-centric offense in the league near the end zone (59.0% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Cowboys. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. In this contest, Dak Prescott is predicted by the projection model to wind up with the 4th-most pass attempts among all QBs with 37.7.

The model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 64.2% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in the league in the red zone (63.4% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Kansas City Chiefs. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop. The projections expect Patrick Mahomes to attempt 38.3 passes in this game, on balance: the 2nd-most out of all QBs. The Cowboys defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (37.4 per game) this year.