Kansas City Chiefs

3rd in AFC West (6 - 5 - 0)

Next Game

Thu, Nov 27 16:30 ET

Player Props

Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Isiah Pacheco Score a Touchdown Props • Kansas City

Isiah Pacheco
I. Pacheco
running back RB • Kansas City
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.43
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.43
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.0% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in the league in the red zone (63.4% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Kansas City Chiefs. The 2nd-most plays in football have been run by the Chiefs this year (a massive 61.5 per game on average). The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop. The Cowboys defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (37.9 per game) this year.

Isiah Pacheco logo

Isiah Pacheco

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.43
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.43

The model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.0% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in the league in the red zone (63.4% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Kansas City Chiefs. The 2nd-most plays in football have been run by the Chiefs this year (a massive 61.5 per game on average). The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop. The Cowboys defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (37.9 per game) this year.

All Matchup props

CeeDee Lamb Score a Touchdown Props • Dallas

CeeDee Lamb
C. Lamb
wide receiver WR • Dallas
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.53
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.53
Best Odds
Projection Rating

A throwing game script is suggested by the Cowboys being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest. The projections expect the Cowboys as the 2nd-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 63.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The Cowboys rank as the 8th-most pass-centric team in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year with a 60.6% red zone pass rate. The Cowboys have called the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a massive 58.9 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

CeeDee Lamb logo

CeeDee Lamb

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.53
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.53

A throwing game script is suggested by the Cowboys being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest. The projections expect the Cowboys as the 2nd-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 63.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The Cowboys rank as the 8th-most pass-centric team in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year with a 60.6% red zone pass rate. The Cowboys have called the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a massive 58.9 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

All Matchup props

Jake Ferguson Score a Touchdown Props • Dallas

Jake Ferguson
J. Ferguson
tight end TE • Dallas
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.35
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.35
Best Odds
Projection Rating

A throwing game script is suggested by the Cowboys being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest. The projections expect the Cowboys as the 2nd-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 63.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The Cowboys rank as the 8th-most pass-centric team in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year with a 60.6% red zone pass rate. The Cowboys have called the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a massive 58.9 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Jake Ferguson logo

Jake Ferguson

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.35
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.35

A throwing game script is suggested by the Cowboys being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest. The projections expect the Cowboys as the 2nd-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 63.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The Cowboys rank as the 8th-most pass-centric team in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year with a 60.6% red zone pass rate. The Cowboys have called the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a massive 58.9 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

All Matchup props

Javonte Williams Score a Touchdown Props • Dallas

Javonte Williams
J. Williams
running back RB • Dallas
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.73
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.73
Best Odds
Projection Rating

A throwing game script is suggested by the Cowboys being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest. The projections expect the Cowboys as the 2nd-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 63.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The Cowboys rank as the 8th-most pass-centric team in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year with a 60.6% red zone pass rate. The Cowboys have called the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a massive 58.9 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Javonte Williams logo

Javonte Williams

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.73
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.73

A throwing game script is suggested by the Cowboys being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest. The projections expect the Cowboys as the 2nd-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 63.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The Cowboys rank as the 8th-most pass-centric team in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year with a 60.6% red zone pass rate. The Cowboys have called the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a massive 58.9 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

All Matchup props

Rashee Rice Score a Touchdown Props • Kansas City

Rashee Rice
R. Rice
wide receiver WR • Kansas City
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.0% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in the league in the red zone (63.4% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Kansas City Chiefs. The 2nd-most plays in football have been run by the Chiefs this year (a massive 61.5 per game on average). The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop. The Cowboys defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (37.9 per game) this year.

Rashee Rice logo

Rashee Rice

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.7

The model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.0% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in the league in the red zone (63.4% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Kansas City Chiefs. The 2nd-most plays in football have been run by the Chiefs this year (a massive 61.5 per game on average). The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop. The Cowboys defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (37.9 per game) this year.

All Matchup props

Travis Kelce Score a Touchdown Props • Kansas City

Travis Kelce
T. Kelce
tight end TE • Kansas City
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.39
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.39
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.0% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in the league in the red zone (63.4% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Kansas City Chiefs. The 2nd-most plays in football have been run by the Chiefs this year (a massive 61.5 per game on average). The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop. The Cowboys defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (37.9 per game) this year.

Travis Kelce logo

Travis Kelce

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.39
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.39

The model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.0% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in the league in the red zone (63.4% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Kansas City Chiefs. The 2nd-most plays in football have been run by the Chiefs this year (a massive 61.5 per game on average). The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop. The Cowboys defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (37.9 per game) this year.

All Matchup props

Dak Prescott Score a Touchdown Props • Dallas

Dak Prescott
D. Prescott
quarterback QB • Dallas
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.09
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.09
Best Odds
Projection Rating

A throwing game script is suggested by the Cowboys being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest. The projections expect the Cowboys as the 2nd-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 63.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The Cowboys rank as the 8th-most pass-centric team in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year with a 60.6% red zone pass rate. The Cowboys have called the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a massive 58.9 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Dak Prescott logo

Dak Prescott

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.09
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.09

A throwing game script is suggested by the Cowboys being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest. The projections expect the Cowboys as the 2nd-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 63.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The Cowboys rank as the 8th-most pass-centric team in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year with a 60.6% red zone pass rate. The Cowboys have called the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a massive 58.9 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

All Matchup props

Patrick Mahomes Score a Touchdown Props • Kansas City

Patrick Mahomes
P. Mahomes
quarterback QB • Kansas City
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.08
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.08
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.0% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in the league in the red zone (63.4% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Kansas City Chiefs. The 2nd-most plays in football have been run by the Chiefs this year (a massive 61.5 per game on average). The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop. The projections expect Patrick Mahomes to attempt 37.8 passes in this game, on balance: the 2nd-most out of all QBs.

Patrick Mahomes logo

Patrick Mahomes

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.08
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.08

The model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.0% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in the league in the red zone (63.4% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Kansas City Chiefs. The 2nd-most plays in football have been run by the Chiefs this year (a massive 61.5 per game on average). The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop. The projections expect Patrick Mahomes to attempt 37.8 passes in this game, on balance: the 2nd-most out of all QBs.

All Matchup props

Clyde Edwards-Helaire Score a Touchdown Props • Kansas City

Clyde Edwards-Helaire
C. Edwards-Helaire
running back RB • Kansas City
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.00
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.00
Best Odds

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV
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