Kansas City Chiefs

NFL Player Props

Travis Kelce's 74.7% Adjusted Completion% this season represents a noteworthy diminishment in his pass-catching skills over last season's 80.1% rate. This year, the formidable Bills defense has given up a measly 73.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 8th-smallest rate in the league.

The leading projections forecast the Bills to be the 2nd-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 54.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Bills this year (a mere 55.4 per game on average). Dalton Kincaid's 3.1 adjusted receptions per game this year signifies a remarkable reduction in his receiving ability over last year's 4.6 figure. Dalton Kincaid's 62.0% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects a noteworthy diminishment in his receiving skills over last year's 81.6% figure. When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Kansas City's unit has been phenomenal this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

This year, the fierce Buffalo Bills defense has given up a measly 79.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 5th-best rate in the NFL.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to have only 132.8 plays on offense run: the lowest number out of all the games this week. Opposing QBs have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 9th-most in the league. The leading projections forecast Khalil Shakir to accumulate 7.9 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 95th percentile when it comes to WRs. Khalil Shakir's 22.6% Target Rate this year indicates a noteworthy boost in his passing attack usage over last year's 8.3% figure. The Bills O-line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong influence on all passing attack stats across the board.

Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs as the most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 63.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. The leading projections forecast this game to see the fewest plays run on the slate this week at 132.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The 10th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Chiefs this year (a staggering 58.6 per game on average). The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all passing attack metrics across the board. The Bills pass defense has been torched for the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (70.8%) versus wide receivers this year (70.8%).

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to have only 132.8 plays on offense run: the lowest number out of all the games this week. Opposing QBs have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 9th-most in the league. The predictive model expects James Cook to accrue 2.8 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to RBs. The Bills O-line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong influence on all passing attack stats across the board.