Las Vegas Raiders

4th in AFC West (2 - 12 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Dec 22 16:25 ET

Player Props

Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Brenton Strange Receptions Made Props • Jacksonville

B. Strange
tight end TE • Jacksonville
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.9
Best Odds
Over
-155

The Jacksonville Jaguars will be starting backup QB Mac Jones in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. Our trusted projections expect the Jaguars offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 26.59 seconds per snap. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop. The projections expect Brenton Strange to accrue 7.0 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 96th percentile when it comes to TEs. The predictive model expects Brenton Strange to be a more important option in his offense's air attack in this week's contest (20.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (10.5% in games he has played).

Brenton Strange

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.9
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.9

The Jacksonville Jaguars will be starting backup QB Mac Jones in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. Our trusted projections expect the Jaguars offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 26.59 seconds per snap. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop. The projections expect Brenton Strange to accrue 7.0 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 96th percentile when it comes to TEs. The predictive model expects Brenton Strange to be a more important option in his offense's air attack in this week's contest (20.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (10.5% in games he has played).

All Matchup props

Travis Etienne Receptions Made Props • Jacksonville

T. Etienne
running back RB • Jacksonville
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.3
Best Odds
Over
-120

The Jacksonville Jaguars will be starting backup QB Mac Jones in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. Our trusted projections expect the Jaguars offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 26.59 seconds per snap. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop. In this game, Travis Etienne is predicted by the model to finish in the 90th percentile among RBs with 4.4 targets. When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all air attack statistics), the O-line of the Jacksonville Jaguars grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year.

Travis Etienne

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.3
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.3

The Jacksonville Jaguars will be starting backup QB Mac Jones in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. Our trusted projections expect the Jaguars offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 26.59 seconds per snap. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop. In this game, Travis Etienne is predicted by the model to finish in the 90th percentile among RBs with 4.4 targets. When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all air attack statistics), the O-line of the Jacksonville Jaguars grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year.

All Matchup props

Jakobi Meyers Receptions Made Props • Las Vegas

J. Meyers
wide receiver WR • Las Vegas
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
6.5
Best Odds
Over
-130

The Las Vegas Raiders will be starting backup quarterback Aidan O'Connell this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 62.9% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest rate on the slate this week. The leading projections forecast the Raiders offense to be the 5th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 26.57 seconds per play. The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (36.1 per game) this year. Jakobi Meyers's play as a receiver has gotten a boost this year, notching 5.8 adjusted receptions vs a measly 4.5 last year.

Jakobi Meyers

Prop: 5.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 6.5
Prop:
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
6.5

The Las Vegas Raiders will be starting backup quarterback Aidan O'Connell this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 62.9% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest rate on the slate this week. The leading projections forecast the Raiders offense to be the 5th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 26.57 seconds per play. The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (36.1 per game) this year. Jakobi Meyers's play as a receiver has gotten a boost this year, notching 5.8 adjusted receptions vs a measly 4.5 last year.

All Matchup props

Brian Thomas Receptions Made Props • Jacksonville

B. Thomas
wide receiver WR • Jacksonville
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
6.3
Best Odds
Over
-120

The Jacksonville Jaguars will be starting backup QB Mac Jones in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. Our trusted projections expect the Jaguars offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 26.59 seconds per snap. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop. When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all air attack statistics), the O-line of the Jacksonville Jaguars grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year. When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Las Vegas's unit has been lousy this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.

Brian Thomas

Prop: 5.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 6.3
Prop:
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
6.3

The Jacksonville Jaguars will be starting backup QB Mac Jones in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. Our trusted projections expect the Jaguars offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 26.59 seconds per snap. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop. When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all air attack statistics), the O-line of the Jacksonville Jaguars grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year. When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Las Vegas's unit has been lousy this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.

All Matchup props

Alexander Mattison Receptions Made Props • Las Vegas

A. Mattison
running back RB • Las Vegas
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.3
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2.3
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

The Las Vegas Raiders will be starting backup quarterback Aidan O'Connell this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 62.9% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest rate on the slate this week. The leading projections forecast the Raiders offense to be the 5th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 26.57 seconds per play. The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (36.1 per game) this year. Alexander Mattison's receiving reliability have improved this year, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 71.3% to 84.7%.

Alexander Mattison

Prop: 1.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.3
Prop:
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.3

The Las Vegas Raiders will be starting backup quarterback Aidan O'Connell this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 62.9% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest rate on the slate this week. The leading projections forecast the Raiders offense to be the 5th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 26.57 seconds per play. The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (36.1 per game) this year. Alexander Mattison's receiving reliability have improved this year, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 71.3% to 84.7%.

All Matchup props

Brock Bowers Receptions Made Props • Las Vegas

B. Bowers
tight end TE • Las Vegas
Prop
6.5
Receptions Made
Projection
6.8
Best Odds
Over
-109

The Las Vegas Raiders will be starting backup quarterback Aidan O'Connell this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 62.9% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest rate on the slate this week. The leading projections forecast the Raiders offense to be the 5th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 26.57 seconds per play. The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer. The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (36.1 per game) this year.

Brock Bowers

Prop: 6.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 6.8
Prop:
6.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
6.8

The Las Vegas Raiders will be starting backup quarterback Aidan O'Connell this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 62.9% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest rate on the slate this week. The leading projections forecast the Raiders offense to be the 5th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 26.57 seconds per play. The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer. The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (36.1 per game) this year.

All Matchup props

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV
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