New York Jets
Picks

4th in AFC East (3 - 11 - 0)

Next Game

at

Sun, Dec 21 13:00 ET

NYJ @ NO Picks

Score a Touchdown

EH Evan Hull Score a Touchdown (Yes: +350)

Best Odds

Pick made: 16 hours ago

Alvin Kamara didn’t practice on Wednesday, and Devin Neal has already been ruled out, leaving Evan Hull and Audric Estime as the likely backfield options in Week 16 against a Jets defense that’s been gashed on the ground. New York has allowed 171 rushing yards per game over its last three contests, and only Buffalo has surrendered more running back touchdowns this season. There’s some risk Kamara suits up, but with the team better off losing, there’s little incentive to push him. The expectation is a fairly even split in a run-heavy script between Hull and Estime. I prefer the longer price on Hull, who profiles better for early-down work, while Estime may be used more in the passing game. If Kamara is ruled out, I’d play this up to +190 or +200.

Passing Completions

Brady Cook o16.5 Passing Completions (-109)

Projection 18.84 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 10 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The New York Jets may lean on the pass less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup quarterback Brady Cook.. At a -5-point disadvantage, the Jets are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. Accounting for the game dynamics and traits of each team, the leading projections forecast this game (with an average of 25.33 seconds per play) will speed along at the 2nd-quickest tempo among all games this week.. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.. The Saints defensive ends grade out as the 5th-worst group of DEs in the league this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

-109 at DraftKings

Passing Attempts

Brady Cook o27.5 Passing Attempts (-128)

Projection 31.85 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 10 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The New York Jets may lean on the pass less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup quarterback Brady Cook.. At a -5-point disadvantage, the Jets are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. Accounting for the game dynamics and traits of each team, the leading projections forecast this game (with an average of 25.33 seconds per play) will speed along at the 2nd-quickest tempo among all games this week.. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.

-128 at DraftKings

Passing Yards

Brady Cook o170.5 Passing Yards (-110)

Projection 196.97 (Over)

Best Odds

o169.5 -114

Pick made: 12 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o172.5 -112

o170.5 -110

o169.5 -114

o170.5 -115

o170.5 -114

The New York Jets may lean on the pass less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup quarterback Brady Cook.. At a -5-point disadvantage, the Jets are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. Accounting for the game dynamics and traits of each team, the leading projections forecast this game (with an average of 25.33 seconds per play) will speed along at the 2nd-quickest tempo among all games this week.. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.. The Saints defensive ends grade out as the 5th-worst group of DEs in the league this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

-114 at FanDuel

Receiving Yards

Adonai Mitchell o40.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Projection 54.42 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 12 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The New York Jets may lean on the pass less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup quarterback Brady Cook.. At a -4.5-point disadvantage, the Jets are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.. The Saints defensive ends grade out as the 5th-worst group of DEs in the league this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

-114 at FanDuel

Receiving Yards

Breece Hall o10.5 Receiving Yards (-118)

Projection 17.62 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: yesterday

EV Model Rating

The New York Jets may lean on the pass less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup quarterback Brady Cook.. At a -5-point disadvantage, the Jets are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. Accounting for the game dynamics and traits of each team, the leading projections forecast this game (with an average of 25.33 seconds per play) will speed along at the 2nd-quickest tempo among all games this week.. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.. The model projects Breece Hall to garner 3.2 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 80th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Receiving Yards

Chris Olave o61.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Projection 71.74 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 12 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to call the 3rd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.6 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. The New Orleans Saints have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 59.1 plays per game.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. In this week's contest, Chris Olave is forecasted by the projection model to finish in the 96th percentile among wideouts with 9.6 targets.. Chris Olave has notched far more air yards this season (108.0 per game) than he did last season (57.0 per game).

-114 at FanDuel

Receiving Yards

Jeremy Ruckert o20.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Projection 25.34 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

The New York Jets may lean on the pass less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup quarterback Brady Cook.. At a -5-point disadvantage, the Jets are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. Accounting for the game dynamics and traits of each team, the leading projections forecast this game (with an average of 25.33 seconds per play) will speed along at the 2nd-quickest tempo among all games this week.. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.. The predictive model expects Jeremy Ruckert to be much more involved in his team's pass game in this week's contest (12.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (6.4% in games he has played).

Receiving Yards

Juwan Johnson o37.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Projection 41.13 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to call the 3rd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.6 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. The New Orleans Saints have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 59.1 plays per game.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. In this game, Juwan Johnson is anticipated by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 87th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.9 targets.. After averaging 31.0 air yards per game last season, Juwan Johnson has produced significantly more this season, now pacing 41.0 per game.

-105 at Caesars

Rushing Yards

Evan Hull o22.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Projection 47.06 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

A running game script is suggested by the Saints being a 5-point favorite in this week's contest.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to run on 47.1% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest clip among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to call the 3rd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.6 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. The New Orleans Saints have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 59.1 plays per game.. Opposing squads have rushed for the 4th-most adjusted yards in the league (140 per game) versus the New York Jets defense this year.

Rushing Yards

Breece Hall o56.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Projection 77.46 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Jets to run on 45.4% of their chances: the 9th-greatest clip on the slate this week.. Accounting for the game dynamics and traits of each team, the leading projections forecast this game (with an average of 25.33 seconds per play) will speed along at the 2nd-quickest tempo among all games this week.. In this contest, Breece Hall is expected by the projections to place in the 97th percentile when it comes to running backs with 20.8 carries.. Breece Hall has averaged 52.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest figures in the NFL among RBs (85th percentile).. Opposing teams have run for the 8th-most adjusted yards in football (131 per game) vs. the Saints defense this year.

Consensus Picks

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60% picking New Orleans

40% 40%

60% 60%

Total Picks NYJ 210, NO 317

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NYJ

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Top User Picks

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'TwoDrunk2Bunt' is picking N.Y. Jets to cover (+4.5)

TwoDrunk2Bunt is #1 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (9-2-1) and +7250 units on the season.

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NYJ

NO

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'TwoDrunk2Bunt' picks N.Y. Jets vs New Orleans to go Under (40.0)

TwoDrunk2Bunt is #1 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (9-2-1) and +7250 units on the season.

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'wgocts' picks N.Y. Jets vs New Orleans to go Under (40.5)

wgocts is #1 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (6-4-0) and +5250 units on the season.

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'wgocts' is picking N.Y. Jets to cover (+5.0)

wgocts is #1 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (6-4-0) and +5250 units on the season.

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NYJ

NO

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'CastlemontDB91' is picking New Orleans to cover (-3.0)

CastlemontDB91 is #10 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (9-5-0) and +4550 units on the season.

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NYJ

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'CastlemontDB91' picks N.Y. Jets vs New Orleans to go Under (39.5)

CastlemontDB91 is #10 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (9-5-0) and +4550 units on the season.

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'dirtyharry57' is picking New Orleans to cover (-4.5)

dirtyharry57 is #10 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (9-3-0) and +4650 units on the season.

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NYJ

NO

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'dirtyharry57' picks N.Y. Jets vs New Orleans to go Under (40.5)

dirtyharry57 is #10 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (9-3-0) and +4650 units on the season.

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'Sabster611' picks N.Y. Jets vs New Orleans to go Under (39.5)

Sabster611 is #2 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (11-3-0) and +5600 units on the season.

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'Sabster611' is picking N.Y. Jets to cover (+3.0)

Sabster611 is #2 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (11-3-0) and +5600 units on the season.

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NYJ

NO

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'nahfetest' is picking New Orleans to cover (-4.5)

nahfetest is #3 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (7-2-0) and +4750 units on the season.

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NYJ

NO

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'Lucknuts' is picking N.Y. Jets to cover (+3.0)

Lucknuts is #5 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (11-0-0) and +4650 units on the season.

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NYJ

NO

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'Lucknuts' picks N.Y. Jets vs New Orleans to go Over (39.5)

Lucknuts is #5 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (11-0-0) and +4650 units on the season.

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'csmooth515' is picking N.Y. Jets to cover (+3.0)

csmooth515 is #8 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (9-5-0) and +4550 units on the season.

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NYJ

NO

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'csmooth515' picks N.Y. Jets vs New Orleans to go Under (39.5)

csmooth515 is #8 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (9-5-0) and +4550 units on the season.

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Top N.Y. Jets Pick Leaders Season 2025-2026

Rank	Leader	L10	Units

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