New York Jets

3rd in AFC East (2 - 5 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Nov 1 13:00 ET

LV @ NYJ Picks

NFL Picks
Anytime Touchdown
Ashton Jeanty logo Ashton Jeanty Score a Touchdown (Yes: +108)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Neil Parker logo
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

This touchdown prop is in play up to 56% because the Raiders are committed to Jeanty, and he’s handled 67.7% of the red zone carries and 75% of the goal-line rushes this season. Jeanty has also found the end zone in consecutive games, and the Jets have surrendered seven touchdowns to running backs through seven games.

Total
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail New York Jets image thumbnail o45.5 (-104)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Neil Parker logo
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I recommend this Over up to 46.5 because the Raiders and Jets send out two of the worst defenses in the league. Las Vegas has allowed the highest offensive success rate while ranking 32nd in defensive DVOA over the past five weeks, and New York has been nearly as bad with respective 26th-ranked marks in the metrics during the same stretch.

Receiving Yards
Omar Cooper Jr. logo Omar Cooper Jr. o39.5 Receiving Yards (-122)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Neil Parker logo
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

This Cooper Over is playable up to 45+ receiving yards because the rookie has exploded onto the scene the past two weeks, and Las Vegas has been dominated through the air. The Raiders have allowed the fourth-highest EPA per dropback while ranking 29th in pass defense DVOA over the last five weeks. Plus, Cooper has caught 11 of 12 targets for 218 yards and an elite 4.27 yards per route run over his past two games.

Anytime Touchdown
Omar Cooper Jr. logo Omar Cooper Jr. Score a Touchdown (Yes: +270)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 days ago
Josh Inglis logo
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

Only the Bills' defense is allowing more TDs to opposing WRs than the Raiders. Since Week 3, this defense ranks dead last in EPA/play, success rate, and dropback success rate. Omar Cooper still ripped off 115 yards and a score last week despite the return of Adonai Mitchell and the team running just 53 plays. He's gone for 100+ yards and a score in back-to-back weeks. His efficiency is off the charts right now, and he shouldn't be priced 100 points longer than Garrett Wilson. I have Cooper at 30%.

Total
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail New York Jets image thumbnail u45.5 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
Dustin Saracini logo
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst

One of the first stats I look at when evaluating taking an Under is red-zone touchdown conversion rate, and this matchup features two of the NFL's least efficient offenses inside the 20-yard line. The Jets come into this one with a paltry 45% red-zone touchdown rate, with the Raiders not too far behind, converting at just 46%. No matter which way you attack this game, it's difficult to see a ton of points being scored. While the Raiders leave a lot on the table defensively, the Jets offense, with just four rushing touchdowns to its name this year behind their 16th-ranked offensive line, won't do enough with the ball to get this one over the line.

Spread
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail LV +1.5 (-114)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
Dustin Saracini logo
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst

The Las Vegas Raiders have shown they can move the football, averaging 26.4 points per game compared to just 19.6 for the New York Jets. They own the league's fourth-best passing attack (14th in EPA/Play), throwing for nearly 270 yards per game - we'll take that in what could turn into an ugly game of football. That offensive production - a touchdown difference - is significant between these teams, and it's something New York will need to overcome if it wants to get a win at home after falling to the lowly Miami Dolphins. The biggest question is undoubtedly whether or not the Jets defense can do enough in the trenches and get Kirk Cousins to make off-platform throws. If they can't, Vegas will continue to roll.

3 LEG PARLAY
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail New York Jets image thumbnail
o45.5
Total
Kirk Cousins profile picture
Kirk Cousins o224.5 Passing Yards
Passing Yards
Omar Cooper Jr. profile picture
Omar Cooper Jr. o39.5 Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards
Bet now
Pick made: yesterday
Neil Parker logo
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Raiders and Jets are two of the worst defenses in the league, and New York has surrendered the fourth-highest passing success rate dating back to Week 3. Cousins has also thrown for 225 or more passing yards in each of his past six games with an average of 286.2 per game, and Cooper has exploded over the past two weeks for 218 receiving yards and an elite 4.27 yards per route run.

Passing Yards
Geno Smith logo
Geno Smith o220.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 236.67 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Jets offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game metrics across the board.. Geno Smith's 221.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season indicates a noteable progression in his throwing prowess over last season's 178.0 mark.. Geno Smith's throwing accuracy has improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 66.8% to 70.3%.. This year, the deficient Raiders defense has given up the 3rd-most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing teams: a staggering 5.29 YAC.. The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers rank as the worst LB corps in the league this year in defending receivers.
Passing Yards
Kirk Cousins logo
Kirk Cousins u232.5 Passing Yards (-111)
Projection 227.41 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Opposing offenses have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Jets defense this year: 7th-fewest in the NFL.. The Las Vegas Raiders O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all passing attack stats across the board.. Opposing offenses have thrown for the 3rd-fewest yards in football (just 204.0 adjusted yards per game) vs. the New York Jets defense this year.. The Jets pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency this year, allowing 7.27 adjusted yards-per-target: the 10th-fewest in the NFL.. When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, New York's unit has been terrific this year, grading out as the 9th-best in the NFL.
Rushing Yards
Kirk Cousins logo
Kirk Cousins o0.5 Rushing Yards (-105)
Projection 4.74 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
At the moment, the 8th-quickest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Las Vegas Raiders.. The opposing side have run for the 8th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (128 per game) vs. the Jets defense this year.
Rushing Yards
Geno Smith logo
Geno Smith o7.5 Rushing Yards (+100)
Projection 13.89 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The projections expect the Jets to be the 8th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 44.5% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. This year, the daunting Raiders run defense has yielded a meager 4.99 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's running game: the 27th-lowest rate in football.. The Las Vegas defensive ends project as the 2nd-worst collection of DEs in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.
Rushing Yards
Breece Hall logo
Breece Hall o49.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Projection 60.88 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The projections expect the Jets to be the 8th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 44.5% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast Breece Hall to accumulate 15.8 carries in this game, on average, putting him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.. Breece Hall has received 63.3% of his team's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to RBs.. With a terrific record of 54.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (87th percentile), Breece Hall ranks among the top running backs in football since the start of last season.. This year, the daunting Raiders run defense has yielded a meager 4.99 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's running game: the 27th-lowest rate in football.
Rushing Yards
Ashton Jeanty logo
Ashton Jeanty o49.5 Rushing Yards (-113)
Projection 59.33 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
At the moment, the 8th-quickest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Las Vegas Raiders.. The opposing side have run for the 8th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (128 per game) vs. the Jets defense this year.
Receiving Yards
Ashton Jeanty logo
Ashton Jeanty o27.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 28.68 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
At the moment, the 8th-quickest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Las Vegas Raiders.
Receiving Yards
Brock Bowers logo
Brock Bowers u70.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 65.31 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Opposing offenses have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Jets defense this year: 7th-fewest in the NFL.. The Las Vegas Raiders O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all passing attack stats across the board.. The Jets safeties profile as the best group of safeties in the NFL this year when it comes to rushing the passer.
Receiving Yards
Mason Taylor logo
Mason Taylor o22.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Projection 26.07 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Jets offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game metrics across the board.. This year, the anemic Las Vegas Raiders defense has surrendered a monstrous 57.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing TEs: the 10th-worst in the NFL.. This year, the anemic Raiders pass defense has surrendered a whopping 83.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 3rd-highest rate in the league.. The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers rank as the worst LB corps in the league this year in defending receivers.
Anytime Touchdown
Kirk Cousins logo
Kirk Cousins Score a Touchdown (Yes: +3000)
Projection 0.05 (Yes)
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Raiders rank as the 4th-most pass-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 63.0% red zone pass rate.. At the moment, the 8th-quickest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Las Vegas Raiders.. Kirk Cousins has not tried to run the ball himself near the goal line at all this year.. Kirk Cousins has been one of the top touchdown passers in football this year, averaging a terrific 2.29 per game while grading out in the 91st percentile.. The running touchdown field reads "0" on the back of Kirk Cousins's trading card this year.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Spread

65% picking Las Vegas

65%
35%

Total Picks LV 622, NYJ 328

Spread
LV
NYJ
Total

43% picking Las Vegas vs N.Y. Jets to go Under

57%
43%

Total PicksLV 319, NYJ 236

Total
Over
Under

LV @ NYJ · Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS PROJECTIONS ANALYSIS BEST ODDS
SPREAD
New York Jets image thumbnail
NYJ -1.5 spread
-2.89 PROJECTION
-1.4 DIFFERENCE
18.28% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
New York Jets image thumbnail
NYJ -1.5 spread

PROJECTION

-2.89 PROJECTION
-1.4 DIFFERENCE
18.28% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

-1.5 -105
FanDuel logo
TOTAL
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail New York Jets image thumbnail
Under 46.5 Total
44.71 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.8 DIFFERENCE
12.73% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail New York Jets image thumbnail
Under 46.5 Total

PROJECTION

44.71 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.8 DIFFERENCE
12.73% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

u46.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet logo
PASSING YARDS
Geno Smith logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Smith (QB) o220.5 Passing Yards
236.67 OVER PROJECTION
+16.2 DIFFERENCE
23.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Geno Smith logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Smith (QB) o220.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

236.67 OVER PROJECTION
+16.2 DIFFERENCE
23.02% EV

ANALYSIS

The Jets offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game metrics across the board.. Geno Smith's 221.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season indicates a noteable progression in his throwing prowess over last season's 178.0 mark.. Geno Smith's throwing accuracy has improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 66.8% to 70.3%.. This year, the deficient Raiders defense has given up the 3rd-most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing teams: a staggering 5.29 YAC.. The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers rank as the worst LB corps in the league this year in defending receivers.

o220.5 -115
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
PASSING YARDS
Kirk Cousins logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
K. Cousins (QB) u232.5 Passing Yards
227.41 UNDER PROJECTION
-5.1 DIFFERENCE
22.6% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Kirk Cousins logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
K. Cousins (QB) u232.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

227.41 UNDER PROJECTION
-5.1 DIFFERENCE
22.6% EV

ANALYSIS

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Jets defense this year: 7th-fewest in the NFL.. The Las Vegas Raiders O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all passing attack stats across the board.. Opposing offenses have thrown for the 3rd-fewest yards in football (just 204.0 adjusted yards per game) vs. the New York Jets defense this year.. The Jets pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency this year, allowing 7.27 adjusted yards-per-target: the 10th-fewest in the NFL.. When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, New York's unit has been terrific this year, grading out as the 9th-best in the NFL.

u234.5 -150
BetMGM logo
RUSHING YARDS
Kirk Cousins logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
K. Cousins (QB) o0.5 Rushing Yards
4.74 OVER PROJECTION
+4.2 DIFFERENCE
27.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Kirk Cousins logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
K. Cousins (QB) o0.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

4.74 OVER PROJECTION
+4.2 DIFFERENCE
27.2% EV

ANALYSIS

At the moment, the 8th-quickest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Las Vegas Raiders.. The opposing side have run for the 8th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (128 per game) vs. the Jets defense this year.

o0.5 +105
theScore Bet logo
RUSHING YARDS
Geno Smith logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Smith (QB) o7.5 Rushing Yards
13.89 OVER PROJECTION
+6.4 DIFFERENCE
26.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Geno Smith logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Smith (QB) o7.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

13.89 OVER PROJECTION
+6.4 DIFFERENCE
26.71% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Jets to be the 8th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 44.5% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. This year, the daunting Raiders run defense has yielded a meager 4.99 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's running game: the 27th-lowest rate in football.. The Las Vegas defensive ends project as the 2nd-worst collection of DEs in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

o5.5 -140
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RUSHING YARDS
Breece Hall logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
B. Hall (RB) o49.5 Rushing Yards
60.88 OVER PROJECTION
+11.4 DIFFERENCE
25.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Breece Hall logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
B. Hall (RB) o49.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

60.88 OVER PROJECTION
+11.4 DIFFERENCE
25.11% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Jets to be the 8th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 44.5% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast Breece Hall to accumulate 15.8 carries in this game, on average, putting him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.. Breece Hall has received 63.3% of his team's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to RBs.. With a terrific record of 54.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (87th percentile), Breece Hall ranks among the top running backs in football since the start of last season.. This year, the daunting Raiders run defense has yielded a meager 4.99 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's running game: the 27th-lowest rate in football.

o49.5 -115
bet365 logo
RUSHING YARDS
Ashton Jeanty logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
A. Jeanty (RB) o49.5 Rushing Yards
59.33 OVER PROJECTION
+9.8 DIFFERENCE
24.61% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Ashton Jeanty logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
A. Jeanty (RB) o49.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

59.33 OVER PROJECTION
+9.8 DIFFERENCE
24.61% EV

ANALYSIS

At the moment, the 8th-quickest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Las Vegas Raiders.. The opposing side have run for the 8th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (128 per game) vs. the Jets defense this year.

o48.5 -115
BetMGM logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Ashton Jeanty logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
A. Jeanty (RB) o27.5 Receiving Yards
28.68 OVER PROJECTION
+1.2 DIFFERENCE
21.26% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Ashton Jeanty logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
A. Jeanty (RB) o27.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

28.68 OVER PROJECTION
+1.2 DIFFERENCE
21.26% EV

ANALYSIS

At the moment, the 8th-quickest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Las Vegas Raiders.

o25.5 -135
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Brock Bowers logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
B. Bowers (TE) u70.5 Receiving Yards
65.31 UNDER PROJECTION
-5.2 DIFFERENCE
20.99% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Brock Bowers logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
B. Bowers (TE) u70.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

65.31 UNDER PROJECTION
-5.2 DIFFERENCE
20.99% EV

ANALYSIS

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Jets defense this year: 7th-fewest in the NFL.. The Las Vegas Raiders O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all passing attack stats across the board.. The Jets safeties profile as the best group of safeties in the NFL this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

u72.5 -114
DraftKings logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Mason Taylor logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
M. Taylor (TE) o22.5 Receiving Yards
26.07 OVER PROJECTION
+3.6 DIFFERENCE
20.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Mason Taylor logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
M. Taylor (TE) o22.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

26.07 OVER PROJECTION
+3.6 DIFFERENCE
20.39% EV

ANALYSIS

The Jets offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game metrics across the board.. This year, the anemic Las Vegas Raiders defense has surrendered a monstrous 57.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing TEs: the 10th-worst in the NFL.. This year, the anemic Raiders pass defense has surrendered a whopping 83.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 3rd-highest rate in the league.. The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers rank as the worst LB corps in the league this year in defending receivers.

o20.5 -135
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Garrett Wilson logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Wilson (WR) o60.5 Receiving Yards
64.22 OVER PROJECTION
+3.7 DIFFERENCE
14.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Garrett Wilson logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Wilson (WR) o60.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

64.22 OVER PROJECTION
+3.7 DIFFERENCE
14.45% EV

ANALYSIS

Our trusted projections expect Garrett Wilson to earn 8.0 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 89th percentile when it comes to WRs.. The Jets offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game metrics across the board.. Garrett Wilson has accrued significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (64.0) this year than he did last year (50.0).. Garrett Wilson's ball-catching skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 64.3% to 72.3%.. Garrett Wilson's pass-catching effectiveness has been refined this year, totaling 8.85 adjusted yards-per-target vs a measly 7.37 rate last year.

o60.5 -135
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Tre Tucker logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
T. Tucker (WR) u48.5 Receiving Yards
48.02 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
0.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Tre Tucker logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
T. Tucker (WR) u48.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

48.02 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
0.39% EV

ANALYSIS

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Jets defense this year: 7th-fewest in the NFL.. The Las Vegas Raiders O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all passing attack stats across the board.. This year, the imposing Jets defense has surrendered a puny 130.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing WRs: the 6th-fewest in the NFL.. The Jets pass defense has excelled when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.18 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-fewest in the NFL.. When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, New York's unit has been terrific this year, grading out as the 9th-best in the NFL.

u48.5 -113
FanDuel logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Garrett Wilson logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Wilson (WR) u5.5 Receptions Made
4.98 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars Odds
Best Odds
Garrett Wilson logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Wilson (WR) u5.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

4.98 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.77% EV

ANALYSIS

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jets to pass on 55.5% of their plays: the 8th-lowest clip on the slate this week.. At the moment, the 6th-most sluggish paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the model is the New York Jets.. Garrett Wilson has been much less involved in his offense's passing attack this season (26.8% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (34.2%).. This year, the stout Raiders defense has allowed a feeble 55.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 2nd-smallest rate in football.

u5.5 -122
Caesars Odds logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Ashton Jeanty logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
A. Jeanty (RB) u3.5 Receptions Made
3.42 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ashton Jeanty logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
A. Jeanty (RB) u3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.42 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.77% EV

ANALYSIS

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Jets defense this year: 7th-fewest in the NFL.. The Las Vegas Raiders O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all passing attack stats across the board.. This year, the daunting New York Jets defense has given up a puny 71.0% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 2nd-best rate in the league.. The Jets safeties profile as the best group of safeties in the NFL this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

u3.5 -104
DraftKings logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Breece Hall logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
B. Hall (RB) o2.5 Receptions Made
2.55 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Breece Hall logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
B. Hall (RB) o2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.55 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.17% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect Breece Hall to earn 3.2 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 80th percentile when it comes to RBs.. Breece Hall has been in the 86th percentile for RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) with a remarkable 15.3 figure since the start of last season.. The Jets offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game metrics across the board.. With an impressive 2.2 adjusted catches per game (86th percentile) since the start of last season, Breece Hall stands as one of the leading pass-game RBs in football.. The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has conceded the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (96.4%) versus running backs this year (96.4%).

o2.5 +120
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Brock Bowers logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
B. Bowers (TE) u6.5 Receptions Made
5.82 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
6.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Brock Bowers logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
B. Bowers (TE) u6.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

5.82 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
6.09% EV

ANALYSIS

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Jets defense this year: 7th-fewest in the NFL.. The Las Vegas Raiders O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all passing attack stats across the board.. The Jets safeties profile as the best group of safeties in the NFL this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

u6.5 -129
DraftKings logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Tre Tucker logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
T. Tucker (WR) u3.5 Receptions Made
3.48 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Tre Tucker logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
T. Tucker (WR) u3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.48 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
3% EV

ANALYSIS

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Jets defense this year: 7th-fewest in the NFL.. The Las Vegas Raiders O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all passing attack stats across the board.. When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, New York's unit has been terrific this year, grading out as the 9th-best in the NFL.

u3.5 +100
BetMGM logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Mason Taylor logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
M. Taylor (TE) o2.5 Receptions Made
2.93 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Mason Taylor logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
M. Taylor (TE) o2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.93 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.55% EV

ANALYSIS

The Jets offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game metrics across the board.. This year, the anemic Raiders pass defense has surrendered a whopping 83.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 3rd-highest rate in the league.. The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers rank as the worst LB corps in the league this year in defending receivers.

o2.5 -115
bet365 logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Ashton Jeanty logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
A. Jeanty (RB) o13.5 Rushing Attempts
15.48 OVER PROJECTION
+2.0 DIFFERENCE
14.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Caesars Odds
Best Odds
Ashton Jeanty logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
A. Jeanty (RB) o13.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

15.48 OVER PROJECTION
+2.0 DIFFERENCE
14.54% EV

ANALYSIS

At the moment, the 8th-quickest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Las Vegas Raiders.

o13.5 -118
Caesars Odds logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Kirk Cousins logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
K. Cousins (QB) o32.5 Passing Attempts
33.60 OVER PROJECTION
+1.1 DIFFERENCE
5.8% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Kirk Cousins logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
K. Cousins (QB) o32.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

33.60 OVER PROJECTION
+1.1 DIFFERENCE
5.8% EV

ANALYSIS

At the moment, the 8th-quickest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Las Vegas Raiders.. In throwing a massive 38.2 pass attempts per game this year, Kirk Cousins slots in among the top QBs in the NFL (79th percentile) in this respect.

o32.5 -120
BetMGM logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Geno Smith logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Smith (QB) o30.5 Passing Attempts
30.73 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Geno Smith logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Smith (QB) o30.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

30.73 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.21% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o29.5 -127
DraftKings logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Geno Smith logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Smith (QB) o20.5 Passing Completions
21.27 OVER PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
11.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Geno Smith logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Smith (QB) o20.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

21.27 OVER PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
11.45% EV

ANALYSIS

The Jets offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game metrics across the board.. Geno Smith's throwing accuracy has improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 66.8% to 70.3%.. The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers rank as the worst LB corps in the league this year in defending receivers.

o19.5 -137
BetRivers logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Kirk Cousins logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
K. Cousins (QB) o20.5 Passing Completions
20.76 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-15.72% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Kirk Cousins logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
K. Cousins (QB) o20.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

20.76 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-15.72% EV

ANALYSIS

At the moment, the 8th-quickest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Las Vegas Raiders.. In throwing a massive 38.2 pass attempts per game this year, Kirk Cousins slots in among the top QBs in the NFL (79th percentile) in this respect.

o19.5 -275
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Kirk Cousins logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
K. Cousins (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.05 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
22.81% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Kirk Cousins logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
K. Cousins (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.05 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
22.81% EV

ANALYSIS

The Raiders rank as the 4th-most pass-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 63.0% red zone pass rate.. At the moment, the 8th-quickest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Las Vegas Raiders.. Kirk Cousins has not tried to run the ball himself near the goal line at all this year.. Kirk Cousins has been one of the top touchdown passers in football this year, averaging a terrific 2.29 per game while grading out in the 91st percentile.. The running touchdown field reads "0" on the back of Kirk Cousins's trading card this year.

+3000
Hard Rock Bet logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Ashton Jeanty logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
A. Jeanty (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.7 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
19.36% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ashton Jeanty logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
A. Jeanty (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.7 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
19.36% EV

ANALYSIS

The Raiders rank as the 4th-most pass-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 63.0% red zone pass rate.. At the moment, the 8th-quickest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Las Vegas Raiders.. The Jets defense has been gouged for the 5th-most receiving TDs in the NFL to running backs: 0.29 per game this year.. As it relates to the safeties' role in defending against the run, New York's unit has been very good this year, grading out as the best in football.

-105
bet365 logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Geno Smith logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Smith (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.12 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
16.29% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Geno Smith logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Smith (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.12 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
16.29% EV

ANALYSIS

The Jets rank as the 9th-most pass-focused offense in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year with a 58.7% red zone pass rate.. The Jets offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game metrics across the board.. Geno Smith's throwing accuracy has improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 66.8% to 70.3%.. With an awful rate of just 0.00 TDs on the ground per game (3rd percentile), Geno Smith places as one of the bottom rushing quarterbacks in football this year.. The Raiders defense has yielded the 6th-most TDs through the air in football: 2.29 per game this year.

+950
FanDuel logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Breece Hall logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
B. Hall (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.64 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
13.83% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Breece Hall logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
B. Hall (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.64 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
13.83% EV

ANALYSIS

The Jets rank as the 9th-most pass-focused offense in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year with a 58.7% red zone pass rate.. While Breece Hall has accounted for 0.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more integral piece of New York's pass game near the end zone in this week's game at 9.7%.. When talking about air yards, Breece Hall ranks in the towering 90th percentile among RBs since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 2.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more impressive than it sounds since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).. The Jets offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game metrics across the board.. Breece Hall's ball-catching skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 89.6% to 100.0%.

+100
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Mason Taylor logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
M. Taylor (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.22 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
11.83% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Mason Taylor logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
M. Taylor (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.22 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
11.83% EV

ANALYSIS

The Jets rank as the 9th-most pass-focused offense in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year with a 58.7% red zone pass rate.. The Jets offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game metrics across the board.. This year, the anemic Raiders pass defense has surrendered a whopping 83.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 3rd-highest rate in the league.. This year, the anemic Las Vegas Raiders defense has yielded a staggering 1.14 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing tight ends: the 3rd-biggest rate in the NFL.. The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers rank as the worst LB corps in the league this year in defending receivers.

+420
BetRivers logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Garrett Wilson logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Wilson (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.35 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
6.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Garrett Wilson logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Wilson (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.35 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
6.11% EV

ANALYSIS

The Jets rank as the 9th-most pass-focused offense in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year with a 58.7% red zone pass rate.. While Garrett Wilson has earned 14.8% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more important option in New York's passing offense near the end zone in this week's game at 20.7%.. The Jets offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game metrics across the board.. Garrett Wilson's ball-catching skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 64.3% to 72.3%.. With an excellent rate of 0.43 per game through the air (83rd percentile), Garrett Wilson stands as one of the top receiving TD-scorers in the NFL when it comes to wideouts this year.

+195
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Brock Bowers logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
B. Bowers (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.47 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
3.12% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Brock Bowers logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
B. Bowers (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.47 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
3.12% EV

ANALYSIS

The Raiders rank as the 4th-most pass-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 63.0% red zone pass rate.. At the moment, the 8th-quickest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Las Vegas Raiders.. As it relates to the safeties' role in defending against the run, New York's unit has been very good this year, grading out as the best in football.

+110
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Tre Tucker logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
T. Tucker (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.27 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-5.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Tre Tucker logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
T. Tucker (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.27 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-5.11% EV

ANALYSIS

The Raiders rank as the 4th-most pass-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 63.0% red zone pass rate.. At the moment, the 8th-quickest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Las Vegas Raiders.. The New York Jets defense has given up the 6th-most receiving TDs in football to wide receivers: 1.14 per game this year.. As it relates to the safeties' role in defending against the run, New York's unit has been very good this year, grading out as the best in football.

+270
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Kirk Cousins logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
K. Cousins (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.44 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
17.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kirk Cousins logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
K. Cousins (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.44 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
17.01% EV

ANALYSIS

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Jets defense this year: 7th-fewest in the NFL.. The Las Vegas Raiders O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all passing attack stats across the board.. When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, New York's unit has been terrific this year, grading out as the 9th-best in the NFL.

u0.5 -115
bet365 logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Geno Smith logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Smith (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.40 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.52% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Geno Smith logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Smith (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.40 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.52% EV

ANALYSIS

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jets to pass on 55.5% of their plays: the 8th-lowest clip on the slate this week.. At the moment, the 6th-most sluggish paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the model is the New York Jets.. The predictive model expects Geno Smith to attempt 33.1 passes this week, on balance: the 9th-fewest among all QBs.. In totaling just 0.31 interceptions per game this year, Geno Smith ranks among the top quarterbacks in football (79th percentile).

u0.5 -135
bet365 logo
  • Proj. Diff: Low to High
  • Proj. Diff: High to Low
  • Proj. Rating: Low to High
  • Proj. Rating: High to Low
  • +EV: Low to High
  • +EV: High to Low
SPREAD
New York Jets image thumbnail
NYJ -1.5 spread
-2.89 PROJECTION
-1.4 DIFFERENCE
18.28% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
New York Jets image thumbnail
NYJ -1.5 spread

PROJECTION

-2.89 PROJECTION
-1.4 DIFFERENCE
18.28% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

-1.5 -105
FanDuel logo
TOTAL
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail New York Jets image thumbnail
Under 46.5 Total
44.71 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.8 DIFFERENCE
12.73% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail New York Jets image thumbnail
Under 46.5 Total

PROJECTION

44.71 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.8 DIFFERENCE
12.73% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

u46.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet logo
PASSING YARDS
Geno Smith logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Smith (QB) o220.5 Passing Yards
236.67 OVER PROJECTION
+16.2 DIFFERENCE
23.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Geno Smith logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Smith (QB) o220.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

236.67 OVER PROJECTION
+16.2 DIFFERENCE
23.02% EV

ANALYSIS

The Jets offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game metrics across the board.. Geno Smith's 221.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season indicates a noteable progression in his throwing prowess over last season's 178.0 mark.. Geno Smith's throwing accuracy has improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 66.8% to 70.3%.. This year, the deficient Raiders defense has given up the 3rd-most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing teams: a staggering 5.29 YAC.. The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers rank as the worst LB corps in the league this year in defending receivers.

o220.5 -115
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
PASSING YARDS
Kirk Cousins logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
K. Cousins (QB) u232.5 Passing Yards
227.41 UNDER PROJECTION
-5.1 DIFFERENCE
22.6% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Kirk Cousins logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
K. Cousins (QB) u232.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

227.41 UNDER PROJECTION
-5.1 DIFFERENCE
22.6% EV

ANALYSIS

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Jets defense this year: 7th-fewest in the NFL.. The Las Vegas Raiders O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all passing attack stats across the board.. Opposing offenses have thrown for the 3rd-fewest yards in football (just 204.0 adjusted yards per game) vs. the New York Jets defense this year.. The Jets pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency this year, allowing 7.27 adjusted yards-per-target: the 10th-fewest in the NFL.. When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, New York's unit has been terrific this year, grading out as the 9th-best in the NFL.

u234.5 -150
BetMGM logo
RUSHING YARDS
Kirk Cousins logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
K. Cousins (QB) o0.5 Rushing Yards
4.74 OVER PROJECTION
+4.2 DIFFERENCE
27.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Kirk Cousins logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
K. Cousins (QB) o0.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

4.74 OVER PROJECTION
+4.2 DIFFERENCE
27.2% EV

ANALYSIS

At the moment, the 8th-quickest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Las Vegas Raiders.. The opposing side have run for the 8th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (128 per game) vs. the Jets defense this year.

o0.5 +105
theScore Bet logo
RUSHING YARDS
Geno Smith logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Smith (QB) o7.5 Rushing Yards
13.89 OVER PROJECTION
+6.4 DIFFERENCE
26.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Geno Smith logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Smith (QB) o7.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

13.89 OVER PROJECTION
+6.4 DIFFERENCE
26.71% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Jets to be the 8th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 44.5% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. This year, the daunting Raiders run defense has yielded a meager 4.99 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's running game: the 27th-lowest rate in football.. The Las Vegas defensive ends project as the 2nd-worst collection of DEs in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

o5.5 -140
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RUSHING YARDS
Breece Hall logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
B. Hall (RB) o49.5 Rushing Yards
60.88 OVER PROJECTION
+11.4 DIFFERENCE
25.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Breece Hall logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
B. Hall (RB) o49.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

60.88 OVER PROJECTION
+11.4 DIFFERENCE
25.11% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Jets to be the 8th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 44.5% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast Breece Hall to accumulate 15.8 carries in this game, on average, putting him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.. Breece Hall has received 63.3% of his team's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to RBs.. With a terrific record of 54.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (87th percentile), Breece Hall ranks among the top running backs in football since the start of last season.. This year, the daunting Raiders run defense has yielded a meager 4.99 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's running game: the 27th-lowest rate in football.

o49.5 -115
bet365 logo
RUSHING YARDS
Ashton Jeanty logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
A. Jeanty (RB) o49.5 Rushing Yards
59.33 OVER PROJECTION
+9.8 DIFFERENCE
24.61% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Ashton Jeanty logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
A. Jeanty (RB) o49.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

59.33 OVER PROJECTION
+9.8 DIFFERENCE
24.61% EV

ANALYSIS

At the moment, the 8th-quickest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Las Vegas Raiders.. The opposing side have run for the 8th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (128 per game) vs. the Jets defense this year.

o48.5 -115
BetMGM logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Ashton Jeanty logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
A. Jeanty (RB) o27.5 Receiving Yards
28.68 OVER PROJECTION
+1.2 DIFFERENCE
21.26% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Ashton Jeanty logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
A. Jeanty (RB) o27.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

28.68 OVER PROJECTION
+1.2 DIFFERENCE
21.26% EV

ANALYSIS

At the moment, the 8th-quickest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Las Vegas Raiders.

o25.5 -135
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Brock Bowers logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
B. Bowers (TE) u70.5 Receiving Yards
65.31 UNDER PROJECTION
-5.2 DIFFERENCE
20.99% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Brock Bowers logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
B. Bowers (TE) u70.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

65.31 UNDER PROJECTION
-5.2 DIFFERENCE
20.99% EV

ANALYSIS

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Jets defense this year: 7th-fewest in the NFL.. The Las Vegas Raiders O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all passing attack stats across the board.. The Jets safeties profile as the best group of safeties in the NFL this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

u72.5 -114
DraftKings logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Mason Taylor logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
M. Taylor (TE) o22.5 Receiving Yards
26.07 OVER PROJECTION
+3.6 DIFFERENCE
20.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Mason Taylor logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
M. Taylor (TE) o22.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

26.07 OVER PROJECTION
+3.6 DIFFERENCE
20.39% EV

ANALYSIS

The Jets offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game metrics across the board.. This year, the anemic Las Vegas Raiders defense has surrendered a monstrous 57.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing TEs: the 10th-worst in the NFL.. This year, the anemic Raiders pass defense has surrendered a whopping 83.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 3rd-highest rate in the league.. The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers rank as the worst LB corps in the league this year in defending receivers.

o20.5 -135
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Garrett Wilson logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Wilson (WR) o60.5 Receiving Yards
64.22 OVER PROJECTION
+3.7 DIFFERENCE
14.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Garrett Wilson logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Wilson (WR) o60.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

64.22 OVER PROJECTION
+3.7 DIFFERENCE
14.45% EV

ANALYSIS

Our trusted projections expect Garrett Wilson to earn 8.0 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 89th percentile when it comes to WRs.. The Jets offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game metrics across the board.. Garrett Wilson has accrued significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (64.0) this year than he did last year (50.0).. Garrett Wilson's ball-catching skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 64.3% to 72.3%.. Garrett Wilson's pass-catching effectiveness has been refined this year, totaling 8.85 adjusted yards-per-target vs a measly 7.37 rate last year.

o60.5 -135
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Tre Tucker logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
T. Tucker (WR) u48.5 Receiving Yards
48.02 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
0.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Tre Tucker logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
T. Tucker (WR) u48.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

48.02 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
0.39% EV

ANALYSIS

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Jets defense this year: 7th-fewest in the NFL.. The Las Vegas Raiders O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all passing attack stats across the board.. This year, the imposing Jets defense has surrendered a puny 130.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing WRs: the 6th-fewest in the NFL.. The Jets pass defense has excelled when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.18 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-fewest in the NFL.. When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, New York's unit has been terrific this year, grading out as the 9th-best in the NFL.

u48.5 -113
FanDuel logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Garrett Wilson logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Wilson (WR) u5.5 Receptions Made
4.98 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars Odds
Best Odds
Garrett Wilson logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Wilson (WR) u5.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

4.98 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.77% EV

ANALYSIS

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jets to pass on 55.5% of their plays: the 8th-lowest clip on the slate this week.. At the moment, the 6th-most sluggish paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the model is the New York Jets.. Garrett Wilson has been much less involved in his offense's passing attack this season (26.8% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (34.2%).. This year, the stout Raiders defense has allowed a feeble 55.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 2nd-smallest rate in football.

u5.5 -122
Caesars Odds logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Ashton Jeanty logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
A. Jeanty (RB) u3.5 Receptions Made
3.42 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ashton Jeanty logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
A. Jeanty (RB) u3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.42 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.77% EV

ANALYSIS

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Jets defense this year: 7th-fewest in the NFL.. The Las Vegas Raiders O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all passing attack stats across the board.. This year, the daunting New York Jets defense has given up a puny 71.0% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 2nd-best rate in the league.. The Jets safeties profile as the best group of safeties in the NFL this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

u3.5 -104
DraftKings logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Breece Hall logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
B. Hall (RB) o2.5 Receptions Made
2.55 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Breece Hall logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
B. Hall (RB) o2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.55 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.17% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect Breece Hall to earn 3.2 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 80th percentile when it comes to RBs.. Breece Hall has been in the 86th percentile for RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) with a remarkable 15.3 figure since the start of last season.. The Jets offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game metrics across the board.. With an impressive 2.2 adjusted catches per game (86th percentile) since the start of last season, Breece Hall stands as one of the leading pass-game RBs in football.. The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has conceded the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (96.4%) versus running backs this year (96.4%).

o2.5 +120
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Brock Bowers logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
B. Bowers (TE) u6.5 Receptions Made
5.82 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
6.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Brock Bowers logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
B. Bowers (TE) u6.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

5.82 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
6.09% EV

ANALYSIS

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Jets defense this year: 7th-fewest in the NFL.. The Las Vegas Raiders O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all passing attack stats across the board.. The Jets safeties profile as the best group of safeties in the NFL this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

u6.5 -129
DraftKings logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Tre Tucker logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
T. Tucker (WR) u3.5 Receptions Made
3.48 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Tre Tucker logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
T. Tucker (WR) u3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.48 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
3% EV

ANALYSIS

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Jets defense this year: 7th-fewest in the NFL.. The Las Vegas Raiders O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all passing attack stats across the board.. When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, New York's unit has been terrific this year, grading out as the 9th-best in the NFL.

u3.5 +100
BetMGM logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Mason Taylor logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
M. Taylor (TE) o2.5 Receptions Made
2.93 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Mason Taylor logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
M. Taylor (TE) o2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.93 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.55% EV

ANALYSIS

The Jets offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game metrics across the board.. This year, the anemic Raiders pass defense has surrendered a whopping 83.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 3rd-highest rate in the league.. The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers rank as the worst LB corps in the league this year in defending receivers.

o2.5 -115
bet365 logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Ashton Jeanty logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
A. Jeanty (RB) o13.5 Rushing Attempts
15.48 OVER PROJECTION
+2.0 DIFFERENCE
14.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Caesars Odds
Best Odds
Ashton Jeanty logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
A. Jeanty (RB) o13.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

15.48 OVER PROJECTION
+2.0 DIFFERENCE
14.54% EV

ANALYSIS

At the moment, the 8th-quickest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Las Vegas Raiders.

o13.5 -118
Caesars Odds logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Kirk Cousins logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
K. Cousins (QB) o32.5 Passing Attempts
33.60 OVER PROJECTION
+1.1 DIFFERENCE
5.8% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Kirk Cousins logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
K. Cousins (QB) o32.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

33.60 OVER PROJECTION
+1.1 DIFFERENCE
5.8% EV

ANALYSIS

At the moment, the 8th-quickest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Las Vegas Raiders.. In throwing a massive 38.2 pass attempts per game this year, Kirk Cousins slots in among the top QBs in the NFL (79th percentile) in this respect.

o32.5 -120
BetMGM logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Geno Smith logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Smith (QB) o30.5 Passing Attempts
30.73 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Geno Smith logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Smith (QB) o30.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

30.73 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.21% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o29.5 -127
DraftKings logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Geno Smith logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Smith (QB) o20.5 Passing Completions
21.27 OVER PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
11.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Geno Smith logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Smith (QB) o20.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

21.27 OVER PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
11.45% EV

ANALYSIS

The Jets offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game metrics across the board.. Geno Smith's throwing accuracy has improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 66.8% to 70.3%.. The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers rank as the worst LB corps in the league this year in defending receivers.

o19.5 -137
BetRivers logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Kirk Cousins logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
K. Cousins (QB) o20.5 Passing Completions
20.76 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-15.72% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Kirk Cousins logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
K. Cousins (QB) o20.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

20.76 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-15.72% EV

ANALYSIS

At the moment, the 8th-quickest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Las Vegas Raiders.. In throwing a massive 38.2 pass attempts per game this year, Kirk Cousins slots in among the top QBs in the NFL (79th percentile) in this respect.

o19.5 -275
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Kirk Cousins logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
K. Cousins (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.05 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
22.81% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Kirk Cousins logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
K. Cousins (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.05 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
22.81% EV

ANALYSIS

The Raiders rank as the 4th-most pass-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 63.0% red zone pass rate.. At the moment, the 8th-quickest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Las Vegas Raiders.. Kirk Cousins has not tried to run the ball himself near the goal line at all this year.. Kirk Cousins has been one of the top touchdown passers in football this year, averaging a terrific 2.29 per game while grading out in the 91st percentile.. The running touchdown field reads "0" on the back of Kirk Cousins's trading card this year.

+3000
Hard Rock Bet logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Ashton Jeanty logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
A. Jeanty (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.7 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
19.36% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ashton Jeanty logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
A. Jeanty (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.7 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
19.36% EV

ANALYSIS

The Raiders rank as the 4th-most pass-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 63.0% red zone pass rate.. At the moment, the 8th-quickest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Las Vegas Raiders.. The Jets defense has been gouged for the 5th-most receiving TDs in the NFL to running backs: 0.29 per game this year.. As it relates to the safeties' role in defending against the run, New York's unit has been very good this year, grading out as the best in football.

-105
bet365 logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Geno Smith logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Smith (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.12 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
16.29% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Geno Smith logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Smith (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.12 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
16.29% EV

ANALYSIS

The Jets rank as the 9th-most pass-focused offense in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year with a 58.7% red zone pass rate.. The Jets offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game metrics across the board.. Geno Smith's throwing accuracy has improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 66.8% to 70.3%.. With an awful rate of just 0.00 TDs on the ground per game (3rd percentile), Geno Smith places as one of the bottom rushing quarterbacks in football this year.. The Raiders defense has yielded the 6th-most TDs through the air in football: 2.29 per game this year.

+950
FanDuel logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Breece Hall logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
B. Hall (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.64 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
13.83% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Breece Hall logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
B. Hall (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.64 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
13.83% EV

ANALYSIS

The Jets rank as the 9th-most pass-focused offense in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year with a 58.7% red zone pass rate.. While Breece Hall has accounted for 0.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more integral piece of New York's pass game near the end zone in this week's game at 9.7%.. When talking about air yards, Breece Hall ranks in the towering 90th percentile among RBs since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 2.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more impressive than it sounds since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).. The Jets offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game metrics across the board.. Breece Hall's ball-catching skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 89.6% to 100.0%.

+100
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Mason Taylor logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
M. Taylor (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.22 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
11.83% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Mason Taylor logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
M. Taylor (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.22 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
11.83% EV

ANALYSIS

The Jets rank as the 9th-most pass-focused offense in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year with a 58.7% red zone pass rate.. The Jets offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game metrics across the board.. This year, the anemic Raiders pass defense has surrendered a whopping 83.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 3rd-highest rate in the league.. This year, the anemic Las Vegas Raiders defense has yielded a staggering 1.14 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing tight ends: the 3rd-biggest rate in the NFL.. The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers rank as the worst LB corps in the league this year in defending receivers.

+420
BetRivers logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Garrett Wilson logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Wilson (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.35 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
6.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Garrett Wilson logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Wilson (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.35 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
6.11% EV

ANALYSIS

The Jets rank as the 9th-most pass-focused offense in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year with a 58.7% red zone pass rate.. While Garrett Wilson has earned 14.8% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more important option in New York's passing offense near the end zone in this week's game at 20.7%.. The Jets offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game metrics across the board.. Garrett Wilson's ball-catching skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 64.3% to 72.3%.. With an excellent rate of 0.43 per game through the air (83rd percentile), Garrett Wilson stands as one of the top receiving TD-scorers in the NFL when it comes to wideouts this year.

+195
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Brock Bowers logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
B. Bowers (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.47 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
3.12% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Brock Bowers logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
B. Bowers (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.47 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
3.12% EV

ANALYSIS

The Raiders rank as the 4th-most pass-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 63.0% red zone pass rate.. At the moment, the 8th-quickest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Las Vegas Raiders.. As it relates to the safeties' role in defending against the run, New York's unit has been very good this year, grading out as the best in football.

+110
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Tre Tucker logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
T. Tucker (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.27 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-5.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Tre Tucker logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
T. Tucker (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.27 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-5.11% EV

ANALYSIS

The Raiders rank as the 4th-most pass-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 63.0% red zone pass rate.. At the moment, the 8th-quickest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Las Vegas Raiders.. The New York Jets defense has given up the 6th-most receiving TDs in football to wide receivers: 1.14 per game this year.. As it relates to the safeties' role in defending against the run, New York's unit has been very good this year, grading out as the best in football.

+270
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Kirk Cousins logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
K. Cousins (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.44 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
17.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kirk Cousins logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
K. Cousins (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.44 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
17.01% EV

ANALYSIS

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Jets defense this year: 7th-fewest in the NFL.. The Las Vegas Raiders O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all passing attack stats across the board.. When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, New York's unit has been terrific this year, grading out as the 9th-best in the NFL.

u0.5 -115
bet365 logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Geno Smith logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Smith (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.40 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.52% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Geno Smith logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Smith (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.40 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.52% EV

ANALYSIS

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jets to pass on 55.5% of their plays: the 8th-lowest clip on the slate this week.. At the moment, the 6th-most sluggish paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the model is the New York Jets.. The predictive model expects Geno Smith to attempt 33.1 passes this week, on balance: the 9th-fewest among all QBs.. In totaling just 0.31 interceptions per game this year, Geno Smith ranks among the top quarterbacks in football (79th percentile).

u0.5 -135
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Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'BLackSoX1877' is picking Las Vegas to cover (+1.5)

BLackSoX1877 is #1 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (6-0-0) and +5450 units on the season.

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'BLackSoX1877' picks Las Vegas vs N.Y. Jets to go Over (45.5)

BLackSoX1877 is #1 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (6-0-0) and +5450 units on the season.

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'JEG53' picks Las Vegas vs N.Y. Jets to go Over (45.5)

JEG53 is #10 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (5-1-0) and +3900 units on the season.

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'JEG53' is picking Las Vegas to cover (+1.5)

JEG53 is #10 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (5-1-0) and +3900 units on the season.

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'Bass7672' is picking N.Y. Jets to cover (-1.5)

Bass7672 is #2 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (7-0-0) and +4950 units on the season.

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'vwebb57' is picking N.Y. Jets to cover (-1.5)

vwebb57 is #2 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (5-1-0) and +4450 units on the season.

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'vwebb57' picks Las Vegas vs N.Y. Jets to go Under (45.5)

vwebb57 is #2 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (5-1-0) and +4450 units on the season.

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'DKSTACKER' picks Las Vegas vs N.Y. Jets to go Over (40.5)

DKSTACKER is #3 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (7-0-0) and +4900 units on the season.

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'DKSTACKER' is picking Las Vegas to cover (+1.5)

DKSTACKER is #3 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (7-0-0) and +4900 units on the season.

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'ezgoinguy34' is picking Las Vegas to cover (+1.5)

ezgoinguy34 is #3 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (7-0-0) and +4400 units on the season.

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'Tuppy' picks Las Vegas vs N.Y. Jets to go Over (44.5)

Tuppy is #4 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (6-0-0) and +4400 units on the season.

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'Tuppy' is picking Las Vegas to cover (-1.5)

Tuppy is #4 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (6-0-0) and +4400 units on the season.

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'DIEASU' picks Las Vegas vs N.Y. Jets to go Over (45.5)

DIEASU is #4 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (6-1-0) and +4400 units on the season.

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'DIEASU' is picking Las Vegas to cover (+1.5)

DIEASU is #4 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (6-1-0) and +4400 units on the season.

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'Haroldjr33' is picking N.Y. Jets to cover (-1.5)

Haroldjr33 is #5 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (7-0-0) and +4400 units on the season.

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'Haroldjr33' picks Las Vegas vs N.Y. Jets to go Under (40.5)

Haroldjr33 is #5 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (7-0-0) and +4400 units on the season.

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'jksteel' is picking Las Vegas to cover (+1.5)

jksteel is #7 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (5-1-0) and +3900 units on the season.

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'jksteel' picks Las Vegas vs N.Y. Jets to go Over (45.5)

jksteel is #7 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (5-1-0) and +3900 units on the season.

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'Bassboy7276' is picking N.Y. Jets to cover (-1.5)

Bassboy7276 is #8 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (7-0-0) and +3900 units on the season.

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'tennis' is picking Las Vegas to cover (-1.5)

tennis is #9 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (4-3-0) and +3690 units on the season.

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'tennis' picks Las Vegas vs N.Y. Jets to go Under (45.5)

tennis is #9 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (4-3-0) and +3690 units on the season.

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