New York Jets

Picks

New York is coming of a 24-point loss at home to the Miami Dolphins, and should be even more outmatched on Sunday.

The Jets defense doesn't have a single interception through 13 games — the longest run without a pick to start a season in NFL history. While his numbers don't jump off the page, Jacksonville QB Trevor Lawrence is getting more comfortable in Liam Coen's offense and has improved his efficiency over the course of the year. Lawrence hasn't thrown a pick in his last two games and he ranks fourth among all QBs in success rate since Jacksonville's bye in Week 8. With the Jags 13-point home favorites on Sunday, he'll likely throw fewer passes and will be less likely to force the ball into tight coverage.

There isn’t a ton of meat on this bone and I’d only play it to +150, but with the uncertainty around the No. 3 role between Parker Washington and Tim Patrick, Jakobi Meyers is the safest option at a reasonable number in a game where Jacksonville could push for 30 points. Meyers has led the team in targets in back-to-back games while operating as the No. 1 receiver. He saw 10 targets last week and has recorded at least six in four straight, while finding the end zone in three consecutive games. His price has adjusted, but anything at +150 or better is still playable.

The Jets are now travelling to Jacksonville, perhaps without Tyrod Taylor at QB (groin), to face a fierce Jaguars defense in Week 15. Jacksonville is a Top 10 stop unit in many advanced metrics and has held three of its last four foes to 19 points or less. As for the Jaguars offense, there could be a bit of a letdown waiting next Sunday. The team is coming off a massive win over Indianapolis in which it scored 36 points, thanks to turnovers setting the table with excellent field position. This total is already ticking down to the key number of 41, so if you like the Under you should snatch all the points you can right now. Groin injuries take time to heal and any updates on Taylor will tank this total.