New York Jets
Picks

4th in AFC East (2 - 9 - 0)

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at

Sun, Nov 30 13:00 ET

ATL @ NYJ Picks

Passing Yards

Kirk Cousins o190.5 Passing Yards (-112)

Projection 198.39 (Over)

Best Odds

o190.5 -112

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o190.5 -112

o190.5 -114

o198.5 -115

o191.5 -114

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.3 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Atlanta Falcons profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year.. When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, New York's unit has been lousy this year, ranking as the 7th-worst in the league.

-112 at DraftKings

Receiving Yards

Darnell Mooney o41.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Projection 54.36 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.3 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.. The projections expect Darnell Mooney to total 8.1 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 88th percentile among wide receivers.. The projections expect Darnell Mooney to be a more important option in his team's air attack in this week's game (25.9% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (18.8% in games he has played).. Darnell Mooney has posted many more air yards this season (82.0 per game) than he did last season (73.0 per game).. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Atlanta Falcons profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year.

Receiving Yards

Adonai Mitchell o32.5 Receiving Yards (-135)

Projection 44.86 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 13 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Jets are predicted by the predictive model to call 66.5 plays on offense in this game: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.. As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Atlanta's unit has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 4th-worst in the league.

Receiving Yards

Bijan Robinson o32.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Projection 40.18 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.3 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.. The predictive model expects Bijan Robinson to garner 6.6 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 98th percentile among RBs.. In regards to air yards, Bijan Robinson grades out in the lofty 95th percentile among running backs this year, accruing a massive 5.0 per game. (due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more noteworthy than it sounds since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).. Bijan Robinson's 29.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 21.9.. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Atlanta Falcons profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year.

Receiving Yards

Kyle Pitts Sr. o45.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Projection 52.22 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.3 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.. In this week's contest, Kyle Pitts is predicted by the projections to position himself in the 98th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 8.3 targets.. While Kyle Pitts has accounted for 20.8% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more important option in Atlanta's pass game in this game at 26.5%.. After accruing 36.0 air yards per game last year, Kyle Pitts has undergone big improvement this year, currently pacing 45.0 per game.. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Atlanta Falcons profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year.

Rushing Yards

Tyrod Taylor o26.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Projection 30.96 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

The predictive model expects the New York Jets as the 3rd-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 49.4% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Jets are predicted by the predictive model to call 66.5 plays on offense in this game: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.. In this game, Tyrod Taylor is expected by the model to notch the 5th-most carries out of all quarterbacks with 6.4. . With a fantastic tally of 22.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (79th percentile), Tyrod Taylor stands among the leading running QBs in the NFL this year.. Opposing offenses have run for the 8th-most adjusted yards in football (134 per game) against the Atlanta Falcons defense this year.

Rushing Yards

Breece Hall o70.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Projection 74.84 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

The predictive model expects the New York Jets as the 3rd-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 49.4% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Jets are predicted by the predictive model to call 66.5 plays on offense in this game: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.. This week, Breece Hall is anticipated by the predictive model to position himself in the 99th percentile among running backs with 20.3 carries.. With an impressive record of 59.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (85th percentile), Breece Hall stands as one of the leading RBs in the NFL this year.. Opposing offenses have run for the 8th-most adjusted yards in football (134 per game) against the Atlanta Falcons defense this year.

Consensus Picks

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64% picking Atlanta

64% 64%

36% 36%

Total Picks ATL 290, NYJ 163

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Top User Picks

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'ljsjr' picks Atlanta vs N.Y. Jets to go Under (39.5)

ljsjr is #1 on picking games that Atlanta is in with a record of (9-2-0) and +6800 units on the season.

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'ljsjr' is picking Atlanta to cover (-2.5)

ljsjr is #1 on picking games that Atlanta is in with a record of (9-2-0) and +6800 units on the season.

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'BABYFACE024' is picking N.Y. Jets to cover (+1.5)

BABYFACE024 is #10 on picking games that Atlanta is in with a record of (4-2-0) and +3900 units on the season.

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'BABYFACE024' picks Atlanta vs N.Y. Jets to go Under (39.5)

BABYFACE024 is #10 on picking games that Atlanta is in with a record of (4-2-0) and +3900 units on the season.

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'money455' is picking Atlanta to cover (-1.5)

money455 is #2 on picking games that Atlanta is in with a record of (8-3-0) and +6800 units on the season.

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'money455' picks Atlanta vs N.Y. Jets to go Under (39.5)

money455 is #2 on picking games that Atlanta is in with a record of (8-3-0) and +6800 units on the season.

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'Lucknuts' picks Atlanta vs N.Y. Jets to go Over (39.5)

Lucknuts is #2 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (8-0-0) and +4800 units on the season.

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'Lucknuts' is picking Atlanta to cover (-1.5)

Lucknuts is #2 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (8-0-0) and +4800 units on the season.

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'jenjay23' is picking N.Y. Jets to cover (+1.5)

jenjay23 is #5 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (8-3-0) and +4200 units on the season.

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'jenjay23' picks Atlanta vs N.Y. Jets to go Under (39.5)

jenjay23 is #5 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (8-3-0) and +4200 units on the season.

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'plasma9' is picking N.Y. Jets to cover (+2.5)

plasma9 is #8 on picking games that Atlanta is in with a record of (0-0-0) and +4450 units on the season.

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'MartinK' is picking N.Y. Jets to cover (+1.5)

MartinK is #9 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (6-1-0) and +3800 units on the season.

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'MartinK' picks Atlanta vs N.Y. Jets to go Under (39.5)

MartinK is #9 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (6-1-0) and +3800 units on the season.

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Pages Related to This Topic

Top N.Y. Jets Pick Leaders Season 2025-2026

Rank	Leader	L10	Units

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