New York Jets
Picks

4th in AFC East (3 - 11 - 0)

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at

Sun, Dec 21 13:00 ET

NYJ @ NO Picks

Receptions Made

Jeremy Ruckert o1.5 Receptions Made (-140)

Projection 2.72 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 6 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The New York Jets may lean on the pass less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup quarterback Brady Cook.. At a -4.5-point disadvantage, the Jets are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.. Jeremy Ruckert's 87.7% Adjusted Catch Rate this year indicates a remarkable boost in his receiving ability over last year's 66.4% mark.

Passing Completions

Brady Cook o16.5 Passing Completions (-110)

Projection 18.65 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 8 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The New York Jets may lean on the pass less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup quarterback Brady Cook.. At a -4.5-point disadvantage, the Jets are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.. The Saints defensive ends grade out as the 5th-worst group of DEs in the league this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

Passing Yards

Brady Cook o176.5 Passing Yards (-110)

Projection 195.48 (Over)

Best Odds

o176.5 -110

Pick made: 6 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o176.5 -110

o176.5 -115

The New York Jets may lean on the pass less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup quarterback Brady Cook.. At a -4.5-point disadvantage, the Jets are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.. The Saints defensive ends grade out as the 5th-worst group of DEs in the league this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

Interceptions Thrown

Tyler Shough u0.5 Interceptions Thrown (-110)

Projection 0.42 (Under)

Best Odds

Pick made: 19 hours ago

EV Model Rating

A running game script is suggested by the Saints being a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest.. The predictive model expects the Saints as the 5th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 53.2% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. Opposing offenses have averaged 31.6 pass attempts per game against the Jets defense this year: 9th-fewest in the league.

Receiving Yards

Jeremy Ruckert o14.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Projection 25.11 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 8 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The New York Jets may lean on the pass less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup quarterback Brady Cook.. At a -4.5-point disadvantage, the Jets are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.. The predictive model expects Jeremy Ruckert to be much more involved in his team's pass game in this week's contest (12.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (6.4% in games he has played).

Receiving Yards

Breece Hall o10.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Projection 17.48 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 7 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The New York Jets may lean on the pass less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup quarterback Brady Cook.. At a -4.5-point disadvantage, the Jets are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.. The model projects Breece Hall to garner 3.2 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 81st percentile when it comes to RBs.

Receiving Yards

Adonai Mitchell o45.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Projection 53.73 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 6 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The New York Jets may lean on the pass less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup quarterback Brady Cook.. At a -4.5-point disadvantage, the Jets are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.. The Saints defensive ends grade out as the 5th-worst group of DEs in the league this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

Rushing Yards

Breece Hall o44.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Projection 77.45 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 6 hours ago

EV Model Rating

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Jets to run on 45.6% of their chances: the 8th-greatest clip on the slate this week.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. In this contest, Breece Hall is expected by the projections to place in the 98th percentile when it comes to running backs with 20.8 carries.. Breece Hall has averaged 52.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest figures in the NFL among RBs (85th percentile).. Opposing teams have run for the 8th-most adjusted yards in football (131 per game) vs. the Saints defense this year.

Rushing Yards

Audric Estime o28.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Projection 42.07 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

A running game script is suggested by the Saints being a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to run on 46.8% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest clip among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to call the 5th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.3 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. The New Orleans Saints have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 59.1 plays per game.. Opposing squads have rushed for the 4th-most adjusted yards in the league (140 per game) versus the New York Jets defense this year.

Rushing Attempts

Breece Hall o13.5 Rushing Attempts (-105)

Projection 18.4 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 6 hours ago

EV Model Rating

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Jets to run on 45.6% of their chances: the 8th-greatest clip on the slate this week.. The leading projections forecast this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. In this contest, Breece Hall is expected by the projections to place in the 98th percentile when it comes to running backs with 20.8 carries.. Our trusted projections expect Breece Hall to be a more important option in his offense's run game in this contest (68.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (58.0% in games he has played).

Consensus Picks

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'TwoDrunk2Bunt' is picking N.Y. Jets to cover (+4.5)

TwoDrunk2Bunt is #1 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (9-2-1) and +7250 units on the season.

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'TwoDrunk2Bunt' picks N.Y. Jets vs New Orleans to go Under (40.0)

TwoDrunk2Bunt is #1 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (9-2-1) and +7250 units on the season.

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'CastlemontDB91' is picking New Orleans to cover (-3.0)

CastlemontDB91 is #10 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (9-5-0) and +4550 units on the season.

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NO

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'CastlemontDB91' picks N.Y. Jets vs New Orleans to go Under (39.5)

CastlemontDB91 is #10 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (9-5-0) and +4550 units on the season.

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'Sabster611' picks N.Y. Jets vs New Orleans to go Under (39.5)

Sabster611 is #2 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (11-3-0) and +5600 units on the season.

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'Sabster611' is picking N.Y. Jets to cover (+3.0)

Sabster611 is #2 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (11-3-0) and +5600 units on the season.

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NYJ

NO

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'nahfetest' is picking New Orleans to cover (-4.5)

nahfetest is #3 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (7-2-0) and +4750 units on the season.

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NO

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'Lucknuts' is picking N.Y. Jets to cover (+3.0)

Lucknuts is #5 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (11-0-0) and +4650 units on the season.

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NO

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'Lucknuts' picks N.Y. Jets vs New Orleans to go Over (39.5)

Lucknuts is #5 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (11-0-0) and +4650 units on the season.

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'csmooth515' is picking N.Y. Jets to cover (+3.0)

csmooth515 is #8 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (9-5-0) and +4550 units on the season.

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'csmooth515' picks N.Y. Jets vs New Orleans to go Under (39.5)

csmooth515 is #8 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (9-5-0) and +4550 units on the season.

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