New York Jets

4th in AFC East (2 - 9 - 0)

Next Game

ATLAtlanta Atlanta
at
New York NYJN.Y. Jets
Sun, Nov 30 13:00 ET

ATL @ NYJ Picks

NFL Picks
Interceptions Thrown
Kirk Cousins logo Kirk Cousins o0.5 Interceptions Thrown (+162)
Best Odds
o0.5 +162 FanDuel
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
o0.5  +141
These are quick bet odds
 -
o0.5  +162
o0.5  +130
These are quick bet odds
o0.5  +133

Kirk Cousins picked up his first win of the season last week, but he’ll be without Drake London again and is overpriced in the interception market, even against the Jets. He threw two touchdowns and a pick last week while targeting David Sills, Darnell Mooney, Dylan Drummond, and KhaDarel Hodge. That’s a rough group of pass catchers, and it raises his interception risk again this week. Weather could also be an issue with possible rain and double-digit winds, which only helps the INT case. His two-interception prop at +600 is also worth a look. Last year, Cousins threw 16 picks in 14 games — one every 28 attempts.

Score a Touchdown
John Metchie III logo John Metchie III Score a Touchdown (Yes: +375)
Best Odds
 +375 bet365
Pick made: yesterday
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
 +340
 +375
 -
 -
 +340

John Metchie cashed for me last week, and I’m going back to his TD at a price that didn’t adjust enough after hitting +475 for a score in Week 12. Metchie stepped into a passing upgrade with Tyrod Taylor and operated as the WR1, playing 88% of the snaps, running 90% of the routes, and leading all Jets wide receivers with six catches for 65 yards. He also saw a red-zone target and turned it into a 13-yard touchdown. This is a WR1 priced like a TE2, and he’s facing a Falcons defense that is giving up 25 points per game over its last six contests.

Passing Yards
Kirk Cousins logo
Kirk Cousins o190.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 198.52 (Over)
Best Odds
o190.5 -114 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
o191.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
 -
o190.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o203.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o191.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.2 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Atlanta Falcons profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year.. When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, New York's unit has been lousy this year, ranking as the 7th-worst in the league.
-114 at FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Adonai Mitchell logo
Adonai Mitchell o35.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 44.87 (Over)
Best Odds
o35.5 -115 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o36.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
 -
o38.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o35.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o37.5  -117
These are quick bet odds
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Jets are predicted by the predictive model to call 66.5 plays on offense in this game: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.. As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Atlanta's unit has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 4th-worst in the league.
-115 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Darnell Mooney logo
Darnell Mooney o43.5 Receiving Yards (-118)
Projection 54.39 (Over)
Best Odds
o43.5 -118 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -
 -
 -
o43.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
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The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.2 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.. The projections expect Darnell Mooney to total 8.1 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 89th percentile among wide receivers.. The projections expect Darnell Mooney to be a more important option in his team's air attack in this week's game (25.9% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (18.8% in games he has played).. Darnell Mooney has posted many more air yards this season (82.0 per game) than he did last season (73.0 per game).. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Atlanta Falcons profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year.
-118 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Bijan Robinson logo
Bijan Robinson o34.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 40.01 (Over)
Best Odds
o34.5 -110 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o35.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
 -
o34.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o34.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
o34.5  -117
These are quick bet odds
The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.2 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.. The predictive model expects Bijan Robinson to garner 6.6 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 97th percentile among RBs.. In regards to air yards, Bijan Robinson grades out in the lofty 95th percentile among running backs this year, accruing a massive 5.0 per game. (due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more noteworthy than it sounds since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).. Bijan Robinson's 29.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 21.9.. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Atlanta Falcons profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year.
-110 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
John Metchie III logo
John Metchie III o37.5 Receiving Yards (-118)
Projection 43.56 (Over)
Best Odds
o35.5 -110 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o35.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
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 -
o37.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
o36.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Jets are predicted by the predictive model to call 66.4 plays on offense in this game: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.. In this week's contest, John Metchie III is forecasted by the model to position himself in the 75th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 6.3 targets.. Our trusted projections expect John Metchie III to be a more integral piece of his offense's air attack in this contest (21.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (6.4% in games he has played).. John Metchie III's 94.4% Adjusted Catch Rate this season signifies a noteable gain in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 65.4% mark.. John Metchie III's 9.5 adjusted yards per target this season indicates a remarkable growth in his receiving talent over last season's 7.5 rate.
-110 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Breece Hall logo
Breece Hall o18.5 Receiving Yards (-120)
Projection 22.34 (Over)
Best Odds
o18.5 -120 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o22.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
 -
o23.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o18.5  -120
These are quick bet odds
o23.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Jets are predicted by the predictive model to call 66.4 plays on offense in this game: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.. In this week's contest, Breece Hall is anticipated by the projections to finish in the 88th percentile among RBs with 4.0 targets.. Breece Hall has totaled a massive 5.0 air yards per game this year: 95th percentile when it comes to RBs. (This may not sound like very many, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).. Breece Hall's 90.4% Adjusted Completion Rate this season indicates a significant growth in his receiving talent over last season's 76.7% figure.. Breece Hall's 8.7 adjusted yards per target this year signifies an impressive boost in his pass-catching talent over last year's 6.2 mark.
-120 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Kyle Pitts Sr. logo
Kyle Pitts Sr. o48.5 Receiving Yards (-118)
Projection 52.39 (Over)
Best Odds
o48.5 -118 BetMGM
Pick made: 21 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -
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 -
o48.5  -118
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The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.2 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.. In this week's contest, Kyle Pitts is predicted by the projections to position himself in the 98th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 8.3 targets.. While Kyle Pitts has accounted for 20.8% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more important option in Atlanta's pass game in this game at 26.5%.. After accruing 36.0 air yards per game last year, Kyle Pitts has undergone big improvement this year, currently pacing 45.0 per game.. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Atlanta Falcons profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year.
-118 at BetMGM
Rushing Yards
Tyrod Taylor logo
Tyrod Taylor o26.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Projection 30.63 (Over)
Best Odds
o26.5 -115 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -
 -
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o26.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
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The predictive model expects the New York Jets as the 3rd-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 49.4% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Jets are predicted by the predictive model to call 66.4 plays on offense in this game: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.. In this game, Tyrod Taylor is expected by the model to notch the 5th-most carries out of all quarterbacks with 6.4. . With a fantastic tally of 22.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (79th percentile), Tyrod Taylor stands among the leading running QBs in the NFL this year.. Opposing offenses have run for the 8th-most adjusted yards in football (134 per game) against the Atlanta Falcons defense this year.
-115 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Rushing Yards
Breece Hall logo
Breece Hall o69.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Projection 74.78 (Over)
Best Odds
o69.5 -115 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o72.5  -109
These are quick bet odds
 -
o73.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o69.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o71.5  -117
These are quick bet odds
The predictive model expects the New York Jets as the 3rd-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 49.4% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Jets are predicted by the predictive model to call 66.4 plays on offense in this game: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.. This week, Breece Hall is anticipated by the predictive model to position himself in the 99th percentile among running backs with 20.3 carries.. With an impressive record of 59.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (85th percentile), Breece Hall stands as one of the leading RBs in the NFL this year.. Opposing offenses have run for the 8th-most adjusted yards in football (134 per game) against the Atlanta Falcons defense this year.
-115 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds

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Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.
Spread

64% picking Atlanta

64%
36%

Total Picks ATL 369, NYJ 207

Spread
ATL
NYJ
Spread
-1.5 -139
+2.5 +101

Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.
Total

'ljsjr' picks Atlanta vs N.Y. Jets to go Under (39.5)

ljsjr is #1 on picking games that Atlanta is in with a record of (9-2-0) and +6800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
38.5 -111
39.5 -111
Spread

'ljsjr' is picking Atlanta to cover (-2.5)

ljsjr is #1 on picking games that Atlanta is in with a record of (9-2-0) and +6800 units on the season.

Spread
ATL
NYJ
Spread
-1.5 -139
+2.5 +101
Spread

'BABYFACE024' is picking N.Y. Jets to cover (+1.5)

BABYFACE024 is #10 on picking games that Atlanta is in with a record of (4-2-0) and +3900 units on the season.

Spread
ATL
NYJ
Spread
-1.5 -139
+2.5 +101
Total

'BABYFACE024' picks Atlanta vs N.Y. Jets to go Under (39.5)

BABYFACE024 is #10 on picking games that Atlanta is in with a record of (4-2-0) and +3900 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
38.5 -111
39.5 -111
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'money455' is picking Atlanta to cover (-1.5)

money455 is #2 on picking games that Atlanta is in with a record of (8-3-0) and +6800 units on the season.

Spread
ATL
NYJ
Spread
-1.5 -139
+2.5 +101
Total

'money455' picks Atlanta vs N.Y. Jets to go Under (39.5)

money455 is #2 on picking games that Atlanta is in with a record of (8-3-0) and +6800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
38.5 -111
39.5 -111
Total

'Lucknuts' picks Atlanta vs N.Y. Jets to go Over (39.5)

Lucknuts is #2 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (8-0-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
38.5 -111
39.5 -111
Spread

'Lucknuts' is picking Atlanta to cover (-1.5)

Lucknuts is #2 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (8-0-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Spread
ATL
NYJ
Spread
-1.5 -139
+2.5 +101
Total

'warrior7' picks Atlanta vs N.Y. Jets to go Under (39.5)

warrior7 is #3 on picking games that Atlanta is in with a record of (7-4-0) and +5750 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
38.5 -111
39.5 -111
Spread

'warrior7' is picking N.Y. Jets to cover (+2.5)

warrior7 is #3 on picking games that Atlanta is in with a record of (7-4-0) and +5750 units on the season.

Spread
ATL
NYJ
Spread
-1.5 -139
+2.5 +101
Spread

'jenjay23' is picking N.Y. Jets to cover (+1.5)

jenjay23 is #5 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (8-3-0) and +4200 units on the season.

Spread
ATL
NYJ
Spread
-1.5 -139
+2.5 +101
Total

'jenjay23' picks Atlanta vs N.Y. Jets to go Under (39.5)

jenjay23 is #5 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (8-3-0) and +4200 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
38.5 -111
39.5 -111
Total

'Blondie69' picks Atlanta vs N.Y. Jets to go Under (39.5)

Blondie69 is #6 on picking games that Atlanta is in with a record of (6-5-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
38.5 -111
39.5 -111
Spread

'Blondie69' is picking N.Y. Jets to cover (+2.5)

Blondie69 is #6 on picking games that Atlanta is in with a record of (6-5-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Spread
ATL
NYJ
Spread
-1.5 -139
+2.5 +101
Spread

'plasma9' is picking N.Y. Jets to cover (+2.5)

plasma9 is #8 on picking games that Atlanta is in with a record of (0-0-0) and +4450 units on the season.

Spread
ATL
NYJ
Spread
-1.5 -139
+2.5 +101
Spread

'MartinK' is picking N.Y. Jets to cover (+1.5)

MartinK is #9 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (6-1-0) and +3800 units on the season.

Spread
ATL
NYJ
Spread
-1.5 -139
+2.5 +101
Total

'MartinK' picks Atlanta vs N.Y. Jets to go Under (39.5)

MartinK is #9 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (6-1-0) and +3800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
38.5 -111
39.5 -111

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