New York Jets
Picks

3rd in AFC East (0 - 2 - 0)

Next Game

at

Sun, Sep 21 13:00 ET

NYJ @ TB Picks

Score a Touchdown

Baker Mayfield Score a Touchdown (Yes: +500)

Best Odds

Pick made: 17 hours ago

The Bucs are in rough shape on the offensive line. Starting guard Cody Mauch is out for the season, and both starting tackles remain questionable for Week 3. Baker Mayfield has been under constant pressure—he leads the league in pressure rate at 43.9%, despite averaging just 2.27 seconds to throw. That kind of chaos has forced Mayfield to use his legs. He ranks fifth among QBs in scramble yards and has rushed for 30+ in both games this season. While he hasn’t found the end zone yet, he’s +500 to score a TD this week—a number that feels too long given his usage. He ran for three scores last year, and with the Jets bringing more pressure, he might have to take matters into his own hands again.

Receptions Made

Breece Hall u3.5 Receptions Made (-133)

Projection 2.31 (Under)

Best Odds

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The leading projections forecast the Jets offensive strategy to skew 13.0% more towards the ground game than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Tanner Engstrand now calling the plays.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New York Jets to pass on 52.2% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest clip among all teams this week.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by our trusted projection set to see only 122.0 total plays run: the lowest number out of all the games this week.. The New York Jets have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 55.3 plays per game.. With a feeble 77.9% Adjusted Catch Rate (19th percentile) since the start of last season, Breece Hall rates among the most unreliable receivers in the league among RBs.

-133 at DraftKings

Passing Completions

Baker Mayfield u21.5 Passing Completions (+100)

Projection 19.57 (Under)

Best Odds

Pick made: 10 hours ago

EV Model Rating

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game.. Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to pass on 54.8% of their plays: the 8th-lowest clip among all teams this week.. Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run only 60.2 plays on offense in this contest: the fewest among all teams this week.. Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Jets, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 30.6 per game) since the start of last season.. Baker Mayfield's 60.9% Adjusted Completion% this season illustrates a meaningful reduction in his throwing precision over last season's 71.1% mark.

Passing Attempts

Baker Mayfield u32.5 Passing Attempts (-115)

Projection 28.77 (Under)

Best Odds

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game.. Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to pass on 55.0% of their plays: the 4th-lowest clip among all teams this week.. Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run only 60.1 plays on offense in this contest: the fewest among all teams this week.. In this week's contest, Baker Mayfield is forecasted by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 7th-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 30.8. . Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Jets, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 30.6 per game) since the start of last season.

-115 at DraftKings

Passing Yards

Baker Mayfield u240.5 Passing Yards (-113)

Projection 218.55 (Under)

Best Odds

u240.5 -113

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u240.5 -113

u237.5 -114

u239.5 -115

u238.5 -114

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game.. Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to pass on 55.0% of their plays: the 4th-lowest clip among all teams this week.. Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run only 60.1 plays on offense in this contest: the fewest among all teams this week.. In this week's contest, Baker Mayfield is forecasted by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 7th-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 30.8. . Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Jets, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 30.6 per game) since the start of last season.

-113 at DraftKings

Passing Yards

Tyrod Taylor u196.5 Passing Yards (-113)

Projection 185.19 (Under)

Best Odds

u196.5 -113

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u196.5 -113

u196.5 -114

u187.5 -115

u194.5 -125

The leading projections forecast the Jets offensive strategy to skew 13.0% more towards the ground game than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Tanner Engstrand now calling the plays.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New York Jets to pass on 52.2% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest clip among all teams this week.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by our trusted projection set to see only 122.0 total plays run: the lowest number out of all the games this week.. The New York Jets have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 55.3 plays per game.. The model projects Tyrod Taylor to attempt 29.9 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 5th-fewest among all QBs.

-113 at DraftKings

Interceptions Thrown

Baker Mayfield u0.5 Interceptions Thrown (+112)

Projection 0.4 (Under)

Best Odds

Pick made: yesterday

EV Model Rating

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game.. Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to pass on 55.0% of their plays: the 8th-lowest clip among all teams this week.. Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run only 61.2 plays on offense in this contest: the 2nd-fewest among all teams this week.. In this week's contest, Baker Mayfield is forecasted by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 8th-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 31.4. . Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Jets, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 30.6 per game) since the start of last season.

+112 at FanDuel

Receiving Yards

Breece Hall u24.5 Receiving Yards (-116)

Projection 17.16 (Under)

Best Odds

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The leading projections forecast the Jets offensive strategy to skew 13.0% more towards the ground game than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Tanner Engstrand now calling the plays.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New York Jets to pass on 52.2% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest clip among all teams this week.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by our trusted projection set to see only 122.0 total plays run: the lowest number out of all the games this week.. The New York Jets have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 55.3 plays per game.. With a feeble 77.9% Adjusted Catch Rate (19th percentile) since the start of last season, Breece Hall rates among the most unreliable receivers in the league among RBs.

-116 at DraftKings

Receiving Yards

Bucky Irving o17.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Projection 25.07 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling just 55.4 plays per game.. The Tampa Bay offensive line ranks as the 2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all pass game statistics across the board.. The Jets linebackers profile as the 3rd-worst collection of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season with their pass rush.

Receiving Yards

Cade Otton u29.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Projection 24.82 (Under)

Best Odds

Pick made: 7 hours ago

EV Model Rating

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game.. Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to pass on 55.0% of their plays: the 8th-lowest clip among all teams this week.. Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run only 60.1 plays on offense in this contest: the fewest among all teams this week.. Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Jets, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 30.6 per game) since the start of last season.. The predictive model expects Cade Otton to be a much smaller piece of his team's passing attack in this week's contest (12.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (17.8% in games he has played).

Receiving Yards

Mason Taylor o21.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Projection 24.72 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The Jets may lean on the pass less in this contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be rolling out backup QB Tyrod Taylor.. At a -7-point disadvantage, the Jets are heavy underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of a reliance on throwing than their typical game plan.. Opposing QBs have averaged 37.6 pass attempts per game versus the Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in the league.. When it comes to protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the New York Jets ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.. Since the start of last season, the deficient Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been gouged for a massive 56.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing tight ends: the 5th-most in the NFL.

Consensus Picks

View all Consensus Picks

Spread

72% picking Tampa Bay

28% 28%

72% 72%

Total Picks NYJ 278, TB 702

Spread

NYJ

TB

Spread

Top User Picks

View all Top User Picks

Total

'deerkiller' picks N.Y. Jets vs Tampa Bay to go Under (44.0)

deerkiller is #1 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Spread

'deerkiller' is picking Tampa Bay to cover (-7.0)

deerkiller is #1 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

Spread

NYJ

TB

Spread

Spread

'Infinite-H' is picking Tampa Bay to cover (-7.0)

Infinite-H is #10 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

Spread

NYJ

TB

Spread

Spread

'pato158jj' is picking Tampa Bay to cover (-5.5)

pato158jj is #2 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

Spread

NYJ

TB

Spread

Total

'pato158jj' picks N.Y. Jets vs Tampa Bay to go Under (44.5)

pato158jj is #2 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Spread

'seattle-8' is picking Tampa Bay to cover (-5.5)

seattle-8 is #4 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

Spread

NYJ

TB

Spread

Total

'seattle-8' picks N.Y. Jets vs Tampa Bay to go Under (44.5)

seattle-8 is #4 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Spread

'superduper7' is picking Tampa Bay to cover (-5.5)

superduper7 is #7 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

Spread

NYJ

TB

Spread

Total

'Kansas2014' picks N.Y. Jets vs Tampa Bay to go Over (44.5)

Kansas2014 is #8 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Spread

'Kansas2014' is picking Tampa Bay to cover (-5.5)

Kansas2014 is #8 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

Spread

NYJ

TB

Spread

Spread

'ml1978' is picking N.Y. Jets to cover (+5.5)

ml1978 is #9 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

Spread

NYJ

TB

Spread

Total

'ml1978' picks N.Y. Jets vs Tampa Bay to go Under (44.5)

ml1978 is #9 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Total

'Wildcat168' picks N.Y. Jets vs Tampa Bay to go Over (43.5)

Wildcat168 is #9 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Spread

'Wildcat168' is picking Tampa Bay to cover (-6.5)

Wildcat168 is #9 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

Spread

NYJ

TB

Spread

Pages Related to This Topic

Current Money LeadersSeason 2025-2026

Rank	Leader	L10	Units

News & Analysis

More News

Dolphins vs Bills: Time, Channel & Free Live Streaming Info for Thursday Night Football

Dolphins vs Bills Predictions, Picks & Best Bets for Thursday Night Football Tonight

Dolphins vs Bills Props & Best Bets for Thursday Night Football Tonight

Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials

Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming

US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps

Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools

The Covers community has

618,670

lifetime members worldwide

Join our community today

Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.

Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo

Copyright © 1995 - 2025 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.