UFC Fight Night Hall vs Strickland Picks: Hall's Counter-Striking Makes Him A Good Underdog Bet

Both Uriah Hall and Sean Strickland come into the main event of UFC Fight Night on four-match winning streaks, but we like the powerful counter-striker in Hall — who is the underdog for the fight — to come away with the win.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Jul 26, 2021 • 13:32 ET • 5 min read
Uriah Hall UFC
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Sean Strickland vs. Uriah Hall is the main event for UFC Fight Night betting on Saturday, July 31. 

Both of these ranked middleweights enter on winning streaks and Strickland will look for the biggest win of his career against an established veteran in Hall. UFC betting lines opened with Strickland as a -215 favorite while Hall comes back at +172.

Here are our best free Strickland vs. Hall picks and predictions for UFC Fight Night action on July 31 from the UFC Apex in Las Vegas.

Hall vs Strickland fight odds

Live odds courtesy of the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

Hall vs Strickland method of victory odds

Method of Victory Uriah Hall Sean Strickland
Win by KO/TKO +300 +200
Win by Points +650 +210
Win by Submission +2,600 +1,000
Draw +5,000 +5,000

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook on July 31, 2021.

Hall vs Strickland betting preview

Uriah "Prime Time" Hall is the No. 8-ranked middleweight contender and is 4-0 in his last four fights. In his last appearance in the Octagon in April, he beat Chris Weidman via TKO after he checked an early leg kick from Weidman and broke his lower leg.

The 37-year-old is a highly polished and accurate striker and has explosive power with both his punches and kicks, but he can be a bit tentative at times.

Covers UFC Fight Night Betting Analysis

Sean "Tarzan" Strickland is No. 11 in the middleweight rankings and has also won four fights in a row, with his most recent victory coming against Krzysztof Jotko in May. Tarzan suffered a brutal motorcycle accident in 2018 but returned to the octagon after two years of rehab with a unanimous decision win over Jack Marshman last October. 

The 30-year-old began his MMA career at the tender age of 17 in King of the Cage and eventually became the middleweight champ in that promotion. Strickland successfully defended that title five times before he entered the UFC in 2014 and has compiled a 10-3 record in the octagon. He is a high-volume striker with crisp boxing.

Hall vs Strickland tale of the tape

Uriah Hall   Sean Strickland
36 Age 30
6-foot Height 6-foot-1
185 lbs Weight 185 lbs
79.5 inches Reach 76 inches
18-9-0 (14 KO) Record 23-3-0 (10 KO)

Hall vs Strickland UFC predictions and betting picks

PREDICTION: Moneyline Uriah Hall (+172) - Strickland is the better wrestler but with Hall's strong takedown defense, and Strickland's preference for striking, this will likely be a predominantly standup affair.

Strickland's path to victory will be to rely on his volume to outpoint Hall over five rounds, but he tends to have a straightforward style with little head movement and he can be a bit hittable at times.

That could spell trouble against a powerful counter-striker in Hall, who has a 3.5-inch reach advantage and likes to bait his opponents with feints. With this main event scheduled for five rounds, I think Hall eventually gets to Strickland with power shots and takes the W.

PREDICTION: Hall by KO/TKO - Strickland has only been finished once in his career but that was his previous loss, in 2018 against Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos. He hasn't faced many opponents with Hall's explosive power and seven of Prime Time's last eight wins have come by way of KO/TKO.

PREDICTION: Under 3.5 Rounds (-110) - We’re expecting a striking battle in this one and with Strickland’s willingness to take a punch in order to give one — and Hall’s finishing ability — we don’t see this fight lasting until the championship rounds.

Three of Strickland’s last five fights ended within the first two rounds, while seven of Hall’s previous eight bouts ended by stoppage within the first 17 minutes. We’re expecting this fight to be over before the 2:30 mark of Round 4 and taking the Under 3.5.

Where can I bet on UFC odds?

Most online sportsbooks and casinos offer bets on UFC odds and props. While odds to win usually come out as soon as a fight is announced, prop bets become more readily available closer to an event. Check out the best sportsbooks available where you live and see what UFC bets they have available.

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Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports.

Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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