United Football League Week 10 Odds, Picks, and Predictions: Stallions Shore Things Up

We have reached the final week of the inaugural UFL season, and we will get an early look at both Conference Championship games with one of them set to determine home field advantage.

Play gets underway for Week 10 on Saturday with one game in Birmingham, AL and one in St. Louis. Then it will conclude on Sunday with one game in Washington, D.C. and one in Memphis, TN. 

Check out my UFL picks and predictions for Week 10.

UFL picks for Week 10

• Stallions -8
• Battlehawks -2.5
• Renegades/Defenders Over 46.5
• Roughnecks -2

Picks made on 5/31 at 3:30 p.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

Week 10 UFL odds and predictions

Michigan Panthers vs Birmingham Stallions

Saturday, 2 p.m. ET, ESPN

Odds courtesy of DraftKings as of 5-31.

This matchup is both a rematch from Week 2 where the Birmingham Stallions won 20-13 on the road and a preview of next week’s USFL Conference Championship game that will take place right here in Birmingham no matter the outcome. It will be interesting to see if either team will show their cards in this spot with the real game being played next week. 

The Michigan Panthers have been playing a two-quarterback system for the past three weeks and I imagine that continues so they do not show the Stallions their plan for next week. Meanwhile, the Stallions are coming off their worst showing of the season in an 18-9 loss to the San Antonio Brahmas. I could see Birmingham using this opportunity to get their offense back on track rather than just hiding their guys for next week and going in cold for two weeks running. 

For this reason, I am going to eat the huge spread and take the Stallions to cover. Next week will be a different story, but I fully expect the Stallions to at least use the first half to get the offense back in a groove. They should get back to their high-scoring ways and the Panthers will be fine with just testing things out and not showing too much before the big game. 

Pick: Stallions -8 (-110 at FanDuel)

San Antonio Brahmas vs St. Louis Battlehawks

Saturday, 4 p.m. ET, FOX

Odds courtesy of DraftKings as of 5-31.

The second game on Saturday is both a rematch from Week 3 when the St. Louis Battlehawks won 31-24 on the road and a preview for next week’s XFL Conference Championship game. The big difference in this preview is that the winner will get to host next week’s game, and that will be a huge advantage. St. Louis is a perfect 4-0 at home and San Antonio is 4-1 with the Battlehawks being the only loss. 

The Battlehawks took a bad loss on the road to the Arlington Renegades last week, but they chose to sit out A.J. McCarron for one more week due to an injury. They will absolutely bring him back this week in an important game. The Brahmas will be without their leading rusher, Anthony McFarland, and their leading receiver from the last matchup with St. Louis, Cody Latimer. 

There is no way I am betting against the Battlehawks at home with McCarron behind center and the injuries to the Brahmas key skill positions only helps my case. The Brahmas are playing excellent defense right now, but St. Louis will used their balanced attack to score enough at home to beat a low-scoring Brahmas offense. 

Pick: Battlehawks -2.5 (-120 at FanDuel)

Arlington Renegades vs DC Defenders

Sunday, Noon ET, ABC

Odds courtesy of DraftKings as of 5-31.

These two teams met back in Week 3 and the DC Defenders pulled out a 29-28 road victory by scoring 11 points in the final 48 seconds of the game. The only key player that played in that game but will miss this one is Kelvin Harmon for the Defenders – but he has been out for several weeks now. The Renegades put up 419 yards of offense in that Week 3 matchup. 

Both offenses are coming in hot with DC scoring 36 points and racking up 431 yards last week, while the Renegades put up 36 points with 345 yards. Both defenses allow nearly 300 yards of offense per game and have not held an opponent under 20 points since the Defenders held the Brahmas to 12 points back in Week 6. 

This game will be the finale for everyone involved and is an opportunity to showcase their skills for any possible NFL tryouts. I expect both offenses to go full throttle and we should see a similar type of game we saw in the Week 3 matchup that saw 57 points scored. Here we can get the total at 46.5 and that seems low with these two. 

Pick: Over 46.5 (-110 at FanDuel)

Houston Roughnecks vs Memphis Showboats

Sunday, 7 p.m. ET, FOX

Odds courtesy of DraftKings as of 5-31.

These two teams met all the way back in Week 1, where the Memphis Showboats won 18-12 on the road. However, that was the last time the Showboats have won a game as they have lost eight straight since. They also will not have quarterback Case Cookus, who threw for 204 yards and a touchdown in that victory. 

The Houston Roughnecks also have only one win on the season, which came back in Week 4 at home against the Renegades. They also will be without their starting quarterback from Week 1, Jarrett Guarantano, who has missed most of the season with injury. They have been running a bit of a two-quarterback system with both Nolan Henderson and Reid Sinnett the past couple of weeks.  

However, that two-quarterback system has seemed to rejuvenate this Houston offense that ranks last in the league in scoring and first downs and next to last in total offense. The only offense worse than them is this Showboats team. With the Roughnecks scoring 22 and 28 points in each of the last two weeks, I will ride with them to close out this disappointing season with a win. 

Pick: Roughnecks -2 (-110 at FanDuel)

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