Today's game pits one of the league's juggernauts in the Las Vegas Aces against the underwhelming Atlanta Dream at Gateway Center in Georgia.
Las Vegas brings an impressive three-game winning streak into this series as they look to hold their No. 1 ranking in the Western Conference.
The Dream will look to put together their first winning streak since the last week of June. At 4-6 in their previous 10 games, the Dream haven't proved they can keep up with the best teams in the WNBA.
Read our WNBA betting picks and predictions below to see how it plays out.
Dream vs Aces odds
The line opened up Monday afternoon with an -11.5 spread in favor of the Aces, which now sits between -11 to-11.5 on most sportsbooks. The total opened up at 169.5 and has since increased to 172.5.
Odds via bet365. Compare WNBA odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.
Dream vs Aces predictions
Predictions made on 7/19/2022 at 11:00 a.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.
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Dream vs Aces info
• Location: Michelob Ultra Arena, Las Vegas, NV
• Date: Tuesday, July 19, 2022
• Tip-off: 10:00 p.m. ET
• TV: NBATV
Dream vs Aces betting preview
Key injuries
Dream: Rhyne Howard G (Out), Monique Billing F (Ques), Nia Coffey F (Questionable).
Aces: No key injuries to report.
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Over is 6-1 in Atlanta's last seven road games. Find more WNBA betting trends for Dream vs. Aces.
Dream vs Aces picks and predictions
Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.
Spread analysis
The Aces run a high-level offense that will be difficult for the Dream to keep pace with. On the season, Las Vegas ranks among the Top 3 in field goal percentage, 3-point percentage, free throw percentage, assists, and offensive rating. Meanwhile, the Dream reside in the league's bottom half in each mentioned offensive category.
Las Vegas has three difference-makers on the roster that should prove too much for the Dream to handle. Jackie Young, Kelsey Plum, Chelsea Gray, and A'ja Wilson can carry the offense on any given night. In their last game against Connecticut, Wilson, Plum, and Gray each scored over 20 points.
In their only matchup of the season against one another, Las Vegas trampled the Dream by 23 points. In that game, the Aces had a remarkable six different players reach double digits. Nine out of the 11 eligible players on the roster scored at least one basket in the game. Why should anything change this time around?
The Dream would have to be a tough defensive-minded team to keep this one close, and while they have shown promise, they won't be able to keep the game close.
While the Dream can play defense, the season's reality might be creeping up. This is perhaps most evident by a recent poor performance against the Connecticut Sun, where they appeared disengaged and allowed Jonquel Jones to score 21 points on 56% shooting from the field, 67 % from 3-point range, and 90% from the charity stripe.
Prediction: Aces -11 (-110 at PointsBet)
Over/Under analysis
The Aces can run a team off the court in a hurry, and they score plenty of points. They've reached the 100-point mark in three of their last four contests and their season-long average of 91.3 points per game ranks No. 1 in the league by more than five points.
Atlanta's head coach Tanisha Wright recently expressed doubt about the team's playoff aspirations, as she feels the team has much to improve. For one, they are a good defensive team that hasn't exactly been great against the best teams in the league.
Against the Top-2 teams in the Eastern and Western Conference, Atlanta surrenders 88.7 per game. Simply put, the Dream defense can't slow down the league's most elite squads.
Combine that with the fact the Aces are head and shoulders the best offensive team in the WNBA, and we could be headed for the Over. For the season, they've scored over 100 points six different times. The Dream have surrendered 100 points twice this season to the Sun and Sky – also elite WNBA teams.
The Dream, however, are on the opposite side of the spectrum as they average the least amount of points per game (77.5) but should have ample time to score catch-up points as this one projects to be a one-sided affair. Atlanta is coming off a victory over the Phoenix Mercury, in which they scored 85 points.
Prediction: Over 172.5 (-110 at DraftKings)
Best bet
The last time these two teams clashed, Atlanta played without one of their best players, Tiffany Hayes. The 32-year-old veteran is an ideal presence on a team that can't win without all of its pieces playing together.
Hayes is averaging 14.5 points per game this season, shooting 50% from the field and 38% from beyond the arc. Hayes has missed most of the season due to overseas commitments and injuries. Now back in the fold and finding her rhythm, she brings a much-needed presence to a team that needs a boost.
Hayes recently performed stellar against the Sun's No. 3-ranked defense, scoring 18 points on an incredible 63% shooting from the field. She's gone Over 15.5 in three out of her six games with the team this year.
Hayes is a veteran and understands she must perform well if the Dream has any chance in this one.
Pick: Tiffany Hayes Over 15.5 points (-115 at bet365)
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